[FRIAM] Modeling the Middle East?

[Phil Henshaw]

or... you could use such a model to do the ultimate unthinkable thing of
helping you study the physical world and its (mis)behavioral
differences... :-)


Phil Henshaw                       ¸¸¸¸.·´ ¯ `·.¸¸¸¸
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-- "it's not finding what people say interesting, but finding what's
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> -----Original Message-----
> From: friam-bounces at redfish.com 
> [mailto:friam-bounces at redfish.com] On Behalf Of Marcus G. Daniels
> Sent: Monday, February 11, 2008 6:33 PM
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Modeling the Middle East?
> 
> 
> Carver Tate wrote:
> > Do they really think this is possible?  How accurate do you 
> all think
> > this could possibly be?
> >
> > http://blog.wired.com/defense/2008/02/pentagon-wants.html
> One way to look at it is that such models provide rigor in encoding 
> intelligence -- situational awareness.
> 
> Even if all you get is a geographical database of where 
> resources are, 
> what major classes of relevant actors are, and there 
> interconnections, 
> that can be useful by itself.  It's just that an agent model 
> also gets 
> you the possibility of testing longer-term and indirect 
> consequences of 
> possible actions in the virtual world.   They may turn out be poor 
> predictions, but if that happens you can see if it is feasible to 
> improve the model, or just decide not to try to make certain sorts of 
> prediction.
> 
> Marcus
> 
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