[FRIAM] Public Health Gating Criteria for Reopening New Mexico | NMDOH - CV Modeling

Steve Smith sasmyth at swcp.com
Mon Nov 2 21:27:09 EST 2020


I don't know the answer to your question, but here is some time-series
estimates for Ro in NM.    We have been above 1.0 for over 2 months.

> https://cvmodeling.nmhealth.org/public-health-gating-criteria-for-reopening-nm/
> <https://cvmodeling.nmhealth.org/public-health-gating-criteria-for-reopening-nm/>
>
>
> Can anybody explain how it could be that the reproductive rate of the
> virus in NM has fallen to 1.07 from 1.29 in the last two weeks, as the
> daily case rate has almost doubled and the positive test rate is just
> below it’s highest level (10.0%) at 9.1%. 
>
> Inquiring readers want to know.
>
> Nick
>
>
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