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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal>What was the Sweden story? Last time I thought about Sweden was months ago, when they had just discovered the error of their ways and were embarking on some kind of lockdown. What happened? <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>n<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Nicholas Thompson<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Clark University<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><a href="mailto:ThompNickSon2@gmail.com"><span style='color:#0563C1'>ThompNickSon2@gmail.com</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><a href="https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/"><span style='color:#0563C1'>https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b>From:</b> Friam <friam-bounces@redfish.com> <b>On Behalf Of </b>Eric Charles<br><b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, July 22, 2020 7:38 PM<br><b>To:</b> The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com><br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] Covid graph<o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>Frank....<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Those graphs are up to today. That's what the 146,000ish deaths look like. <br clear=all><o:p></o:p></p><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><br clear=all>-----------<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>Eric P. Charles, Ph.D.<br>Department of Justice - Personnel Psychologist<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>American University - Adjunct Instructor<o:p></o:p></p></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Wed, Jul 22, 2020 at 9:30 PM Frank Wimberly <<a href="mailto:wimberly3@gmail.com">wimberly3@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><p class=MsoNormal>Now, of course, the US has suffered more than 140,000 deaths.<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Wed, Jul 22, 2020 at 7:24 PM Eric Charles <<a href="mailto:eric.phillip.charles@gmail.com" target="_blank">eric.phillip.charles@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><p class=MsoNormal>TRY 2<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><img border=0 width=562 height=275 style='width:5.8541in;height:2.868in' id="Picture_x0020_1" src="cid:image001.jpg@01D6606E.B0F6ED50"><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>I know some at FRIAM like to obsess over the ongoing apocalypse, so I thought you might appreciate this. It is the second covid graph I prepared for my Facebook feed. I think trying to think clearly about what's going on requires a data-visualization format something like this. We desperately want the number of confirmed cases to predict deaths, but it really doesn't seem to. As a data-analysis person, I find the non-correlation between confirmed cases and deaths fascinating. If I was making this specifically for FRIAM, I would put both cases and deaths on the same graph with two different scales, but that wouldn't work at all for most random people I know. I posted it to The Book of Face with this caption: <o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>---------------<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#1C1E21'>10 Days since my last graph... Sweden is basically done, as predicted... U.S. has been spiking in confirmed cases for over a month, but the associated uptick in deaths is already leveling off after starting two weeks ago, and didn't get very far. It is obviously unfortunate we didn't continue the downward trend we were working... but I'm not sure it was ever realistic for the U.S. to do that, and, if we were going to have an uptick, this isn't nearly as bad as it could be.</span><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><br clear=all>-----------<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>Eric P. Charles, Ph.D.<br>Department of Justice - Personnel Psychologist<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>American University - Adjunct Instructor<o:p></o:p></p></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Wed, Jul 22, 2020 at 9:17 PM Eric Charles <<a href="mailto:eric.phillip.charles@gmail.com" target="_blank">eric.phillip.charles@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><div><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>I know some at FRIAM like to obsess over the ongoing apocalypse, so I thought you might appreciate this. It is the second covid graph I prepared for my Facebook feed. I think trying to think clearly about what's going on requires a data-visualization format something like this. We desperately want the number of confirmed cases to predict deaths, but it really doesn't seem to. As a data-analysis person, I find the non-correlation between confirmed cases and deaths fascinating. If I was making this specifically for FRIAM, I would put both cases and deaths on the same graph with two different scales, but that wouldn't work at all for most random people I know. I posted it to The Book of Face with this caption: <o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>---------------<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif;color:#1C1E21'>10 Days since my last graph... Sweden is basically done, as predicted... U.S. has been spiking in confirmed cases for over a month, but the associated uptick in deaths is already leveling off after starting two weeks ago, and didn't get very far. It is obviously unfortunate we didn't continue the downward trend we were working... but I'm not sure it was ever realistic for the U.S. to do that, and, if we were going to have an uptick, this isn't nearly as bad as it could be.</span><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal> <o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><br clear=all><o:p></o:p></p><div><div><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></blockquote></div><p class=MsoNormal>- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .<br>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 <a href="http://bit.ly/virtualfriam" target="_blank">bit.ly/virtualfriam</a><br>un/subscribe <a href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com" target="_blank">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>archives: <a href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/" target="_blank">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a> <o:p></o:p></p></blockquote></div><p class=MsoNormal><br clear=all><o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal>-- <o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>Frank Wimberly<br>140 Calle Ojo Feliz<br>Santa Fe, NM 87505<br>505 670-9918<o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal>- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .<br>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 <a href="http://bit.ly/virtualfriam" target="_blank">bit.ly/virtualfriam</a><br>un/subscribe <a href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com" target="_blank">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>archives: <a href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/" target="_blank">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a> <o:p></o:p></p></blockquote></div></div></body></html>