[FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? - The New York Times

Wed May 6 23:43:44 EDT 2020

Stephen is messing with us.

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Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Wed, May 6, 2020, 9:42 PM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com> wrote:

> I love that, Frank.  A digital version of “this is not a cigar”.
>
>
>
> Thank you,
>
>
>
> n
>
>
>
> Nicholas Thompson
>
> Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
>
> Clark University
>
> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
>
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> *On Behalf Of *Frank Wimberly
> *Sent:* Wednesday, May 6, 2020 9:24 PM
> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <
> friam at redfish.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? -
> The New York Times
>
>
>
> What about hand soap.
>
>
>
> By the way, the morse code in the Friam signature says, "Random dots and
> dashes" .
>
>
>
> On Wed, May 6, 2020 at 9:21 PM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> By the way, I just read an article in the NYT which assures me that a
> “sanitizer” is not guaranteed to kill viruses.
>
>
>
> Oh, gosh!
>
>
>
> Nick
>
>
>
> Nicholas Thompson
>
> Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
>
> Clark University
>
> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
>
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> *On Behalf Of *Prof David West
> *Sent:* Wednesday, May 6, 2020 8:40 PM
> *To:* friam at redfish.com
> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? -
> The New York Times
>
>
>
> When we have comprehensive data — say a year from now — there will be
> hundreds of unexplained anomalies. All of the models and all of the
> formulas will be made more and more complex to try to account for those
> anomalies, the epidemiological and statistical equivalent of astronomical
> epicycles.
>
>
>
> And no one will look at variations in individual and group (10-100
> individuals) behavior and how they differ as a "function" of culture. And
> they will thereby miss the "explanation" for those anomalies.
>
>
>
> No grocery store in the Utah counties of Kane and Garfield, had had empty
> toilet paper, flour, or sanitizer shelves. Not fully stocked, absent the
> usual variety, but never empty. A statistical / economic / "scientific"
> study of these two counties and any other two counties in the US with
> similar populations and population density/distributions will never reveal
> the "reason" for this phenomenon. A cultural investigation will expose the
> "reason" almost immediately.
>
>
>
> I predict similar anomalies with regard spread of the disease and most
> importantly variations in death rates among those infected. And, the
> "reason" will again be cultural/behavioral.
>
>
>
> davew
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> On Wed, May 6, 2020, at 3:49 PM, thompnickson2 at gmail.com wrote:
>
> Doesn’t doubling time handle that problem?
>
>
>
> N
>
>
>
> Nicholas Thompson
>
> Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
>
> Clark University
>
> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
>
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> *On Behalf Of *Steven A Smith
>
> *Sent:* Wednesday, May 6, 2020 2:00 PM
>
> *To:* friam at redfish.com
>
> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? -
> The New York Times
>
>
>
>
>
> On 5/6/20 1:54 PM, Frank Wimberly wrote:
>
> My  brother lives in Dahlonega, Lumpkin County, Georgia.  The map Georgia
> map surprises me Atlanta is not a hotspot.  Atlanta dominates the
> population of the State.  Southwest Georgia has a much higher
> concentration.  Georgia, unlike Pennsylvania, has a large population of
> rural African Americans.
>
> This just underscores how hard it is to make sense out of absolute
> numbers, or more to the point, numerators without denominators.    At least
> some of the charts of absolute numbers (as long as they are not
> renormalized from situation to situation) provide a visual estimation of
> "slope".
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> On Wed, May 6, 2020 at 1:43 PM Roger Critchlow <rec at elf.org> wrote:
>
> Hall County is a county located in the north central portion of the U.S.
> state of Georgia. As of the 2010 census, the population was 179,684. The
> county seat is Gainesville.
>
>
>
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>
> https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/national/coronavirus-us-cases-deaths/ provides
> maps of deaths and cases per county, raw numbers and per 100000 population.
>
>
>
> -- rec --
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> On Wed, May 6, 2020 at 3:18 PM uǝlƃ ☣ <gepropella at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Hall: 20,441
>
> DeKalb: 759,297
>
>
>
> On 5/6/20 12:08 PM, thompnickson2 at gmail.com wrote:
>
> > Glen, those Hall/King comparisons are pretty dramatic.  Go Kemp! What is
> the population of the two counties?
>
>
>
> --
>
> ☣ uǝlƃ
>
>
>
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> --
>
> Frank Wimberly
>
> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz
>
> Santa Fe, NM 87505
>
> 505 670-9918
>
>
>
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> Frank Wimberly
> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz
> Santa Fe, NM 87505
> 505 670-9918
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