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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple style='word-wrap:break-word'><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal>Thanks, Tom,<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Ah. I see. So if one takes the numbering as anything but arbitrary, it is misleading. Perhaps better if the counties had been numbered by degree of redness?<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>I still think this one is much more dangerous. It lulls the reader into complacency when it should alarm! <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Thanks for explaining your perplexity. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>We agree that the situation is terrifying and is likely to be so until two weeks after New Year’s Eve. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><img width=637 height=316 style='width:6.6388in;height:3.2916in' id="_x0000_i1030" src="cid:image005.png@01D6C7F0.EB7DD8A0"><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Nicholas Thompson<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Clark University<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><a href="mailto:ThompNickSon2@gmail.com"><span style='color:#0563C1'>ThompNickSon2@gmail.com</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><a href="https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/"><span style='color:#0563C1'>https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b>From:</b> Friam <friam-bounces@redfish.com> <b>On Behalf Of </b>Tom Johnson<br><b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, December 1, 2020 2:03 PM<br><b>To:</b> The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com><br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] Huh? What is this?<o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>Because I couldn't figure out the rationale for the map and numbering. What do the numbers 1 through 15 of the counties, and placement of those numbers on the map, have to do with any of the variables listed for each county?<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>TJ<br clear=all><o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><img border=0 width=1 height=1 style='width:.0138in;height:.0138in' id="_x0000_i1029" src="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/mail/f357e047133128e0fe_1606852970071?uid=226430"><o:p></o:p></p><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><br>============================================<br>Tom Johnson - <a href="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/f357e047133128e0fe_1606852970071?uid=226430&url=mailto%3Atom%40jtjohnson.com" target="_blank">tom@jtjohnson.com</a><br>Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA<br>505.577.6482(c) 505.473.9646(h)<br><a href="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/f357e047133128e0fe_1606852970071?uid=226430&url=http%3A%2F%2Fnmfog.org" target="_blank"><b><span style='color:#0B5394'>NM Foundation for Open Government</span></b></a><br><b><span style='color:blue'>Check out <a href="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/f357e047133128e0fe_1606852970071?uid=226430&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fpages%2FIts-The-Peoples-Data%2F1599854626919671" target="_blank">It's The People's Data</a></span></b> <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>============================================<o:p></o:p></p></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Tue, Dec 1, 2020 at 12:23 PM <<a href="mailto:thompnickson2@gmail.com">thompnickson2@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Hi, Tom, <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>I guess I have to confess that I don’t see why you found it so offensive. I feel like a damned fool asking you, but maybe “damned fool” is my role on this list and I should play it with joy and conviction. Please explain, as to a child. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Nick <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Nicholas Thompson<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Clark University<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><a href="mailto:ThompNickSon2@gmail.com" target="_blank"><span style='color:#0563C1'>ThompNickSon2@gmail.com</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><a href="https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/" target="_blank"><span style='color:#0563C1'>https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><b>From:</b> Friam <<a href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com" target="_blank">friam-bounces@redfish.com</a>> <b>On Behalf Of </b>Tom Johnson<br><b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, December 1, 2020 12:33 PM<br><b>To:</b> The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <<a href="mailto:friam@redfish.com" target="_blank">friam@redfish.com</a>><br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] Huh? What is this?<o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Nick:<br>I attached the image of the front page. You should be able to see it on your computer. As I said, it seems to be the year's worst data viz of the year.<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>T<br clear=all><o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><img border=0 width=1 height=1 style='width:.0069in;height:.0069in' id="_x0000_i1028" src="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/mail/8f8d5c05fba049297c_1606847572135?uid=226430"><o:p></o:p></p><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><br>============================================<br>Tom Johnson - <a href="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/8f8d5c05fba049297c_1606847572135?uid=226430&url=mailto%3Atom%40jtjohnson.com" target="_blank">tom@jtjohnson.com</a><br>Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA<br>505.577.6482(c) 505.473.9646(h)<br><a href="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/8f8d5c05fba049297c_1606847572135?uid=226430&url=http%3A%2F%2Fnmfog.org" target="_blank"><b><span style='color:#0B5394'>NM Foundation for Open Government</span></b></a><br><b><span style='color:blue'>Check out <a href="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/8f8d5c05fba049297c_1606847572135?uid=226430&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fpages%2FIts-The-Peoples-Data%2F1599854626919671" target="_blank">It's The People's Data</a></span></b> <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>============================================<o:p></o:p></p></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>On Tue, Dec 1, 2020 at 11:25 AM <<a href="mailto:thompnickson2@gmail.com" target="_blank">thompnickson2@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:5.0pt'><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Tom, <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>I only read the webedition, and so don’t have the front page in front of me, but the message seemed clear to me. BE AFRAID. If we are learning one lesson from this pandemic, it is that lack of fear is the primary driver of rising case numbers. Public policy has relatively little effect unless it increases fear. And robust terror makes public policy unnecessary. What did you NOT see that I did see? <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>My candidate for the worst graphic is below. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><img border=0 width=637 height=316 style='width:6.6388in;height:3.2916in' id="gmail-m_1406358141196351242gmail-m_-8402804679443291441Picture_x0020_3" src="cid:image005.png@01D6C7F0.EB7DD8A0"><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Looking at this I would assume that we are out of the woods. In fact, the current rolling 7-day average is about 140 cases, more that 10 times what it should be. I think the downward tail of the graph reflects only incomplete data. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>I have been frustrated by the state’s web page because it seems to emphasize cumulative cases at the expense of current cases and new cases per population. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Another bizarre data point appeared in the Gating criteria yesterday, where the current Ro was given as 0.97!<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>I think the City needs to run fumigation trucks up and don the streets or city workers with back packs and nosles . They could be just emitting water vapor, perhaps with a little corotene thrown in for dramatic effect?<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Nick <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Nicholas Thompson<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Clark University<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><a href="mailto:ThompNickSon2@gmail.com" target="_blank"><span style='color:#0563C1'>ThompNickSon2@gmail.com</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><a href="https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/" target="_blank"><span style='color:#0563C1'>https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/</span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><b>From:</b> Friam <<a href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com" target="_blank">friam-bounces@redfish.com</a>> <b>On Behalf Of </b>Tom Johnson<br><b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, December 1, 2020 10:34 AM<br><b>To:</b> Friam@redfish. com <<a href="mailto:friam@redfish.com" target="_blank">friam@redfish.com</a>><br><b>Cc:</b> Mike Collins <<a href="mailto:amc@alumni.princeton.edu" target="_blank">amc@alumni.princeton.edu</a>>; Steve Ross <<a href="mailto:editorsteve@gmail.com" target="_blank">editorsteve@gmail.com</a>>; Steve Doig <<a href="mailto:steve.doig@asu.edu" target="_blank">steve.doig@asu.edu</a>>; Peter St. Cyr <<a href="mailto:peter.stcyr@gmail.com" target="_blank">peter.stcyr@gmail.com</a>>; Tom Scharmen <<a href="mailto:thomas.scharmen@state.nm.us" target="_blank">thomas.scharmen@state.nm.us</a>><br><b>Subject:</b> [FRIAM] Huh? What is this?<o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>Below is this morning's front page of the Santa Fe New Mexican. It is obviously trying to give the virus story big play. But I can't figure out what in hell this map and all its appendages are trying to tell me. I might be missing something big time, but shouldn't this be nominated as the worst data visualization of the year?<br><br clear=all><o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><img border=0 width=1 height=1 style='width:.0069in;height:.0069in' id="_x0000_i1026" src="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/mail/a7ac416d5831fd2442_1606840497027?uid=226430"><o:p></o:p></p><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><img border=0 width=291 height=525 style='width:3.0277in;height:5.4652in' id="gmail-m_1406358141196351242gmail-m_-8402804679443291441Picture_x0020_2" src="cid:image006.png@01D6C7F0.EB7DD8A0"><o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>============================================<br>Tom Johnson - <a href="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/a7ac416d5831fd2442_1606840497027?uid=226430&url=mailto%3Atom%40jtjohnson.com" target="_blank">tom@jtjohnson.com</a><br>Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA<br>505.577.6482(c) 505.473.9646(h)<br><a href="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/a7ac416d5831fd2442_1606840497027?uid=226430&url=http%3A%2F%2Fnmfog.org" target="_blank"><b><span style='color:#0B5394'>NM Foundation for Open Government</span></b></a><br><b><span style='color:blue'>Check out <a href="https://www.cloudhq-mkt9.net/mail_track/link/a7ac416d5831fd2442_1606840497027?uid=226430&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fpages%2FIts-The-Peoples-Data%2F1599854626919671" target="_blank">It's The People's Data</a></span></b> <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>============================================<o:p></o:p></p></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'>- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .<br>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 <a href="http://bit.ly/virtualfriam" target="_blank">bit.ly/virtualfriam</a><br>un/subscribe <a href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com" target="_blank">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>archives: <a href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/" target="_blank">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a> <o:p></o:p></p></blockquote></div></div></div><p class=MsoNormal>- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .<br>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<br>Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 <a href="http://bit.ly/virtualfriam" target="_blank">bit.ly/virtualfriam</a><br>un/subscribe <a href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com" target="_blank">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><br>archives: <a href="http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/" target="_blank">http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/</a><br>FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a> <o:p></o:p></p></blockquote></div></div></body></html>