[FRIAM] Real Time Organizational Modeling

[Michael Agar]

Paul--Came across this a while back, http:// 
www.complexityandpolicy.org/projectdescp.htm, and there's a DC  
complexity/policy center at http://www.complexsys.org/. When I still  
lived in Bushville  I remember finding all sorts of things scattered  
on the web in various corners of govt. Might be good to check the  
Brookings web page. The ABM modeling of drug epidemics under the NIH  
grant that ended a couple of years back lead to some policy  
suggestions, if you're interested in that as an example. Article in  
JASSS can be accessed through the web page as can an Agents04  
presentation with Steve and Robert that showed how analysis of  
parameters suggested a shift from epidemiology to consumer marketing.

I'm heading to a UN event next week to talk complexity. Maybe we can  
discuss it at FRIAM this Friday?

Mike Agar
www.ethknoworks.com





On Jan 23, 2007, at 8:34 AM, PPARYSKI at aol.com wrote:

> The major concern in organizational real time monitoring is  
> choosing the correct and most useful indicators.  At UNDP for whom  
> I worked for years we constantly monitored both organizations and  
> projects.sometimes with models, sometimes without.  The choice of  
> indicators clearly skews the results and future decisions and  
> developments.
>
> Actually systems biologists do use models to study natural systems  
> whether it be species, evolution of species or ecosystems.  I seem  
> to recall a computer model programme called SAS (?) that was used  
> to model evolution of species.  That was in the late 1980s.  It was  
> very cumbersome and slow.
>
> I am particularly interested in models applied to politics and how  
> to achieve progressive change and adaptive management strategies.   
> Has anyone used these kind of models?
>
> Paul Paryski
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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