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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal>Roger, Glen, Steve<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Sorry. Not one of my better posts. I certainly didn’t mean to imply that anybody was doing fine. I guess I began to worry that deaths in those more rural states were being masked by the fact that people were staying away from hospitals, but that doesn’t make any sense whatsoever. I will try to wake up more before I post, in future. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>I valued Steve’s reflections on death in small rural communities. The town where I raised my family was such a community. Some times a year, weeks would go by between any opportunities to share information. If somebody died in mid summer or in mid winter, it might be a month or so before I would learn it. So, paradoxical as it might seem, I can imagine that the same rate of death might have more impact in a larger community than in a smaller one. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>I do miss that national map of case doubling time by county. By comparing it, day by day, I got a real sense of “what was happening.” If anybody happens on that again, please let me know. It would, I think, confirm Roger’s Observation. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Glen, those Hall/King comparisons are pretty dramatic. Go Kemp! What is the population of the two counties? <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>n<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Nicholas Thompson<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Clark University<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><a href="mailto:ThompNickSon2@gmail.com"><span style='color:#0563C1'>ThompNickSon2@gmail.com</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><a href="https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/"><span style='color:#0563C1'>https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b>From:</b> Friam <friam-bounces@redfish.com> <b>On Behalf Of </b>Roger Critchlow<br><b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, May 6, 2020 12:35 PM<br><b>To:</b> The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com><br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? - The New York Times<o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>I read something in the past week that argued the red counties in the battleground states were showing a very bad trendline, that the rates of infection looked ready to surge, but I haven't been able to find the original source again. It was a University researcher who was tracking county statistics.<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>I didn't see where Nick thought the last few paragraphs undercut the lead of the article, that some states have temporarily lost the ability to track their own vital statistics doesn't suggest that they're doing fine.<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>-- rec --<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Wed, May 6, 2020 at 2:17 PM uǝlƃ <span style='font-family:"Segoe UI Emoji",sans-serif'>☣</span> <<a href="mailto:gepropella@gmail.com">gepropella@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><p class=MsoNormal>Given Gov. Kemp's statement that Hall county is having trouble, I thought I'd include it in comparison to DeKalb. This also relates to the idea that Atlanta residents (mostly Dem) might tend to stick with distancing more than the surrounding (more Rep) areas.<br><br><br>On 5/6/20 8:51 AM, <a href="mailto:thompnickson2@gmail.com" target="_blank">thompnickson2@gmail.com</a> wrote:<br>> My go-to, until the last few days, was a map the Times was putting up of doubling time by county. They clearly still have the data, and do produce it by state, but I can no longer find the national map, which was showing nicely the spread of the disease outward from urban areas. <br><br><br>-- <br><span style='font-family:"Segoe UI Emoji",sans-serif'>☣</span> uǝlƃ<br>.-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ... .... . ...<br>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 <a href="http://bit.ly/virtualfriam" target="_blank">bit.ly/virtualfriam</a><br>unsubscribe <a href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com" target="_blank">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>archives: <a href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/" target="_blank">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a> <o:p></o:p></p></blockquote></div></div></body></html>