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<p>Nick -<br>
</p>
<p><a href="https://rt.live/">https://rt.live/</a> <br>
</p>
<p>helps to illustrate some of Rachel's hair-on-fire. NOT because
the absolute numbers are (or will be) outrageous, but because the
*rates* are high. Take a look at the states who have R0 >
1.0 ... all midwest-plains. <br>
</p>
<p>If you have a small town with 0 cases, it is natural to not be
"too worried" even if there are three or four small towns within
20 miles who have a case or two... their relative social
distance from the international airport/high-density urban *hot
spots* means they are *late* to the party AND the relatively small
*absolute* numbers means their perception of the problem is
lower. AND in fact, they might be able to tolerate higher rates
BECAUSE of the perception. If 5 people in your community of 100
die of COVID19 maybe that is easier to accept than if 5000 out of
your 100,000 die?</p>
<p>I think these subtleties/subjectives that get lost in the raw
statistics are important but I don't know how to quantify them off
the top of my head.</p>
<p>- Steve<br>
</p>
<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 5/6/20 9:24 AM,
<a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:thompnickson2@gmail.com">thompnickson2@gmail.com</a> wrote:<br>
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<p>Hi, Everybody<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>This article greatly puzzled me because it seemed to
eviscerate it self in the last few paragraphs. <o:p></o:p></p>
<p><a
href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/05/us/coronavirus-death-toll-us.html"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/05/us/coronavirus-death-toll-us.html</a>
<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>My main concern here is the degree to which I am being
deluded by my addiction to the Rachel Maddow Show. She is in
HairOnFire mode about an impending epidemic in the plains
states. She is particularly caustic about the bad judgement
of plains states governors. But if the times charts are
right, one can see (sort of) why those governors are not as
alarmed as we smarty-pantses think they ought to be. There
aren’t that many people dying full stop, even tho people ARE
dying of covid. (Not to mention that most of the people who
are dying of covid are poorish people working in meet packing
plants.) What is this New Abnormal we seem to find ourselves
in?<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>N<o:p></o:p></p>
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