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<p dir="auto"><img src="cid:C0BF1AAF-13F2-447F-A6D3-E4D7F6C3597A@mackichan.com" alt="" title="IMG_1664.JPG"></p>
<p dir="auto">Attached is a sketch from my memory of the estimates of the completion of Microsoft Word for Windows made on various dates. The dashed line is where the estimated date of completion equals the year the estimate was made. There are about three or four squares to a year.</p>
<p dir="auto">I suggested it be engraved in brass and displayed over the entrances to the buildings at Microsoft. The caption of “Abandon hope all who enter here” was optional.</p>
<p dir="auto">As usual, nobody took my advice.</p>
<p dir="auto">--Barry</p>
<p dir="auto">On 24 Apr 2019, at 14:00, Tom Johnson wrote:</p>
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<blockquote class="embedded"><div dir="ltr"><br clear="all"><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><strong style="color:rgb(80,80,80);font-family:"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;background-color:rgb(252,252,252)">"Software development time estimates. </strong><span style="color:rgb(80,80,80);font-family:"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;background-color:rgb(252,252,252)">Derek M. Jones </span><a href="http://mail01.tinyletterapp.com/data-is-plural/data-is-plural-2019-04-24-edition/14233366-github.com/derek-jones/eseur-code-data?c=b52636bc-cb2b-4f8c-a7dd-a9ca89484e10" target="_blank" style="color:rgb(52,102,204);text-decoration-line:none;font-family:"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;background-color:rgb(252,252,252)">analyzes software-engineering data</a><span style="color:rgb(80,80,80);font-family:"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;background-color:rgb(252,252,252)">. Recently, he convinced a small software company to release a </span><a href="http://mail01.tinyletterapp.com/data-is-plural/data-is-plural-2019-04-24-edition/14233370-github.com/derek-jones/sip_dataset?c=b52636bc-cb2b-4f8c-a7dd-a9ca89484e10" target="_blank" style="color:rgb(52,102,204);text-decoration-line:none;font-family:"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;background-color:rgb(252,252,252)">dataset documenting its internal time estimates</a><span style="color:rgb(80,80,80);font-family:"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;background-color:rgb(252,252,252)">, spanning 10 years, 20 projects, and 10,000+ tasks. For each task, the dataset indicates the number of hours it was predicted to take, how long it actually took, the (anonymized) developers it was assigned to, and more. [h/t </span><a href="http://mail01.tinyletterapp.com/data-is-plural/data-is-plural-2019-04-24-edition/14233374-erikbern.com/2019/04/15/why-software-projects-take-longer-than-you-think-a-statistical-model.html?c=b52636bc-cb2b-4f8c-a7dd-a9ca89484e10" target="_blank" style="color:rgb(52,102,204);text-decoration-line:none;font-family:"Helvetica Neue",Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;background-color:rgb(252,252,252)">Erik Bern</a> and <span style="background-color:rgb(252,252,252);color:rgb(48,48,48);text-align:center"><font face="arial, helvetica, sans-serif"><a href="https://twitter.com/jsvine">Jeremy Singer-Vine</a></font></span>] " </div><div>============================================<br>Tom Johnson - <a href="mailto:tom@jtjohnson.com" target="_blank">tom@jtjohnson.com</a><br>Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA<br>505.577.6482(c) 505.473.9646(h)<br><a href="http://nmfog.org" target="_blank"><b><font color="#0b5394">NM Foundation for Open Government</font></b></a><br><b><font color="#0000ff">Check out <a href="https://www.facebook.com/pages/Its-The-Peoples-Data/1599854626919671" target="_blank">It's The People's Data</a></font></b> </div><div>============================================</div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></blockquote>
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</blockquote><blockquote><p dir="auto">============================================================<br>
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