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<p class="MsoNormal">An example of how economic/cultural information is important. (Dave’s remark.)<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">How much debt individuals of different socioeconomic levels can take on, how much debt the states and federal government will tolerate, perception of health risk in different communities, etc. These things may ebb and flow as people are
employed and unemployed. Calibrating all that seems impossible.<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">From: </span></b><span style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">Friam <friam-bounces@redfish.com> on behalf of "thompnickson2@gmail.com" <thompnickson2@gmail.com><br>
<b>Reply-To: </b>The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com><br>
<b>Date: </b>Friday, May 8, 2020 at 1:34 PM<br>
<b>To: </b>'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group' <friam@redfish.com><br>
<b>Subject: </b>[FRIAM] Ah Hah! moment.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">All,<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Thanks in part to Glen, I now see why doubling rate is no longer a good measure of peril in a county or state. A reason is that it is insensitive to resurgence. They look like they are having a resurgence in Washington state. The recent
curve of new cases is sharply upward. But a doubling-time standard wont reflect the resurgence because even though the number of cases per day is increasing again, there are so many cases “in the bank” that it takes a long time to double them. Thank you,
Glen, ‘n everybody.<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Nick <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Nicholas Thompson<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Clark University<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:ThompNickSon2@gmail.com">ThompNickSon2@gmail.com</a><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/">https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/</a><o:p></o:p></p>
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