[FRIAM] recap on Rosen
Marcus G. Daniels
marcus at snoutfarm.com
Sat Apr 26 15:07:44 EDT 2008
phil henshaw wrote:
> No, that does not work at all. Patching together a model to suite a symptom
> in retrospect does not help you with being ready for unexpected eventfulness
> in nature that you previously had no idea that you should be looking for.
>
Never said anything about symptoms. I did suggest maybe you ought to
plan on measuring something in particular to see if models (whether your
own or those you are interpreting) are consistent with reality in a
statistically meaningful way. You can posit whatever driving events or
processes you want in-silco. A comet striking the earth, people selling
their organs to increase the profit margins of the companies, the
importance of prophets in collective decision making, or whatever..
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