[FRIAM] bigger plans, bigger little mistakes
Marcus G. Daniels
marcus at snoutfarm.com
Sat Apr 28 17:02:57 EDT 2007
phil henshaw wrote:
> The consensus response to global warming relies on reducing the
> impacts of economic growth by improving the efficiency of economic
> growth!
So we need a lot more clean power, and we need it fast. Time to spend
some money on figuring out how to do it!
Without efficiency gains, it's estimated 10 TW are needed globally by
2025. [1]
The ITER/DEMO fusion reactor only promises net 1.5 GW by 2045 [2], and
the largest hydroelectric facilities (Three Gorges Dam in China) are at
about 22 GW [3]. There's not enough high-grade silicon for dozens of
square miles of conventional photovoltaic solar [4]. Meanwhile, China
builds a new coal fired planed every week [5] and apparently can keep
doing that for 100 years [6].
Seems to me any cost imbalance of solar, etc. is easily fixable by
taxing the hell out of CO2 energy emissions while subsidizing the
development of new solar, fusion, carbon sequestration technology (etc).
[1] http://t8web.lanl.gov/people/rajan/Gupta_energy_for_all_2007.pdf
[2] http://fire.pppl.gov/isfnt7_maisonnier.pdf
[3] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Gorges_Dam
[4] http://www.ft.com/cms/s/e50784ea-78cb-11db-8743-0000779e2340.html
[5] http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1223/p01s04-sten.html
[6] http://www.technologyreview.com/printer_friendly_article.aspx?id=17963
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