[FRIAM] Fwd: Question from Merle

[Merle Lefkoff]

Nick, I presented your question about variability to our close Swedish
colleague, Lars Larsson.  Here is his response below.



---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Lars Larsson <perslars at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, Jan 5, 2020 at 6:10 AM
Subject: Sv: Question from Merle
To: Merle Lefkoff <merlelefkoff at gmail.com>


Hej Merle,
All farming-land need a rotation of different crops. Some times perennial
plants to increase the nitrogen and some time other crops.
So it means that we need a rotation program (3-5 year) and this different
plant must stand the climate change.

A bigger problem is the insects. We need them for this rotation. I have
been working with my local food program since we met in Stockholm.
I talk to fisher/hunters and they told me that this year the fishing was
zero. So I talk to next village and next village and next village and
everywhere the same problem.

So I find some experts (entomologist) of insects and they told me that the
situation is catastrophic. The insect are  more or less extinct. In this
clean country?
We *cant focus on climate change*, it is only a part of the problem. Just
now, just here it is not a problem at all. The problem with lack of insects
is worse.

The entomologists told me the they have warn the government years ago. The
problem is the management of the forests and the pesticides from the
farming.
This is two sensitive areas for the government so they did not listen. If
the scientist was to tell about it they lost their titles so they could not
tell the truth about it.
And it is still the same situation.

So in my topsoil improvement program I involve the insects and now it is
emergency. We have 2-3 years to help them to survival.
If the insects will be extinct the climate doesn't matter we can't
survival. It takes millions of years to repair. Climate can be adjusted i
100 year if we want.

Kram
Lars


------------------------------
*Från:* Merle Lefkoff <merlelefkoff at gmail.com>
*Skickat:* den 5 januari 2020 07:54
*Till:* Lars Larsson <perslars at hotmail.com>
*Ämne:* Question from Merle

A member of the complexity group here is a retired Philosophy professor.
I've got them all thinking about climate now, and here is what Nick wrote:

"I could (after some labor) cite data to support the following concern:  What
we should be watching out for, perhaps more than long term climate warming,
is increases in year-to-year climate variability.

You can grow rape seed in Canada and maize in the US, and as the
 climate alters, the bands of climate supporting these two crops will
 move north.  But what happens if one year the climate demands one crop  and
the next the other?  And the switch from one to the other is entirely
unpredictable.

LARS--is this a good idea?  Do you have data on this?

-- 
Merle Lefkoff, Ph.D.
Center for Emergent Diplomacy
emergentdiplomacy.org
Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA
merlelefkoff at gmail.com <merlelefoff at gmail.com>
mobile:  (303) 859-5609
skype:  merle.lelfkoff2
twitter: @Merle_Lefkoff


-- 
Merle Lefkoff, Ph.D.
President, Center for Emergent Diplomacy
emergentdiplomacy.org
Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA
merlelefkoff at gmail.com <merlelefoff at gmail.com>
mobile:  (303) 859-5609
skype:  merle.lelfkoff2
twitter: @Merle_Lefkoff
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