[FRIAM] I am accepting wagers

[thompnickson2 at gmail.com]

Surely, we have the ability to Fix Dave Up with the Pet Licensing Board, and vice versa.  

 

N

 

Nick Thompson

 <mailto:ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com

 <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

From: Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> On Behalf Of Tom Johnson
Sent: Saturday, March 13, 2021 1:26 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam at redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] I am accepting wagers

 

Hay, Brother Dave, how about telling this to Santa Fe City Hall, the Santa Fe County Clerk, county commissioners and even the Pet Licensing division of the Sheriff's Office.  

TJ


  <https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/mail/9a9055e2d52abb63f5_1615663546381?uid=226430> 


============================================
Tom Johnson - tom at jtjohnson.com <https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/9a9055e2d52abb63f5_1615663546381?uid=226430&url=mailto%3Atom%40jtjohnson.com> 
Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA
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  <https://tc4.shftrk.com/e/pzkoDOeMGvJy31nM/5jpvMy1zmrk8G1BY/mxGkn85KGR4dXZvj> 

 

On Sat, Mar 13, 2021 at 11:05 AM Prof David West <profwest at fastmail.fm <mailto:profwest at fastmail.fm> > wrote:

Biden promised a Federal Website to give citizens easy an accurate access to vaccination appointments. Fully operational May 1, date that all Americans wishing a vaccine/vaccination will be able to obtain one.

Assume 50,000 vaccination sites, 50, 15-minute, time slots per day and, at that time, a maximum of 150 million clients.

There are several people on this list who, I believe, could build this Website over the course of a weekend, including UE (user experience) elements like Google Maps for site locations, and install it on a cloud server for volume scaling/descaling. Allow a month to collect data - the only thing really problematic is a list of sites, addresses, and operational hours (to constrain the daily calendar slots).

Total cost: < $25,000 ($500 hr - you folks deserve this pay rate - for 40-50 hours)

Now the wager: I bet that the feds will contract with a major software development corporation for development. Contract will be in the range of 5 and 10 million dollars; there is a 50% chance the site will be late or deployed with partial functionality; there is a 20% chance that it will be as dramatic a failure upon debut as was the healthcare.gov <http://healthcare.gov>  site.

Risk is two beverages of your/my choice — payable when next we can share a physical presence.

davew



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