[FRIAM] Santa Fe's Sugar Tax

George Duncan gtduncan at gmail.com
Wed Apr 26 14:02:03 EDT 2017


Much as I agree with Tom's analysis and wish for a better process for
public policy decision making (hey that was my career at Carnegie Mellon!),
the issue here for our own voting is whether we better off if this
initiative passes. I vote yes. Indeed I have already voted yes.

Also I cannot believe that a win for no will convince people towards
quality decision making...but rather that major corporate money must win in
the public arena.

On Wed, Apr 26, 2017 at 11:42 AM glen ☣ <gepropella at gmail.com> wrote:

>
> We have a lot of data on whether sin taxes do or don't work.  And that
> data is colored/interpreted by everyone who sees it, like all data.
>
> And that brings me to my problem with Tom's argument.  We can focus on
> this part:
>
>   "Voting on the measure is also a vote for or against good social science
> research, good public policy and administration, and full transparency of
> the people’s data."
>
> We've been over and over in several threads (that I'm sure seemed hijacked
> by the more linear amongst us) about _induction_ and the validity or
> soundness of the predicates it leads to.  Way back when I worked at a
> healthcare informatics company, "evidence-based" was all the rage.  Then a
> (small) group of debunkers finally realized and advocated a move from the
> concept of "evidence-based" to "science-based" (
> https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/about-science-based-medicine/).  Add to
> that that many of my colleagues in the social sciences tout evidence-based
> or science-based policy.
>
> I have some very deep reservations against such, with the same _flavor_ as
> my objection to the idea that government should/can be run like a
> business.  (Part of the rhetoric in favor of Trump.)  Government is not,
> inherently, a scientific enterprise.  It's an _engineering_ enterprise.
> And engineers don't really care about reality as it is.  They care about
> reality as they intend it to be.  Sure, good engineers take the intitial
> conditions into account.  But whether the initial conditions have us on
> earth or mars doesn't matter that much.  What matters is that we want to
> _go_ to Proxima Centauri.
>
> So, while I agree with the letter of the sentence above, I may disagree
> with the implication.
>
> FWIW, were I still in Santa Fe, I'd vote "yes".
>
> On 04/26/2017 09:57 AM, Gillian Densmore wrote:
> > I agree anecdotally residents of NM need help with education and health.
> > I am skeptical a tax on basically fake food,s and treats is a helpful way
> > to do that though.
> > Postive programs and tools  might help more than yet another tax possibly
> > can.
>
>
> --
> ☣ glen
>
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-- 
George Duncan
Emeritus Professor of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University
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