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<div class="plaintext"><p dir="auto">Isn’t that what Friday mornings are about?</p>
<p dir="auto">--Barry (Bonzo)</p>
<p dir="auto">On 4 Feb 2019, at 15:48, Nick Thompson wrote:</p>
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<div lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'>Thanks, everybody, for these suggestions. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'>I should be able to manage extracting data from primates, since that is what my phd was in. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'>N<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'>Nicholas S. Thompson<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'>Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'>Clark University<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'><a href="http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/"><span style='color:#0563C1'>http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>From:</span></b><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'> Friam [mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com] <b>On Behalf Of </b>Roger Critchlow<br><b>Sent:</b> Monday, February 04, 2019 8:24 AM<br><b>To:</b> The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com><br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] Learning about Bayesian Statistics<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>You could also look at Richard McElreath's Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan, a book, software package, and youtube lectures. McElreath is an anthropologist who studies the development of social learning in primates, so naturally he teaches a statistics course for natural and social scientists focused on getting data to answer scientific questions. The first two lectures explain why Bayes and why an anthropologist is teaching statistics.<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4WVelCswXo4&list=PLDcUM9US4XdNM4Edgs7weiyIguLSToZRI">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4WVelCswXo4&list=PLDcUM9US4XdNM4Edgs7weiyIguLSToZRI</a><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>-- rec --<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Mon, Feb 4, 2019 at 8:28 AM Edward Angel <<a href="mailto:angel@cs.unm.edu">angel@cs.unm.edu</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><p class=MsoNormal>You might also like Nate Silver’s book “The Signal and the Noise”. It’s almost non technical and has interesting examples of the use and non use of Bayesian reasoning from the house market collapse to evaluating baseball players. <o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Ed<o:p></o:p></p><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black'>____________ <o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt'><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black'>Ed Angel<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black'>Founding Director, Art, Research, Technology and Science Laboratory (ARTS Lab)<br>Professor Emeritus of Computer Science, University of New Mexico<br><br>1017 Sierra Pinon<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black'>Santa Fe, NM 87501<br>505-984-0136 (home)<span class=gmail-m-2155294444721678767apple-tab-span> </span> <span class=gmail-m-2155294444721678767apple-tab-span> </span><a href="mailto:angel@cs.unm.edu" target="_blank">angel@cs.unm.edu</a><o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:black'>505-453-4944 (cell) <span class=gmail-m-2155294444721678767apple-tab-span> </span><a href="http://www.cs.unm.edu/~angel" target="_blank">http://www.cs.unm.edu/~angel</a><br> <span class=gmail-m-2155294444721678767apple-tab-span> </span><o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><br><br><o:p></o:p></p><blockquote style='margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt'><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Feb 3, 2019, at 12:03 AM, George Duncan <<a href="mailto:gtduncan@gmail.com" target="_blank">gtduncan@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma",sans-serif'>At Friday's church service Nick asked about how one might learn the basics of Bayesian statistics. I said I would think about it, and so here are my conclusions.<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma",sans-serif'>For historical and philosophical background: Read The Emergence of Probability by Ian Hacking<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma",sans-serif'>For a systematic course: Take Coursera, Bayesian Statistics, a course from Duke University with a 7-day free trial. <o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma",sans-serif'>Also of course there are several reasonable texts on Bayesian Statistics.<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>George Duncan<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Emeritus Professor of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University<br><a href="http://georgeduncanart.com/" target="_blank">georgeduncanart.com</a><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>See posts on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Land: (505) 983-6895 <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Mobile: (505) 469-4671<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal> <br>My art theme: Dynamic exposition of the tension between matrix order and luminous chaos.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><h1 style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;letter-spacing:-.25pt;font-weight:normal'>"Attempt what is not certain. Certainty may or may not come later. It may then be a valuable delusion."</span><span style='letter-spacing:-.25pt'><o:p></o:p></span></h1><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;letter-spacing:-.25pt'>From "Notes to myself on beginning a painting" by Richard Diebenkorn. </span><o:p></o:p></p></div><table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width="85%" style='width:85.0%;border-collapse:collapse'><tr><td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'><p align=center style='mso-margin-top-alt:3.0pt;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:9.0pt;margin-left:0in;text-align:center'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#5D5651'>"It's that knife-edge of uncertainty where we come alive to our truest power." Joanna Macy.</span><span style='font-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#5D5651'><o:p></o:p></span></p></td></tr><tr><td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'></td></tr></table></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal>============================================================<br>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College<br>to unsubscribe <a href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com" target="_blank">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>archives back to 2003: <a href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/" target="_blank">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a> by Dr. Strangelove<o:p></o:p></p></div></blockquote></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal>============================================================<br>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College<br>to unsubscribe <a href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com" target="_blank">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>archives back to 2003: <a href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/" target="_blank">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a> by Dr. Strangelove<o:p></o:p></p></blockquote></div></div></div></blockquote>
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