[FRIAM] FRIAM and causality

Marcus G. Daniels marcus at snoutfarm.com
Mon Nov 12 19:03:31 EST 2007


sy at synapse9.com wrote:
> Sure, data is good to have, but what would past behavior tell you about the novel aspects of new behavior, and how would you be able to tell that from incomplete data on the past, anyway? 
I wasn't really thinking about predicted the future from the past, but 
rather choosing not to speculate.   For example, rather than going to 
look in some part of a genome for something you think ought to be there, 
build computerized search codes to look everywhere.    Rank order the 
statistics, and start the modeling at that point, after you can see the 
big picture of the patterns and relationships that are seen across large 
independent samples.

In any case, the same point applies.   If there is poor data, why should 
the intuitions or models that humans pull out of thin air be good priors?

Marcus



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