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    <blockquote>
      <p>See the <a moz-do-not-send="true"
          href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medea_hypothesis">Medea
          Hypothesis </a>vs the <a moz-do-not-send="true"
          href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaia_hypothesis">Gaia
          Hypothesis</a> vs the <a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_paradox#It_is_the_nature_of_intelligent_life_to_destroy_others">Fermi
          Paradox</a> (as another way to avoid/stall responding to the
        Climate Crisis OR the Chinese Hoax, depending on your preferred
        sociopolitical attractor) <tongue-in-cheek>.<br>
      </p>
    </blockquote>
    <div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 1/1/20 12:50 PM, Frank Wimberly
      wrote:<br>
    </div>
    <blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:CAA5dAfqCQebiR3tShtg5V7MsF631AHgTHJS5Mx-hibN8TryFcA@mail.gmail.com">
      <meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
      <div dir="auto">This is the position that humanity is an infection
        causing the Earth to suffer, right?<br>
        <br>
        <div data-smartmail="gmail_signature">-----------------------------------<br>
          Frank Wimberly<br>
          <br>
          My memoir:<br>
          <a href="https://www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly"
            moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly</a><br>
          <br>
          My scientific publications:<br>
          <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Frank_Wimberly2"
            moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Frank_Wimberly2</a><br>
          <br>
          Phone (505) 670-9918</div>
      </div>
      <br>
      <div class="gmail_quote">
        <div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Wed, Jan 1, 2020, 12:45 PM
          Marcus Daniels <<a href="mailto:marcus@snoutfarm.com"
            moz-do-not-send="true">marcus@snoutfarm.com</a>> wrote:<br>
        </div>
        <blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0
          .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">
          <div dir="ltr">
            <div
style="font-family:Calibri,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12pt;color:rgb(0,0,0)">It
              seems to me the solution is to do nothing.   The world has
              to become relatively toxic and inhospitable.  Then people
              will be unable or unwilling to reproduce, the population
              will drop, and the earth can heal. 
              <br>
            </div>
            <hr style="display:inline-block;width:98%">
            <div id="m_1535834935607847119divRplyFwdMsg" dir="ltr"><font
                style="font-size:11pt" face="Calibri, sans-serif"
                color="#000000"><b>From:</b> Friam <<a
                  href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"
                  target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                  moz-do-not-send="true">friam-bounces@redfish.com</a>>
                on behalf of doug carmichael <<a
                  href="mailto:doug@dougcarmichael.com" target="_blank"
                  rel="noreferrer" moz-do-not-send="true">doug@dougcarmichael.com</a>><br>
                <b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, January 1, 2020 12:37 PM<br>
                <b>To:</b> The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee
                Group <<a href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"
                  target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                  moz-do-not-send="true">friam@redfish.com</a>><br>
                <b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] climate change questions</font>
              <div> </div>
            </div>
            <div dir="auto">
              <p
style="margin:0px;text-indent:18px;font-stretch:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:normal;font-family:"Times
                New Roman"">
                <span>Let’s say we are able to bring the price of solar
                  generated electricity below that of electricity
                  generated by fossil fuels. This leaves several
                  important questions: </span></p>
              <p
style="margin:0px;text-indent:18px;font-stretch:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:normal;font-family:"Times
                New Roman";min-height:18.4px">
                <span></span><br>
              </p>
              <p
style="margin:0px;text-indent:18px;font-stretch:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:normal;font-family:"Times
                New Roman"">
                <span><span style="white-space:pre-wrap"></span>Who pays
                  for replacing the gas heater with an electric heater?
                  That includes installation and remodeling costs  as
                  well as the cost for the device. The energy companies
                  will work hard to make sure we generate that
                  electricity with oil and gas - and more coal than we
                  want to acknowledge. The number of new electric
                  heaters that would  have to be manufactured is on the
                  order of 50-100 million for the US, and what of half
                  the world that still cooks  on open fires? Such
                  manufacturing is going to produce more pollution and
                  use even more energy. It requires old  technologies of
                  mining the minerals and producing the plastics that go
                  into the manufacturing these units, as  well as their
                  transportation from mine to factory, and from the
                  factory to homes. </span></p>
              <br>
              <div dir="ltr">doug</div>
              <div dir="ltr"><br>
                <blockquote type="cite">On Jan 1, 2020, at 11:26 AM,
                  Prof David West <<a
                    href="mailto:profwest@fastmail.fm" target="_blank"
                    rel="noreferrer" moz-do-not-send="true">profwest@fastmail.fm</a>>
                  wrote:<br>
                  <br>
                </blockquote>
              </div>
              <blockquote type="cite">
                <div dir="ltr">
                  <div style="font-family:Arial">forgive me, but "it is
                    clear" implies that there is no other alternative. I
                    don't believe that because I have read myriad ways
                    of remediating the consequences of that use. Those
                    alternatives are expensive, but more expensive than
                    the social and economic consequences of ending
                    fossil fuels?<br>
                  </div>
                  <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                  </div>
                  <div style="font-family:Arial">If the only solution is
                    one that will not be utilized, do we simply resign
                    ourselves to the inevitable?<br>
                  </div>
                  <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                  </div>
                  <div style="font-family:Arial">davew<br>
                  </div>
                  <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                  </div>
                  <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                  </div>
                  <div>On Wed, Jan 1, 2020, at 8:16 PM, Douglass
                    Carmichael wrote:<br>
                  </div>
                  <blockquote type="cite" id="m_1535834935607847119x_qt">
                    <div style="font-family:Arial">We are stuck at the
                      point where, to stay under 1.5 or 2,  it is clear
                      that we must cut fossil fuel extraction and use
                      and there is no existing politics todo it because
                      it mans loss of jobs, failures of mortgages,
                      collapse of banks - and starvation. And this  is
                       Implies that we must move toward powerful
                      centralization and decentralization at the same
                      time.<br>
                    </div>
                    <div><br>
                    </div>
                    <div><br>
                    </div>
                    <div>
                      <div style="font-family:Arial">doug<br>
                      </div>
                      <div>
                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                        </div>
                        <blockquote type="cite">
                          <div>On Jan 1, 2020, at 10:55 AM, <<a
                              href="mailto:thompnickson2@gmail.com"
                              target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                              moz-do-not-send="true">thompnickson2@gmail.com</a>>
                            <<a href="mailto:thompnickson2@gmail.com"
                              target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                              moz-do-not-send="true">thompnickson2@gmail.com</a>>
                            wrote:<br>
                          </div>
                          <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <div
style="font-family:Palatino-Roman;font-size:18px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:normal;letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px;text-decoration-line:none;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor">
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">Friammers:<br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">Let’s
                                constitute ourselves as the “climate
                                change jury”.    The jury can have a
                                conviction but only if we all agree. 
                                Otherwise we remain a hung jury. <span> </span><br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">So,
                                does the Jury agree that with Dr. Kwok
                                of JPL that “ … sea level rise,
                                disappearing sea ice, melting ice sheets
                                and other changes are happening”?<br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">If,
                                so, is the jury prepared to convict
                                human activities for causing those
                                changes?<br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">I
                                am polling the jury.<span> </span><br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">Nick<span> </span><br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">Nicholas
                                Thompson<br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">Emeritus
                                Professor of Ethology and Psychology<br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">Clark
                                University<br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><a
                                  href="mailto:ThompNickSon2@gmail.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                  target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                                  moz-do-not-send="true"><span
                                    style="color:rgb(5,99,193)">ThompNickSon2@gmail.com</span></a><br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><a
href="https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                  target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                                  moz-do-not-send="true"><span
                                    style="color:rgb(5,99,193)">https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/</span></a><br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">
                                <div style="font-family:Arial"><b>From:</b><span> </span>Friam
                                  <<a
                                    href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                    target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                                    moz-do-not-send="true">friam-bounces@redfish.com</a>><span> </span><b>On
                                    Behalf Of<span> </span></b>Frank
                                  Wimberly<br>
                                </div>
                                <div style="font-family:Arial"><b>Sent:</b><span> </span>Wednesday,
                                  January 1, 2020 11:27 AM<br>
                                </div>
                                <div style="font-family:Arial"><b>To:</b><span> </span>The
                                  Friday Morning Applied Complexity
                                  Coffee Group <<a
                                    href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                    target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                                    moz-do-not-send="true">friam@redfish.com</a>><br>
                                </div>
                                <div style="font-family:Arial"><b>Subject:</b><span> </span>Re:
                                  [FRIAM] climate change questions<br>
                                </div>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div>
                                <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">From
                                  NASA:<br>
                                </div>
                                <div>
                                  <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><a
href="https://climate.nasa.gov/faq/16/is-it-too-late-to-prevent-climate-change/"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                      target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                                      moz-do-not-send="true">https://climate.nasa.gov/faq/16/is-it-too-late-to-prevent-climate-change/</a><br>
                                  </div>
                                </div>
                                <div>
                                  <p style="margin:0in 0in 12pt"><span
                                      style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><span
                                        style="font-size:11pt"> </span></span><br>
                                  </p>
                                  <div>
                                    <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial">-----------------------------------<br>
                                      </div>
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial">Frank
                                        Wimberly<br>
                                      </div>
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                      </div>
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial">My
                                        memoir:<br>
                                      </div>
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial"><a
href="https://www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                          target="_blank"
                                          rel="noreferrer"
                                          moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly</a><br>
                                      </div>
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                      </div>
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial">My
                                        scientific publications:<br>
                                      </div>
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial"><a
href="https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Frank_Wimberly2"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                          target="_blank"
                                          rel="noreferrer"
                                          moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Frank_Wimberly2</a><br>
                                      </div>
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                      </div>
                                      <div style="font-family:Arial">Phone
                                        (505) 670-9918<br>
                                      </div>
                                    </div>
                                  </div>
                                </div>
                              </div>
                              <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                              </div>
                              <div>
                                <div>
                                  <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">On
                                    Wed, Jan 1, 2020, 11:24 AM Frank
                                    Wimberly <<a
                                      href="mailto:wimberly3@gmail.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                      target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                                      moz-do-not-send="true">wimberly3@gmail.com</a>>
                                    wrote:<br>
                                  </div>
                                </div>
                                <blockquote type="cite"
style="border-top-style:none;border-right-style:none;border-bottom-style:none;border-left-style:solid;border-left-width:1pt;border-left-color:rgb(204,204,204);padding-top:0in;padding-right:0in;padding-bottom:0in;padding-left:6pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in">
                                  <div>
                                    <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">What
                                      scares me is recent assertions
                                      that we have passed the tipping
                                      point and there is nothing we can
                                      do about it.  I have no
                                      references.<br>
                                    </div>
                                    <div>
                                      <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                                      </div>
                                    </div>
                                    <div>
                                      <p style="margin:0in 0in 12pt"><span
style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><span style="font-size:11pt">Frank</span></span><br>
                                      </p>
                                      <div>
                                        <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial">-----------------------------------<br>
                                          </div>
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial">Frank
                                            Wimberly<br>
                                          </div>
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                          </div>
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial">My
                                            memoir:<br>
                                          </div>
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial"><a
href="https://www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                              target="_blank"
                                              rel="noreferrer"
                                              moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly</a><br>
                                          </div>
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                          </div>
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial">My
                                            scientific publications:<br>
                                          </div>
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial"><a
href="https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Frank_Wimberly2"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                              target="_blank"
                                              rel="noreferrer"
                                              moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Frank_Wimberly2</a><br>
                                          </div>
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                          </div>
                                          <div style="font-family:Arial">Phone
                                            (505) 670-9918<br>
                                          </div>
                                        </div>
                                      </div>
                                    </div>
                                  </div>
                                  <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> <br>
                                  </div>
                                  <div>
                                    <div>
                                      <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">On
                                        Wed, Jan 1, 2020, 11:09 AM <<a
href="mailto:thompnickson2@gmail.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                          target="_blank"
                                          rel="noreferrer"
                                          moz-do-not-send="true">thompnickson2@gmail.com</a>>
                                        wrote:<br>
                                      </div>
                                    </div>
                                    <blockquote type="cite"
style="border-top-style:none;border-right-style:none;border-bottom-style:none;border-left-style:solid;border-left-width:1pt;border-left-color:rgb(204,204,204);padding-top:0in;padding-right:0in;padding-bottom:0in;padding-left:6pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in">
                                      <div
style="margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Dave,<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">I
                                          like these questions, and I
                                          think The Congregation should
                                          take them as a<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">challenge.<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">What
                                          can we-all, we who have long
                                          association, and a generalized
                                          (if<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">somewhat
                                          guarded) respect, come to
                                          agree upon with respect to
                                          climate change<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">and
                                          human activity?  By what
                                          process, with what attitudes,
                                          by what rules of<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">engagement,
                                          are we likely to arrive at ANY
                                          truth of that matter. 
                                          Because,<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">if
                                          we, here, cannot agree on some
                                          matters, agreement would seem
                                          to be beyond<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">human
                                          reach.<span> </span><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">So,
                                          for starters, I find I am
                                          inclined to disagree with your
                                          facts as<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">stated. 
                                          They seem to assert that
                                          Things (whatever Things are)
                                          are not as<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">bad
                                          as they were predicted to be. 
                                          Yet, I find, I am inclined to
                                          believe<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">that
                                          in fact Things are worse.  The
                                          only specific data I feel I
                                          have been<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">exposed
                                          to recently is ocean surface
                                          rise and glacial melting.  But
                                          even<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">there,
                                          I would be hard pressed to
                                          match your specific references
                                          to any of<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">my
                                          own.  So, I guess the
                                          conclusion is, I disagree, but
                                          I don't know what I<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">am
                                          talking about.  Ugh!<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">I
                                          could (after some labor) cite
                                          data to support the following
                                          concern:  what<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">we
                                          should be watching out for,
                                          perhaps more than long term
                                          climate warming,<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">is
                                          increases in year-to-year
                                          climate variability.  You can
                                          grow rape seed in<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Canada
                                          and maize in the US, and as
                                          the climate alters, the bands
                                          of climate<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">supporting
                                          these two crops will move
                                          north.  But what happens if
                                          one year<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">the
                                          climate demands one crop and
                                          the next the other?  And the
                                          switch from<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">one
                                          to the other is entirely
                                          unpredictable.  Anybody who
                                          plants a garden<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">knows
                                          that only two dates have a
                                          tremendous effect on the
                                          productivity of<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">your
                                          garden: first frost and last
                                          frost.  The average frost free
                                          period in<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">my
                                          garden in Ma 135 days or so,
                                          but only a few miles away, it
                                          is as short as<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">90. 
                                          And while we have never had a
                                          90 day frost year, we have had
                                          last frost<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">dates
                                          in June and first frost dates
                                          in early September.  It would
                                          take a<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">very
                                          small year-to-year increase in
                                          variability to turn my garden
                                          from<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">something
                                          that could support life for a
                                          year in New England into a 30
                                          x 50<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">wasteplot. <span> </span><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">I
                                          think I could show you that
                                          the period in which we live,
                                          the Holocene, is<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">a
                                          period of remarkably low,
                                          year-to-year, variation in
                                          climate VARIABILITY.<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">I
                                          think I could convince you
                                          that everything that has
                                          occurred in the last<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">ten
                                          thousand years by way of
                                          civilization is entirely
                                          dependent  on that<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">anomalous
                                          stability.  The neanderthals
                                          were not too stupid to do<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">agriculture;
                                          the climate of the Pleistocene
                                          would not permit it.  The
                                          whole<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">idea
                                          of nation states depends on
                                          the idea that one can make
                                          more or less the<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">same
                                          kind of living by staying more
                                          or less in the same place and
                                          doing more<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">or
                                          less the same thing.  A return
                                          to Pleistocene year-to-year
                                          variation<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">would
                                          obliterate that possibility. <span> </span><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">If
                                          then, I could convince you,
                                          that --quite apart from Global
                                          Warming-- we<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">are
                                          seeing an increase in climate
                                          variability, then, by God, I
                                          think I could<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">scare
                                          the Living Crap out of you. <span> </span><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">The
                                          only question is whether we
                                          have the energy and
                                          sitzfleisch to do it,<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">and
                                          some way to keep our
                                          correspondence is order so
                                          that it's value could be<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">harvested
                                          for the long run.<span> </span><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Happy
                                          New Year!<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Nick<span> </span><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Nicholas
                                          Thompson<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Emeritus
                                          Professor of Ethology and
                                          Psychology<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Clark
                                          University<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><a
href="mailto:ThompNickSon2@gmail.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                            target="_blank"
                                            rel="noreferrer"
                                            moz-do-not-send="true">ThompNickSon2@gmail.com</a><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><a
href="https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                            target="_blank"
                                            rel="noreferrer"
                                            moz-do-not-send="true">https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/</a><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">-----Original
                                          Message-----<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">From:
                                          Friam <<a
                                            href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                            target="_blank"
                                            rel="noreferrer"
                                            moz-do-not-send="true">friam-bounces@redfish.com</a>>
                                          On Behalf Of Prof David West<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Sent:
                                          Wednesday, January 1, 2020
                                          9:45 AM<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">To:<span> </span><a
href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                            target="_blank"
                                            rel="noreferrer"
                                            moz-do-not-send="true">friam@redfish.com</a><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Subject:
                                          [FRIAM] climate change
                                          questions<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Questions, 
                                          that do NOT, in any manner or
                                          form deny the reality of
                                          climate<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">change.<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">In
                                          1990, citing the "best
                                          scientific models available"
                                          stated that because<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">of
                                          carbon dioxide emissions, the
                                          Earth would warm by an average
                                          of 3 degrees<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Fahrenheit
                                          and the U.S. as the largest
                                          producer, by an average of 6
                                          degrees<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Fahrenheit
                                          by 2020.<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">The
                                          UN IPCC report of the same
                                          year predicted a range of
                                          temperature<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">increases
                                          ranging from 1-5 degrees F,
                                          with the most likely
                                          expectations<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">being
                                          3-5 by the year 2020.<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">The
                                          current report predicts a rise
                                          of 2-5 degrees by 2100.<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">The
                                          New York Times, CNN, and the
                                          President of Exxon USA
                                          predicted the end of<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">domestic
                                          oil and gas reserves by 2020.<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">The
                                          undisputed rise in Earth (and
                                          US) temperature as of 2020 is
                                          1 degree.<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Exactly
                                          how does one go about
                                          constructing a reasoned, and
                                          accurate,<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">argument
                                          for the need to address
                                          climate change in the context
                                          of badly<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">incorrect
                                          predictions, grounded in the
                                          best available scientific
                                          models, and<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">over-hyped
                                          "disaster scenarios"
                                          promulgated by those with
                                          political or<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">simply
                                          "circulation" motives.<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">In
                                          light of this context of
                                          "error" and "hype," is it fair
                                          to tar everyone<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">expressing
                                          questions or doubts with the
                                          same "deny-er" brush?<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Is
                                          it possible to constructively
                                          criticize either the models or
                                          the proposed<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">"solutions"
                                          without being dismissed as a
                                          troglodyte "deny-er?"<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Is
                                          there a way to evaluate a
                                          spectrum of means (eliminating
                                          coal to carbon<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">scrubbers
                                          to ...) along with analyses of
                                          cost/benefit ratios, human<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">socio-economic
                                          impact, etc. and compare them?<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Is
                                          there more than one strategy
                                          for getting out of this mess;
                                          and if so, how<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">do
                                          we decide (and/or construct a
                                          blend) on one that will
                                          optimize our<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">chances?<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">davew<br>
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                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">============================================================<br>
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                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">FRIAM
                                          Applied Complexity Group
                                          listserv<br>
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                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Meets
                                          Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at
                                          St. John's College to
                                          unsubscribe<br>
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                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><a
href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                            target="_blank"
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                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">archives
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                                            moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>
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                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">FRIAM-COMIC<span> </span><a
href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
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                                            moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a><span> </span>by
                                          Dr. Strangelove<br>
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                                        <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
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                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">============================================================<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">FRIAM
                                          Applied Complexity Group
                                          listserv<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">Meets
                                          Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at
                                          St. John's College<br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">to
                                          unsubscribe<span> </span><a
                                            href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                            target="_blank"
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                                            moz-do-not-send="true">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>
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                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">archives
                                          back to 2003:<span> </span><a
href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                            target="_blank"
                                            rel="noreferrer"
                                            moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>
                                        </div>
                                        <div style="font-family:Arial">FRIAM-COMIC<span> </span><a
href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor"
                                            target="_blank"
                                            rel="noreferrer"
                                            moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a><span> </span>by
                                          Dr. Strangelove<br>
                                        </div>
                                      </div>
                                    </blockquote>
                                  </div>
                                </blockquote>
                              </div>
                            </div>
                            <div style="font-family:Arial"><span
                                style="font-family:Palatino-Roman"><span
                                  style="font-size:18px">============================================================</span></span><br>
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                                  style="font-size:18px">FRIAM Applied
                                  Complexity Group listserv</span></span><br>
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                            <div style="font-family:Arial"><span
                                style="font-family:Palatino-Roman"><span
                                  style="font-size:18px">Meets Fridays
                                  9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College</span></span><br>
                            </div>
                            <div style="font-family:Arial"><span
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                            <div style="font-family:Arial"><span
                                style="font-family:Palatino-Roman"><span
                                  style="font-size:18px">archives back
                                  to 2003:<span> </span></span></span><a
href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor;font-family:Palatino-Roman;font-size:18px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:normal;letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px"
                                target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                                moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>
                            </div>
                            <div style="font-family:Arial"><span
                                style="font-family:Palatino-Roman"><span
                                  style="font-size:18px">FRIAM-COMIC<span> </span></span></span><a
                                href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
style="color:purple;text-decoration-line:underline;text-decoration-style:solid;text-decoration-color:currentcolor;font-family:Palatino-Roman;font-size:18px;font-style:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:normal;letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px"
                                target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                                moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a><span
                                style="font-family:Palatino-Roman"><span
                                  style="font-size:18px"><span> </span>by
                                  Dr. Strangelove</span></span><br>
                            </div>
                          </div>
                        </blockquote>
                      </div>
                    </div>
                    <div>============================================================<br>
                    </div>
                    <div>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>
                    </div>
                    <div>Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's
                      College<br>
                    </div>
                    <div>to unsubscribe <a
                        href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
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                        moz-do-not-send="true">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>
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                    <div>archives back to 2003: <a
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                        moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>
                    </div>
                    <div>FRIAM-COMIC <a
                        href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
                        target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                        moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a>
                      by Dr. Strangelove<br>
                    </div>
                    <div><br>
                    </div>
                  </blockquote>
                  <div style="font-family:Arial"><br>
                  </div>
                  <span>============================================================</span><br>
                  <span>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv</span><br>
                  <span>Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's
                    College</span><br>
                  <span>to unsubscribe <a
                      href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
                      target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                      moz-do-not-send="true">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a></span><br>
                  <span>archives back to 2003: <a
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                      moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a></span><br>
                  <span>FRIAM-COMIC <a
                      href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
                      target="_blank" rel="noreferrer"
                      moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a>
                    by Dr. Strangelove</span><br>
                </div>
              </blockquote>
            </div>
          </div>
          ============================================================<br>
          FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>
          Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College<br>
          to unsubscribe <a
            href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
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          archives back to 2003: <a
            href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/" rel="noreferrer
            noreferrer" target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>
          FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
            rel="noreferrer noreferrer" target="_blank"
            moz-do-not-send="true">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a>
          by Dr. Strangelove<br>
        </blockquote>
      </div>
      <br>
      <fieldset class="mimeAttachmentHeader"></fieldset>
      <pre class="moz-quote-pre" wrap="">============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a>
archives back to 2003: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a>
FRIAM-COMIC <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a> by Dr. Strangelove
</pre>
    </blockquote>
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