[FRIAM] LIES, DAMN LIES, AND....

Joshua Thorp jthorp at redfish.com
Wed Sep 20 12:55:13 EDT 2006


I know that I can easily reveal my statitics ignorance here,  but why  
can a site like:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Bush_Job_Approval.htm

not have any mention of confidence intervals,  or standard error  
numbers?  The headline is Bush up 1 point.  In a survey of 1500  
people,  is that news or noise?


On Sep 20, 2006, at 10:42 AM, Douglas Roberts wrote:

> It must be working for the Republicans.  Bush's approval rating  
> popped back up to 44% recently.  I contend that if that many people  
> actually approve of Bush, then America deserves him.
>
> On 9/20/06, Joshua Thorp <jthorp at redfish.com> wrote:
> ...Statistics
>
> Interesting blog piece on bias and data massaging in political
> science articles.
>
> http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/ 
> 2006_09/009531.php
>
>
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> -- 
> Doug Roberts, RTI International
> droberts at rti.org
> doug at parrot-farm.net
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> 505-670-8195 - Cell
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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