<div dir="ltr">Related:<div><div class="gmail-byline" style="color:rgb(32,32,34);font-family:Helvetica,Roboto,sans-serif;font-size:16px"><span class="gmail-source" style="font-size:11px;line-height:1.1;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;padding-right:0px">BS NEWS</span> <span class="gmail-time" style="color:rgb(102,102,102);font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:13px;line-height:1.1;font-style:italic;padding-right:3px;padding-left:0px">April 19, 2020, 9:07 AM</span></div><h1 class="gmail-title" style="margin:0px 0px 20px;color:rgb(32,32,34);line-height:0.9;letter-spacing:-0.05em;word-spacing:-0.04em"><font face="arial, sans-serif" style="" size="2">"On the trail of COVID-19: Contact tracing the virus<br></font><font size="2"><a href="http://bit.ly/mSad">bit.ly/mSad</a></font><font face="arial, sans-serif" style="" size="2"><br></font></h1></div><div>TJ</div><div><br></div><div><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><br>============================================<br>Tom Johnson - <a href="mailto:tom@jtjohnson.com" target="_blank">tom@jtjohnson.com</a><br>Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA<br>505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)<br><a href="http://nmfog.org" target="_blank"><b><font color="#0b5394">NM Foundation for Open Government</font></b></a><br><b><font color="#0000ff">Check out <a href="https://www.facebook.com/pages/Its-The-Peoples-Data/1599854626919671" target="_blank">It's The People's Data</a></font></b>                 </div><div>============================================</div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><br></div></div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 3:25 PM <<a href="mailto:jpgirard@thinkingmetal.com">jpgirard@thinkingmetal.com</a>> wrote:<br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><div><span style="font-family:Verdana;color:rgb(0,0,0);font-size:10pt"><div><a href="https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-antibodies-widespread-in-santa-clara.html" target="_blank">https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-antibodies-widespread-in-santa-clara.html</a></div><div>Preprint below.</div><div><br></div><div>Has this been discussed already?</div><div>Seems like a fairly key new piece of information in <span style="font-size:10pt">the covid19 version of the Drake Equation (with a time component).</span></div><div><span style="font-size:10pt">This seems to be a decent guess at the fraction truly infected number.</span></div><div><br></div><div><br></div><div>Of course, there are self-selection effects on the population, but they attempted to control for them it looks like.  Also, none of the antibody tests has been certified by the feds yet.</div><div><br></div><div><br></div><div>If you know of any other antibody testing that has better randomization, please post!</div><div><br></div><div>-Jim</div><div><br></div><div><br></div><div>preprint:</div><div><a href="https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1?__cf_chl_jschl_tk__=6eed0f382928d377843071bf75b21bd8cd3f6e1a-1587330720-0-AcFcOZnNzxiZ0uUfp5P0sDRMuIV1ohSGTGDkjjCIG2bjSq-JmBrCrxKWqc2pXRybOqH0j1k9r5srJiQ1tMR8e0y_biF6fNLtAxCFYZ0o_jUEnG2JyN-bpaejc1TultdhSuvu-7UjEYayt7w7eReBRPCwcVoELD5w5zyIfTV-7Dc2ij8dftVX9HPqMMLYaT1QNkQMMgPhIxCLa-ixudM8FiD7HrlOIry3hSn6XzoaG9EhPOK4K3B2t2_OiHPKFEs4QyviLCUouYRl9CWfaUNDNzt-0vXLsXeR1FtnJYqgWeGir26ZyNQkZ4qxqZ1LE5ESDfPTq23pVeZDiSjQk5D_oyo" target="_blank">https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1?__cf_chl_jschl_tk__=6eed0f382928d377843071bf75b21bd8cd3f6e1a-1587330720-0-AcFcOZnNzxiZ0uUfp5P0sDRMuIV1ohSGTGDkjjCIG2bjSq-JmBrCrxKWqc2pXRybOqH0j1k9r5srJiQ1tMR8e0y_biF6fNLtAxCFYZ0o_jUEnG2JyN-bpaejc1TultdhSuvu-7UjEYayt7w7eReBRPCwcVoELD5w5zyIfTV-7Dc2ij8dftVX9HPqMMLYaT1QNkQMMgPhIxCLa-ixudM8FiD7HrlOIry3hSn6XzoaG9EhPOK4K3B2t2_OiHPKFEs4QyviLCUouYRl9CWfaUNDNzt-0vXLsXeR1FtnJYqgWeGir26ZyNQkZ4qxqZ1LE5ESDfPTq23pVeZDiSjQk5D_oyo</a></div><div><br></div><div><br></div><div><br></div><div><br></div> </span></div>

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