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Tue May 9 23:38:26 EDT 2017


to
Actors: Computational Sociology and Agent-Based Modeling=20
Michael W. Macy and Robert Willer=20
Annual Review of Sociology, Vol. 28, 2002

It is a discussion that is also engaging economists.

Jose




=20
=20
*************************
Jos=E9 Lobo
Visiting Researcher
Santa Fe Institute
1399 Hyde Park Road
Santa Fe, NM 87501
office:  505-946-2765=20
fax:      505-982-0565
mobile: 505-577-6822
joselobo25 at hotmail.com
=20
>From:=20
>Reply-To: Friam at redfish.com=20
>To:=20
>Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Methodology=20
>Date: Wed, 7 May 2003 03:13:23 +0300=20
>=20
>Robert and Owen,=20
>=20
>Maybe a good first step might be that we and fellow FRIAMers should =
start=20
>putting some ideas together. Publish it and try to get industrial and=20
>governmental buy-in.=20
>How about we chat about it? I would be happy to host it=20
>http://www.optomatica.com/ABM-M.htm=20
>=20
>Lets agree on the time... how about next Monday 9 MST? I am about 9 hrs =

>ahead of you, so the earlier the better.=20
>=20
>Mohammed=20
>=20
>----- Original Message -----=20
>From: "Owen Densmore"=20
>To:=20
>Sent: Tuesday, May 06, 2003 8:18 PM=20
>Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Methodology=20
>=20
>=20
> > I'm certainly interested in having ABM "grow up", so to speak. I've=20
> > been working with the Value Network working group at SFI:=20
> > http://valuenetwork.sourceforge.net/=20
> > http://backspaces.net/SCSim/=20
> > and part of the work has been looking at validating models. One=20
> > approach taken by the Argonne folks was to implement the model in=20
> > multiple standard environments .. called "docking"=20
> > http://backspaces.net/SCSim/BeerDock.pdf=20
> >=20
> > However, these are more low level apprroaches: how to be sure the=20
> > algorithms are robust and repeatable. Deeper questions lurk: how to=20
> > build models that reflect the situation being modeled accurately.=20
> >=20
> > I'd love to play!=20
> >=20
> > Owen=20
> >=20
> > On Tuesday, May 6, 2003, at 09:25 AM, Robert Holmes wrote:=20
> >=20
> > > Mohamed,=20
> > >=20
> > > I like the idea of a working group to start exploring an =
appropriate=20
> > > methodology for ABMs. I think it's time we tried to get some=20
> > > intellectual=20
> > > clout behind this whole question of validity.=20
> > >=20
> > > As to how this could proceed, CRISP-DM and KADS may provide some=20
> > > pointers,=20
> > > albeit they are both European programs. Both started from informal =

> > > working=20
> > > groups involving (on the push end) software vendors, consultants =
or=20
> > > academics and (on the pull end) enlightened clients. Ultimately, =
both=20
> > > attracted European Community funding (through the ESPRIT program). =
In=20
> > > fact=20
> > > KADS attracted a huge pile of funds - the program has been running =

> > > since=20
> > > 1990 and is still underway.=20
> > >=20
> > > Robert=20
> > >=20
> > > P.S. Just to give you a flavour of the groups' scope, here are =
their=20
> > > members:=20
> > >=20
> > > KADS-II (ESPRIT Project P5248)=20
> > > Cap Gemini Innovation=20
> > > Swedish Institute for Computer Science=20
> > > Cap Programator=20
> > > Siemens AG=20
> > > Netherlands Energy Research Foundation ECN=20
> > > Touche Ross Management Consultants=20
> > > Entel SA=20
> > > University of Amsterdam=20
> > > IBM France=20
> > > Free University Brussels=20
> > > Lloyd's Register=20
> > >=20
> > > CRISP_DM (ESPRIT Project 24.959)=20
> > > Teradata (Denmark)=20
> > > SPSS (was ISL) - vendors of 'Clementine' data-mining software=20
> > > DaimlerChrysler=20
> > > OHRA (Netherlands)=20
> > >=20
> > >=20
> > >=20
> > >=20
> > >=20
> > >=20
> > > =
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=20
> > > FRIAM Complexity Coffee listserv=20
> > > Meets Fridays 9AM @ Museum Hill Cafe=20
> > > Archives, unsubscribe, etc.:=20
> > > http://www.redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com=20
> > >=20
> > Owen Densmore 451 Camino Don Miguel Santa Fe, NM 87505=20
> > Work: 505-983-6305 Cell: 505-570-0168 Home: 505-988-3787=20
> > owen at backspaces.net http://backspaces.net=20
> > http://complexityworkshop.com=20
> >=20
> >=20
> > =
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=20
> > FRIAM Complexity Coffee listserv=20
> > Meets Fridays 9AM @ Museum Hill Cafe=20
> > Archives, unsubscribe, etc.:=20
> > http://www.redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com=20
> >=20
> >=20
>=20
>=20
>=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=20
>FRIAM Complexity Coffee listserv=20
>Meets Fridays 9AM @ Museum Hill Cafe=20
>Archives, unsubscribe, etc.:=20
>http://www.redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com=20

  _____ =20

Add photos to your e-mail with MSN 8. =
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<HTML><HEAD>
<META HTTP-EQUIV=3D"Content-Type" CONTENT=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
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<META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2800.1170" name=3DGENERATOR></HEAD>
<BODY>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN =
class=3D580415301-07052003>I can=20
back up what Jose is saying.  Evaluation and validation of ABMs is =
one of=20
the key thrusts of our research group in computational social sciences =
at=20
CMU.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><A=20
href=3D"http://www.casos.ece.cmu.edu/projects/index.html">http://www.caso=
s.ece.cmu.edu/projects/index.html</A></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D580415301-07052003><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =

size=3D2>Keith</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D580415301-07052003></SPAN> </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader lang=3Den-us dir=3Dltr =
align=3Dleft><FONT=20
  face=3DTahoma size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20
  Friam-admin at redfish.com [mailto:Friam-admin at redfish.com] <B>On Behalf =
Of=20
  </B>Jose Lobo<BR><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, May 06, 2003 9:43 =
PM<BR><B>To:</B>=20
  Friam at redfish.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> [FRIAM] Re: Evaluating ABM=20
  models<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>
  <DIV>
  <P>Hello everyone!</P>
  <P>The evaluation of simulation models has been a major topic of =
concern for=20
  the fields of engineering and operations research. Some of this=20
  work/literature might be of relevance to those engaged with the =
question of=20
  how to evaluate a particular type of simulation model, namely, =
ABMs.</P>
  <P>Somewhat curiously, the evaluation of ABM models has become a major =
topic=20
  within the field of sociology (at least in the United States): an =
example of=20
  this discussion -- and a good paper on the role of and evaluation of =
ABM=20
  models -- is:</P>
  <P><A =
href=3D"http://soc.annualreviews.org/cgi/content/full/28/1/143">From=20
  Factors to Actors: Computational Sociology and Agent-Based =
Modeling</A>=20
  <BR>Michael W. Macy and Robert Willer <BR><I>Annual Review of =
Sociology,</I>=20
  Vol. 28, 2002<BR><BR>It is a discussion that is also engaging =
economists.</P>
  <P>Jose</P></DIV><BR><BR><BR>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV> </DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV> </DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV>*************************</DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV>Jos=E9 Lobo</DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV>Visiting Researcher</DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV>Santa Fe Institute</DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV>1399 Hyde Park Road</DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV>Santa Fe, NM 87501</DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV>office:  505-946-2765 </DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV>fax:      505-982-0565</DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV>mobile: 505-577-6822</DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV><A =
href=3D"mailto:joselobo25 at hotmail.com">joselobo25 at hotmail.com</A></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV> </DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV></DIV>>From: <MOHAMMED at OPTOMATICA.COM>
  <DIV></DIV>>Reply-To: Friam at redfish.com=20
  <DIV></DIV>>To: <FRIAM at REDFISH.COM>
  <DIV></DIV>>Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Methodology=20
  <DIV></DIV>>Date: Wed, 7 May 2003 03:13:23 +0300=20
  <DIV></DIV>>=20
  <DIV></DIV>>Robert and Owen,=20
  <DIV></DIV>>=20
  <DIV></DIV>>Maybe a good first step might be that we and fellow =
FRIAMers=20
  should start=20
  <DIV></DIV>>putting some ideas together. Publish it and try to get=20
  industrial and=20
  <DIV></DIV>>governmental buy-in.=20
  <DIV></DIV>>How about we chat about it? I would be happy to host it =

  <DIV></DIV>>http://www.optomatica.com/ABM-M.htm=20
  <DIV></DIV>>=20
  <DIV></DIV>>Lets agree on the time... how about next Monday 9 MST? =
I am=20
  about 9 hrs=20
  <DIV></DIV>>ahead of you, so the earlier the better.=20
  <DIV></DIV>>=20
  <DIV></DIV>>Mohammed=20
  <DIV></DIV>>=20
  <DIV></DIV>>----- Original Message -----=20
  <DIV></DIV>>From: "Owen Densmore" <OWEN at BACKSPACES.NET>
  <DIV></DIV>>To: <FRIAM at REDFISH.COM>
  <DIV></DIV>>Sent: Tuesday, May 06, 2003 8:18 PM=20
  <DIV></DIV>>Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Methodology=20
  <DIV></DIV>>=20
  <DIV></DIV>>=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > I'm certainly interested in having ABM "grow up", =
so to=20
  speak. I've=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > been working with the Value Network working group =
at SFI:=20

  <DIV></DIV>> > http://valuenetwork.sourceforge.net/=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > http://backspaces.net/SCSim/=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > and part of the work has been looking at =
validating=20
  models. One=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > approach taken by the Argonne folks was to =
implement the=20
  model in=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > multiple standard environments .. called =
"docking"=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > http://backspaces.net/SCSim/BeerDock.pdf=20
  <DIV></DIV>> >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > However, these are more low level apprroaches: =
how to be=20
  sure the=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > algorithms are robust and repeatable. Deeper =
questions=20
  lurk: how to=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > build models that reflect the situation being =
modeled=20
  accurately.=20
  <DIV></DIV>> >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > I'd love to play!=20
  <DIV></DIV>> >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > Owen=20
  <DIV></DIV>> >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > On Tuesday, May 6, 2003, at 09:25 AM, Robert =
Holmes=20
  wrote:=20
  <DIV></DIV>> >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Mohamed,=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > I like the idea of a working group to start=20
  exploring an appropriate=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > methodology for ABMs. I think it's time we =
tried to=20
  get some=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > intellectual=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > clout behind this whole question of =
validity.=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > As to how this could proceed, CRISP-DM and =
KADS may=20
  provide some=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > pointers,=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > albeit they are both European programs. Both =
started=20
  from informal=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > working=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > groups involving (on the push end) software =
vendors,=20
  consultants or=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > academics and (on the pull end) enlightened =
clients.=20
  Ultimately, both=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > attracted European Community funding =
(through the=20
  ESPRIT program). In=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > fact=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > KADS attracted a huge pile of funds - the =
program=20
  has been running=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > since=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > 1990 and is still underway.=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Robert=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > P.S. Just to give you a flavour of the =
groups'=20
  scope, here are their=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > members:=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > KADS-II (ESPRIT Project P5248)=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Cap Gemini Innovation=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Swedish Institute for Computer Science=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Cap Programator=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Siemens AG=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Netherlands Energy Research Foundation ECN=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Touche Ross Management Consultants=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Entel SA=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > University of Amsterdam=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > IBM France=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Free University Brussels=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Lloyd's Register=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > CRISP_DM (ESPRIT Project 24.959)=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Teradata (Denmark)=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > SPSS (was ISL) - vendors of 'Clementine' =
data-mining=20
  software=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > DaimlerChrysler=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > OHRA (Netherlands)=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  =
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > FRIAM Complexity Coffee listserv=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Meets Fridays 9AM @ Museum Hill Cafe=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > > Archives, unsubscribe, etc.:=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  http://www.redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > Owen Densmore 451 Camino Don Miguel Santa Fe, NM =
87505=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > Work: 505-983-6305 Cell: 505-570-0168 Home: =
505-988-3787=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > owen at backspaces.net http://backspaces.net=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > http://complexityworkshop.com=20
  <DIV></DIV>> >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > =
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=20

  <DIV></DIV>> > FRIAM Complexity Coffee listserv=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > Meets Fridays 9AM @ Museum Hill Cafe=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > Archives, unsubscribe, etc.:=20
  <DIV></DIV>> > =
http://www.redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com=20

  <DIV></DIV>> >=20
  <DIV></DIV>> >=20
  <DIV></DIV>>=20
  <DIV></DIV>>=20
  =
<DIV></DIV>>=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=20
  <DIV></DIV>>FRIAM Complexity Coffee listserv=20
  <DIV></DIV>>Meets Fridays 9AM @ Museum Hill Cafe=20
  <DIV></DIV>>Archives, unsubscribe, etc.:=20
  =
<DIV></DIV>>http://www.redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com =

  <DIV></DIV></DIV><BR clear=3Dall>
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=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
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