[FRIAM] high turnout and tight races?

[Eric Charles]

"I've always heard that tight races lead to higher turnout" that is true!
Though it might be better to say that the perception of a tight race leads
to higher turnout.

However, other things can also lead to high turn out. Rampant polarization
of the population with a media-induced frenzy of urgency. If the number of
people on each side of the polarization is uneven, then the larger the turn
out, the better the chance the final count reflects the population
discrepancy.


<echarles at american.edu>


On Wed, Oct 28, 2020 at 7:20 PM uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ <gepropella at gmail.com> wrote:

> From:
>
> https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7
> "6. High turnout makes razor-thin victories, like the ones Trump notched
> in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania in 2016, much less likely."
>
> Is that true? I've always heard that tight races lead to higher turnout,
> which would imply that high turnout would correlate WITH thin victories,
> not against them.
>
> --
> ↙↙↙ uǝlƃ
>
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