[FRIAM] election eve

[Frank Wimberly]

Nick,

Senate still undecided but it doesn't look great.

Frank

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Wed, Nov 4, 2020, 11:14 AM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com> wrote:

> But we didn’t get the senate, right?
>
>
>
> Nicholas Thompson
>
> Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
>
> Clark University
>
> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
>
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> *On Behalf Of *Frank Wimberly
> *Sent:* Wednesday, November 4, 2020 12:12 PM
> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <
> friam at redfish.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] election eve
>
>
>
> Nick,
>
>
>
> See Glen's 270 to 267 estimate.  Biden may still win either Georgia or
> Pennsylvania or both because of the Democrat majority that is likely among
> the uncounted votes.  If any of that happens Biden wins with a margin.
>
>
>
> But it's too close for relaxation.
>
>
>
> Frank
>
> ---
> Frank C. Wimberly
> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
> Santa Fe, NM 87505
>
> 505 670-9918
> Santa Fe, NM
>
>
>
> On Wed, Nov 4, 2020, 11:05 AM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Gary,
>
> If you want to live in the bubble for a few more hours, try
>
> https://abc.com/watch-live/abc-news
>
> Marcus,  The message I am getting from those folks is something like: "We
> tried rationality for 50 years and look where it got us;  let's try crazy
> for 4 more years."
>
> I know two trump supporters quite well.  Mind you, we don't talk politics
> that much.  Both are owners of small businesses who have led the highly
> regulated lives that folks must lead if they are going to make money in a
> politically diverse community.  Both [thought they] saw gains from the Tax
> Cuts.  I think both think the economic policies have been good for them and
> they find the crazy stuff kinda fun.  Like a bit of a wild fling.  They
> certainly don't take those things any more seriously than I took Clinton,
> with whatsername under the Resolute Desk, while he was negotiating with the
> Majority Leader.  Tsk Tsk, I say and them move on.  That's what they do,
> and they cannot under stand why I am scared by Trump, any more than I could
> understand why they were scared by Obama.  I once called one of my
> relatives in Texas during the bush/Kerry election, because she had been
> born in Massachusetts and I thought she could help me understand. "I think
> that man is dangerous," she said.  I agreed, thinking she was talking about
> Bush.  "Yes," she went on.  "No telling what he will do if he and the
> democrats get in."
>
> Kerry, DANGEROUS?  My god that man was scared of getting tomato sauce on
> his polo shirt.  But she really was quaking with fear..  Just like I am
> now.
>
> The one I really am scared of is McConnell.  Hitler got in because the
> cartels that dominated German politics thought they could "use" him. Look
> how that turned out.
>
> Nick
>
> Nick
>
> Nicholas Thompson
> Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
> Clark University
> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> On Behalf Of Marcus Daniels
> Sent: Wednesday, November 4, 2020 11:24 AM
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam at redfish.com>
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] election eve
>
> Yeah, the main take home to me is the same as before:  Almost half the
> country is batshit crazy.
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ???
> Sent: Wednesday, November 4, 2020 9:22 AM
> To: friam at redfish.com
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] election eve
>
> Right. So both the guardian and nyt show called Biden: 227, Trump: 213
> with PA(20), NC(15), and GA(16) toward Trump and MI(16), WI(10), NV(6), and
> AZ(11) toward Biden.
>
> 227+16+10+11+6 = 270
> 213+3+15+20+16 = 267
>
> I don't think there's a reason to be optimistic ... cautiously or not.
> Regardless of which value the artificially binary outcome lands on, it's
> the closeness of it that causes the problems.
>
> On 11/4/20 9:08 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> > Biden has got a 270 vs. 267 last time I checked, assuming he can’t take
> Pennsylvania.
>
> --
> ↙↙↙ uǝlƃ
>
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