[FRIAM] election eve

George Duncan gtduncan at gmail.com
Thu Nov 5 15:31:10 EST 2020


But now you can link online to those (even perhaps few) who will reinforce
your (perhaps crazy) views

George Duncan
Emeritus Professor of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University
georgeduncanart.com
See posts on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram
Land: (505) 983-6895
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My art theme: Dynamic exposition of the tension between matrix order and
luminous chaos.

"Attempt what is not certain. Certainty may or may not come later. It may
then be a valuable delusion."
>From "Notes to myself on beginning a painting" by Richard Diebenkorn.

"It's that knife-edge of uncertainty where we come alive to our truest
power." Joanna Macy.




On Thu, Nov 5, 2020 at 1:28 PM Marcus Daniels <marcus at snoutfarm.com> wrote:

> It is easier to believe crazy things if you are decoupled from people that
> will show you otherwise.
>
>
>
> *From:* Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> *On Behalf Of *Frank Wimberly
> *Sent:* Thursday, November 5, 2020 12:07 PM
> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <
> friam at redfish.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] election eve
>
>
>
> A large percentage of the variance between "us" and "them" seems to be
> living in a city vs living in the country.  Not all but a lot.
>
>
>
> ---
> Frank C. Wimberly
> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
> Santa Fe, NM 87505
>
> 505 670-9918
> Santa Fe, NM
>
>
>
> On Thu, Nov 5, 2020, 12:59 PM Marcus Daniels <marcus at snoutfarm.com> wrote:
>
> At some level I think we all recognize that the United States has been a
> predatory nation.   For centuries, the influential in this country arranged
> to take the things they wanted, even people.    We recognize that we have a
> better lifestyle than people elsewhere in the world.   Trump releases the
> shame that might cause us to consider repairing the harm we have done or at
> least work harder to justify our special status.   No, it is enough to join
> Team Trump and call those people names.   My dog would have the instinct to
> herd them, and she would be right.
>
>
>
> *From:* Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> *On Behalf Of *Robert J.
> Cordingley
> *Sent:* Thursday, November 5, 2020 11:08 AM
> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <
> friam at redfish.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] election eve
>
>
>
> NYT Nicholas Kristof ended his OpEd
> <https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/04/opinion/donald-trump-election-2020.html>
> this morning with a paragraph that summarized my feeling entirely:
>
> "So as I fret about Trump’s efforts to do Russia’s work and delegitimize
> this election, I also keep wrestling with this question: How is it that so
> many millions of Americans watched Trump for four years, suffered the pain
> of his bungling of Covid-19, listened to his stream of lies, observed his
> attacks on American institutions — and then voted for him in greater
> numbers than before?"
>
> Last count per NYT, there have been 68,644,941 votes (47.8%) this morning
> for Trump. So many voters, that apparently don't see {choose your favorite
> crisis} as a key issue either, it boggles my mind. What have those
> movements done wrong? If I didn't understand how difficult it is to steal
> an election (detailed in another NYT oped today), I might even say there
> was something fishy.
>
> Suggestions?
>
> Robert C
>
> On 11/4/20 5:59 PM, Eric Charles wrote:
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Wed, Nov 4, 2020 at 5:31 PM Jochen Fromm <jofr at cas-group.net> wrote:
>
> Both cnn.com and foxnews.com report Biden will win Michigan and
> Wisconsin, and if he wins Arizona and Nevada too where he leads, he has 270
> electoral votes. This means it looks good for Biden! All here hope that Joe
> wins.
>
>
>
> -J.
>
>
>
> -------- Original message --------
>
> From: uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ <gepropella at gmail.com>
>
> Date: 11/4/20 19:18 (GMT+01:00)
>
> To: friam at redfish.com
>
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] election eve
>
>
>
> One thing that confuses me is Trump being attributed 267 vs 268 EVs. But I
> suppose it could be Maine, with it's split representation:
>
>
> https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/election-results-and-news-11-04-20/h_f5ca6d24c85ac45e193bf0b1c9b1a2f6
>
>
> On 11/4/20 10:12 AM, Frank Wimberly wrote:
> > Nick,
> >
> > See Glen's 270 to 267 estimate.  Biden may still win either Georgia or
> Pennsylvania or both because of the Democrat majority that is likely among
> the uncounted votes.  If any of that happens Biden wins with a margin.
> >
> [...]
> >     Biden: 227, Trump: 213 with PA(20), NC(15), and GA(16) toward Trump
> and MI(16), WI(10), NV(6), and AZ(11) toward Biden.
> >
> >     227+16+10+11+6 = 270
> >     213+3+15+20+16 = 267
>
> --
> ↙↙↙ uǝlƃ
>
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> Cirrillian
>
> Web Design & Development
>
> Santa Fe, NM
>
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