[FRIAM] Agent-Based Modelling of a Blowback - How Terrorists are made

[Marcus G. Daniels]

Jochen Fromm wrote:
> Although it is therefore obvious that a blowback can happen
> in this case, it would perhaps interesting to find out the 
> circumstances when it happens exactly
There unintended consequences in many things, but that doesn't mean 
individuals or nations can be expected not to protect their interests.   
Most useful drugs have side effects, for example.  Further, it's not 
obvious what the world would look like today if somehow the Soviet Union 
had survived and the many direct and covert actions the U.S. made to 
undermine communism had never occurred.  

My take is that leaders are not likely to abandon covert operations.  So 
either the autonomous organizations need to made non-autonomous (but 
sufficiently anonymous), or they need to be quietly hunted down when 
their work is done.   Or, better, certain high risk approaches shouldn't 
be taken at all without lots of agonizing by professionals on the long 
term consequences (like with computer models).  My guess is that many of 
the people that come up with this stuff realize that the blowback make 
take decades and by then their career will be done (esp. elected 
officials).  They'll have their glory and the collective memory will 
fade about the how the pieces fit together.

Marcus