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<p class="MsoNormal">There are 1.4 million people living in nursing homes in the US. If, over time, COVID-19 spreads to the rest of the population that would be about 200 times worse (328 million / 1.6 million cases so far), assuming no herd immunity. Once
those conspicuous bursts of deaths subsided (because the most vulnerable were all dead), victory would be declared, esp. by red states. From there, spread would happen more steadily. At the same death rate observed so far, that would mean 20 million could
die. Someone had ironically joked this might rescue the Social Security system. (I don’t think it will because those in nursing homes have already cashed in everything to get there.) It would be interesting to know how many 50 and 60 year-olds have to
disappear to make the numbers work? <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">From: </span></b><span style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">Friam <friam-bounces@redfish.com> on behalf of cody dooderson <d00d3rs0n@gmail.com><br>
<b>Reply-To: </b>The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com><br>
<b>Date: </b>Tuesday, May 26, 2020 at 10:11 AM<br>
<b>To: </b>The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com><br>
<b>Subject: </b>Re: [FRIAM] Covid and Politics<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">That explain a lot about what seems like an extremely polar response to the lockdowns. A few days ago, a friend of mine saw a guy at the grocery store here in Albuquerque carrying an AK-47 and refusing to wear a mask. Thanks you for the
insight.<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Cody Smith<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">On Tue, May 26, 2020 at 10:52 AM Merle Lefkoff <<a href="mailto:merlelefkoff@gmail.com">merlelefkoff@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black">Democrats are far more likely to live in counties where the virus has ravaged the community, while Republicans are more likely to live in counties that have
been relatively unscathed by the illness, though they are paying an economic price. Counties won by </span><span style="font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif"><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/elections/donald-trump.html" target="_blank"><span style="font-size:11.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black">President
Trump</span></a></span><span style="font-size:11.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black"> in 2016 have reported just 27 percent of the virus infections and 21 percent of the deaths — even though 45 percent of Americans live in these communities,
a New York Times analysis has found.</span><span style="font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif"><br clear="all">
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<p class="MsoNormal">-- <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Merle Lefkoff, Ph.D.<br>
President, Center for Emergent Diplomacy<br>
<a href="http://emergentdiplomacy.org" target="_blank">emergentdiplomacy.org</a><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:merlelefoff@gmail.com" target="_blank">merlelefkoff@gmail.com</a><br>
mobile: (303) 859-5609<br>
skype: merle.lelfkoff2<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">twitter: @Merle_Lefkoff<o:p></o:p></p>
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