[FRIAM] hot streaks

Wed Sep 22 17:58:38 EDT 2021

Roger, 

This is exactly why we need to think more about Abduction.  Some of the ships of the fleet are bigger than others and we need to think how and why that is.  There are many symptoms of measles, but one, the presence of Koplic’s spots, is worth many times more than the others.   Koplic’s spots not only occur early in the disease but are extremely useful in eliminating other rash diseases.    Bybee in his article recounts the story of the Count de Something who was said to be the Duchesses lover, a surmise that was confirmed when the cantankerous lapdog of the Duchess was extremely friendly with him when they encountered one another at court.  Some abductive inferences are better than others.  To infer that one was a prisoner at Dachau from his evident PTSD is one thing; to infer it from the tatoo on his forearm is quite another.  

N

Nick Thompson

 <mailto:ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com

 <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

From: Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> On Behalf Of Roger Critchlow
Sent: Wednesday, September 22, 2021 5:18 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam at redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] hot streaks

Nick --

How much of the fleet do you need to examine to make this metaphor float?

How many scientific journals are published globally per year? No one knows how many scientific journals there are, but several estimates point to around 30,000, with close to two million articles published each year.Jun 1, 2021

-- rec --

On Wed, Sep 22, 2021 at 12:21 PM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com <mailto:thompnickson2 at gmail.com> > wrote:

Roger, 

If Peirce had been fond of metaphors, he would ask is this Motley Fleet of Science moving toward some long term outcome, or are the boats just flailing around in a totally uncoordinated manner.  If the former, then from that we have our best GUESS for where the truth lies.  Peirce hated “fashion”, thought art/music opinionators were idiots and would not have paid much attention to the dumpster fires.  But lordy how they will stink up a campus.  

n

Nick Thompson

 <mailto:ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com

 <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

From: Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com <mailto:friam-bounces at redfish.com> > On Behalf Of Roger Critchlow
Sent: Wednesday, September 22, 2021 11:59 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam at redfish.com <mailto:friam at redfish.com> >
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] hot streaks

I think it actually all makes sense in a Peircian way.  First we thought papers meant proven work, then published papers, then peer reviewed published papers, then peer reviewed published papers with citations, then peer reviewed published papers with citations and no dumpster fires on social meda.  What next?  Where does it end?  It never ends.

-- rec --

On Wed, Sep 22, 2021 at 12:38 AM Marcus Daniels <marcus at snoutfarm.com <mailto:marcus at snoutfarm.com> > wrote:

Overall, the wealthy (senior authors) in this scenario are as with real money.  They are:  1) the ones who create cranks to turn (some random topic to torture endlessly), and 2) those that employ people to turn them on their behalf.   But, if someone does find a way to turn them into integral units of Bitcoin I know I would find it motivating!

On Sep 21, 2021, at 8:48 PM, Jon Zingale <jonzingale at gmail.com <mailto:jonzingale at gmail.com> > wrote:

For any feeling charitable, send checks to:

Jon Zingale

620 1/2 Alto Street

Santa Fe, New Mexico 87501

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