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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal>B.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>But I thought that everybody agreed that the age distribution IS changing. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>N<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>Nicholas Thompson<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Clark University<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><a href="mailto:ThompNickSon2@gmail.com"><span style='color:#0563C1'>ThompNickSon2@gmail.com</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><a href="https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/"><span style='color:#0563C1'>https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b>From:</b> Friam <friam-bounces@redfish.com> <b>On Behalf Of </b>Barry MacKichan<br><b>Sent:</b> Thursday, July 23, 2020 9:40 AM<br><b>To:</b> The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com><br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] Covid graph<o:p></o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>The method for reporting Covid data changed, and public health people were predicting that it increased the burden for already overburdened hospitals. Is that possibly an explanation for the leveling off? If not, what would cause deaths to level off while cases (and hospitalizations as seen in the Atlantic article (<a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/07/second-coronavirus-death-surge/614122/"><span style='color:#3983C4'>https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/07/second-coronavirus-death-surge/614122/</span></a>) continue to rise? I doubt that the age distribution would be changing suddenly, or that the treatments are suddenly better than two weeks ago.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>—Barry<o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>On 22 Jul 2020, at 21:24, Eric Charles wrote:<o:p></o:p></span></p><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #777777 1.5pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt;margin-left:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:3.75pt'><p><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#777777'>but the associated uptick in deaths is already leveling off after starting two weeks ago<o:p></o:p></span></p></blockquote></div></div></div></body></html>