<div dir="ltr"><br clear="all"><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div>A bit confusing to follow, but at least someone is making an attempt to bring simulation into analysis.</div><div>TJ<br>============================================<br>Tom Johnson - <a href="mailto:tom@jtjohnson.com" target="_blank">tom@jtjohnson.com</a><br>Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA<br>505.577.6482(c) 505.473.9646(h)<br><a href="http://nmfog.org" target="_blank"><b><font color="#0b5394">NM Foundation for Open Government</font></b></a><br><b><font color="#0000ff">Check out <a href="https://www.facebook.com/pages/Its-The-Peoples-Data/1599854626919671" target="_blank">It's The People's Data</a></font></b> </div><div>============================================</div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><br><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">---------- Forwarded message ---------<br>From: <strong class="gmail_sendername" dir="auto">The Washington Post</strong> <span dir="auto"><<a href="mailto:email@washingtonpost.com">email@washingtonpost.com</a>></span><br>Date: Tue, Feb 25, 2020 at 11:39 AM<br>Subject: Build your own scenarios for the upcoming primaries<br>To: <<a href="mailto:tom@jtjohnson.com">tom@jtjohnson.com</a>><br></div><br><br>
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Who can <span class="m_3828487248163003037nowrap">win the</span><br class="m_3828487248163003037hide">
Democratic Primary?
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<p style="color:#2a2a2a;margin:0 0 1em 0;padding:0">Can’t wait to see who wins the Democratic primaries in <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/post-opinions-simulator/index.html?wpisrc=pw_ret_simulator_022520&utm_source=retention&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=wp_pw_ret_ssimulator_022520#/races/ca" style="color:#1955a5" target="_blank"><strong style="font-weight:normal;color:#1955a5">California</strong></a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/post-opinions-simulator/index.html?wpisrc=pw_ret_simulator_022520&utm_source=retention&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=wp_pw_ret_ssimulator_022520#/races/tx" style="color:#1955a5" target="_blank"><strong style="font-weight:normal;color:#1955a5">Texas</strong></a>, and other key states on Super Tuesday? Use the <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/post-opinions-simulator/index.html?wpisrc=pw_ret_simulator_022520&utm_source=retention&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=wp_pw_ret_ssimulator_022520#/races/" style="color:#1955a5" target="_blank"><strong style="font-weight:normal;color:#1955a5">Washington Post Opinions Simulator</strong></a>, an interactive tool powered by a rigorous statistical model, to design your own conditions for the primaries based on what you think will change between now and next Tuesday. Adjust candidates’ poll numbers and the pace of their fundraising to see whose chances rise or fall — and which factors don’t <span class="m_3828487248163003037nowrap">really matter.</span></p>
<p style="color:#2a2a2a;margin:0 0 1em 0;padding:0;margin-bottom:0px">Once you’ve played the simulator, keep coming back throughout the week to see how the possibilities change as new polls are released and election day draws closer. And when Super Tuesday is over, visit the simulator to look at the next states <span class="m_3828487248163003037nowrap">in play</span>.
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<p style="color:#2a2a2a;margin:0 0 1em 0;padding:0;font-size:20px;line-height:26px"><strong>More Post Opinions Election Coverage</strong></p>
<p style="color:#2a2a2a;margin:0 0 1em 0;padding:0"><a href="https://s2.washingtonpost.com/1e63073/5e555c80fe1ff658cabcb582/dG9tQGp0am9obnNvbi5jb20%3D/6/15/ca2cca2510508a4726adc0d9dcf9072b" style="color:#1955a5" target="_blank"><strong>Follow the 2020 Power Ranking</strong></a><br>
Each week Post Opinions columnists take you behind the numbers and help you understand who has the momentum in a fast-changing, hyper-competitive race.</p>
<p style="color:#2a2a2a;margin:0 0 1em 0;padding:0"><a href="https://s2.washingtonpost.com/1e631f6/5e555c80fe1ff658cabcb582/dG9tQGp0am9obnNvbi5jb20%3D/7/15/ca2cca2510508a4726adc0d9dcf9072b" style="color:#1955a5" target="_blank"><strong>Sign up for “The Odds” newsletter</strong></a><br>
Decode the election results with this weekly newsletter from the creator of the Post Opinions Simulator, data columnist <span class="m_3828487248163003037nowrap">David Byler.</span></p>
<p style="color:#2a2a2a;margin:0 0 1em 0;padding:0;margin-bottom:0px"><strong>Keep up with Post columnists covering the campaign trail:</strong><br>
<a href="https://s2.washingtonpost.com/1e63074/5e555c80fe1ff658cabcb582/dG9tQGp0am9obnNvbi5jb20%3D/8/15/ca2cca2510508a4726adc0d9dcf9072b" style="color:#1955a5" target="_blank"><strong>Karen Tumulty</strong></a><br><a href="https://s2.washingtonpost.com/1e63075/5e555c80fe1ff658cabcb582/dG9tQGp0am9obnNvbi5jb20%3D/9/15/ca2cca2510508a4726adc0d9dcf9072b" style="color:#1955a5" target="_blank"><strong>Henry Olsen</strong></a><br><a href="https://s2.washingtonpost.com/1e63076/5e555c80fe1ff658cabcb582/dG9tQGp0am9obnNvbi5jb20%3D/10/15/ca2cca2510508a4726adc0d9dcf9072b" style="color:#1955a5" target="_blank"><strong>Ruth Marcus</strong></a><br><a href="https://s2.washingtonpost.com/1e63077/5e555c80fe1ff658cabcb582/dG9tQGp0am9obnNvbi5jb20%3D/11/15/ca2cca2510508a4726adc0d9dcf9072b" style="color:#1955a5" target="_blank"><strong>Eugene Robinson</strong></a></p>
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