<html>
<head>
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
</head>
<body>
<p><br>
</p>
<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 11/14/19 6:10 PM, Marcus Daniels
wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:A702A845-3A83-470D-A854-FCDB93C8390B@snoutfarm.com">
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
<meta name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 15 (filtered
medium)">
<style><!--
/* Font Definitions */
@font-face
{font-family:"Cambria Math";
panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4;}
@font-face
{font-family:Calibri;
panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;}
/* Style Definitions */
p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal
{margin:0in;
margin-bottom:.0001pt;
font-size:11.0pt;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;}
h1
{mso-style-priority:9;
mso-style-link:"Heading 1 Char";
mso-margin-top-alt:auto;
margin-right:0in;
mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:0in;
font-size:24.0pt;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
font-weight:bold;}
h2
{mso-style-priority:9;
mso-style-link:"Heading 2 Char";
mso-margin-top-alt:auto;
margin-right:0in;
mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:0in;
font-size:18.0pt;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
font-weight:bold;}
h3
{mso-style-priority:9;
mso-style-link:"Heading 3 Char";
mso-margin-top-alt:auto;
margin-right:0in;
mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:0in;
font-size:13.5pt;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
font-weight:bold;}
a:link, span.MsoHyperlink
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:blue;
text-decoration:underline;}
a:visited, span.MsoHyperlinkFollowed
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:purple;
text-decoration:underline;}
p.msonormal0, li.msonormal0, div.msonormal0
{mso-style-name:msonormal;
mso-margin-top-alt:auto;
margin-right:0in;
mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:0in;
font-size:11.0pt;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;}
span.Heading1Char
{mso-style-name:"Heading 1 Char";
mso-style-priority:9;
mso-style-link:"Heading 1";
font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif;
color:#2F5496;}
span.Heading2Char
{mso-style-name:"Heading 2 Char";
mso-style-priority:9;
mso-style-link:"Heading 2";
font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif;
color:#2F5496;}
span.Heading3Char
{mso-style-name:"Heading 3 Char";
mso-style-priority:9;
mso-style-link:"Heading 3";
font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif;
color:#1F3763;}
span.EmailStyle22
{mso-style-type:personal-reply;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
color:windowtext;}
.MsoChpDefault
{mso-style-type:export-only;
font-size:10.0pt;}
@page WordSection1
{size:8.5in 11.0in;
margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;}
div.WordSection1
{page:WordSection1;}
--></style>
<div class="WordSection1">
<p class="MsoNormal">Generative machine learning seems a heck of
a lot easier than ABMs for stress testing.
</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-family:
PublicoText-Roman-Web, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New
Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal;
font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal;
font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);
text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;
display: inline !important; float: none;">Agent-based models,
used in fields from biology to sociology, are bottom-up,
simulating the messy interactions of hundreds and even millions
of agents—human cells or attitudes or financial firms—to explain
the behavior of a complex system.<span> </span></span><br>
</blockquote>
<p>I think the point of Agent Models is to yield *explanatory* not
just *predictive results?</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:A702A845-3A83-470D-A854-FCDB93C8390B@snoutfarm.com">
<div class="WordSection1">
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<div style="border:none;border-top:solid #B5C4DF
1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in">
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span
style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">From: </span></b><span
style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">Friam
<a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"><friam-bounces@redfish.com></a> on behalf of Barry
MacKichan <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:barry.mackichan@mackichan.com"><barry.mackichan@mackichan.com></a><br>
<b>Reply-To: </b>The Friday Morning Applied Complexity
Coffee Group <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"><friam@redfish.com></a><br>
<b>Date: </b>Wednesday, November 13, 2019 at 7:45 AM<br>
<b>To: </b>The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee
Group <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"><friam@redfish.com></a><br>
<b>Subject: </b>Re: [FRIAM] Chaos Scientist Finds Hidden
Financial Risks That Regulators Miss Oxford Professor
Doyne Farmer is working with central banks to improve
stress testing.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Thanks for the link.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>This is totally off-topic, but in the chaos of Facebook and
Twitter, I believe a small note of appreciation for
technology is in order.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>In the linked article, there is a picture of Farmer lying
on a couch in front of his bookshelf. The resolution of web
graphics is now high enough that I could indulge in one of
my favorite hobbies. I copied the picture, pasted it into a
graphics program and enlarged and rotated it. Aaah. Now I
can browse through the titles on his shelves.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>--Barry<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>On 3 Oct 2019, at 18:11, Tom Johnson wrote:<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<blockquote style="border:none;border-left:solid #3983C4
1.5pt;padding:0in 0in 0in
4.0pt;margin-left:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:3.75pt">
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#3983C4"><a
href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-10-03/chaos-scientist-finds-hidden-financial-risks-that-regulators-miss?fbclid=IwAR17xM4UEQ2cRYGpBqPxQhPqP2v5s8UkKQCCpVZcFptLnwpUiudGnK2DouU"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-10-03/chaos-scientist-finds-hidden-financial-risks-that-regulators-miss?fbclid=IwAR17xM4UEQ2cRYGpBqPxQhPqP2v5s8UkKQCCpVZcFptLnwpUiudGnK2DouU</a> <br
clear="all">
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="color:#3983C4"><br>
============================================<br>
Tom Johnson - <a
href="mailto:tom@jtjohnson.com"
target="_blank"
moz-do-not-send="true">tom@jtjohnson.com</a><br>
Institute for Analytic
Journalism --
Santa Fe, NM USA<br>
505.577.6482(c)
505.473.9646(h)<br>
<a
href="http://nmfog.org"
target="_blank"
moz-do-not-send="true"><b><span
style="color:#0B5394">NM Foundation for Open Government</span></b></a><br>
</span><b><span
style="color:blue">Check
out <a
href="https://www.facebook.com/pages/Its-The-Peoples-Data/1599854626919671"
target="_blank"
moz-do-not-send="true">
It's The People's
Data</a></span></b><span
style="color:#3983C4">
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="color:#3983C4">============================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</blockquote>
<div>
<blockquote style="border:none;border-left:solid #3983C4
1.5pt;padding:0in 0in 0in
4.0pt;margin-left:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:3.75pt">
<p><span style="color:#3983C4">============================================================<br>
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College<br>
to unsubscribe <a
href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
moz-do-not-send="true">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>
archives back to 2003: <a
href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/"
moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>
FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a>
by Dr. Strangelove<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</blockquote>
</div>
</div>
<br>
<fieldset class="mimeAttachmentHeader"></fieldset>
<pre class="moz-quote-pre" wrap="">============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a>
archives back to 2003: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a>
FRIAM-COMIC <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a> by Dr. Strangelove
</pre>
</blockquote>
</body>
</html>