[FRIAM] Wisconsin stay-at-home (safer at home) order overturned

thompnickson2 at gmail.com thompnickson2 at gmail.com
Thu May 14 12:15:08 EDT 2020


Glen, 

I think these are great, and I hope you will keep them coming.  My eyesight is sufficiently bad that I also appreciate you gloss on them, because I cannot always distinguish the colors.  

My schadenfreude is tracing Hall very closely.  

Thanks for doing this.

Nicholas Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
Clark University
ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
 


-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ?
Sent: Thursday, May 14, 2020 9:21 AM
To: FriAM <friam at redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Wisconsin stay-at-home (safer at home) order overturned

I know I said I wouldn't spam the list with these plots anymore. But the comparison of DeKalb/Hall to Milwaukee/Racine and Milwaukee/Brown is interesting. (Sorry for the nearly inscrutable colors.)

On 5/14/20 7:55 AM, Steven A Smith wrote:
> This seems like a good test bed of some of the assumptions behind Dave's "prophecy".   Will the (if we believe in the germ theory and network transmission) uptick in cases resulting from this lead to a continuation of the pandemic (or "pandemic" if we prefer to believe the only uncontrolled growth is in hysterical media coverage and hypochondria).   The best case (and one I mostly hope for) might be if the subset of the WI population who now disregard the (former) rules is small enough and insular (only infecting one another) enough and/or the herd immunity has grown enough (highest estimates in places like NYC I think are still down as low as 20% out of the believed 70% required to bring R0 below 1.0 w/o masks/social-distance measures?).  

-- 
☣ uǝlƃ




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