[FRIAM] vote

[Frank Wimberly]

The conditional probability of Trump given rural is high but you said that
in other words.

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Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Fri, Nov 6, 2020, 4:34 PM Prof David West <profwest at fastmail.fm> wrote:

> A comment was made at vFRIAM that support of trump/biden was "explained in
> large part as rural versus urban."
>
> I just did a quick, and therefore not 100% accurate, count of the
> population of states supporting trump: more or less 75 million. If that was
> the sole source of his support, then 90% of the population of those states
> — not just voters — would have to vote trump to account for his 68 million
> votes.
>
> Yes, flyover country is sparsely populated (in comparison) and yes, they
> supported trump, but, just like biden, most of his support had to come from
> urban areas.
>
> davew
>
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