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<p class="MsoNormal">It doesn’t seem to say much, just links to the usual state authorities and other crowdsourcing efforts. But look at their young, bright shining faces?<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b>From:</b> Friam <friam-bounces@redfish.com> <b>On Behalf Of
</b>Barry MacKichan<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Monday, March 15, 2021 9:25 AM<br>
<b>To:</b> The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com><br>
<b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] I am accepting wagers<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Sorry, looks like it has been done
</span><span style="font-family:"Segoe UI Emoji",sans-serif">😳</span><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">See <a href="https://www.seas.harvard.edu/news/2021/03/demystifying-vaccination-procedures?utm_source=SilverpopMailing&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Daily%20Gazette%2020210315b%20(1">
<span style="color:#3983C4">https://www.seas.harvard.edu/news/2021/03/demystifying-vaccination-procedures?utm_source=SilverpopMailing&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Daily%20Gazette%2020210315b%20(1</span></a>)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">It might be interesting to see how close to useful this comes.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">—Barry.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">On 13 Mar 2021, at 13:05, Prof David West wrote:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#777777">Biden promised a Federal Website to give citizens easy an accurate access to vaccination appointments. Fully operational May 1, date that all Americans wishing a vaccine/vaccination will be able
to obtain one.<br>
<br>
Assume 50,000 vaccination sites, 50, 15-minute, time slots per day and, at that time, a maximum of 150 million clients.<br>
<br>
There are several people on this list who, I believe, could build this Website over the course of a weekend, including UE (user experience) elements like Google Maps for site locations, and install it on a cloud server for volume scaling/descaling. Allow a
month to collect data - the only thing really problematic is a list of sites, addresses, and operational hours (to constrain the daily calendar slots).<br>
<br>
Total cost: < $25,000 ($500 hr - you folks deserve this pay rate - for 40-50 hours)<br>
<br>
Now the wager: I bet that the feds will contract with a major software development corporation for development. Contract will be in the range of 5 and 10 million dollars; there is a 50% chance the site will be late or deployed with partial functionality; there
is a 20% chance that it will be as dramatic a failure upon debut as was the healthcare.gov site.<br>
<br>
Risk is two beverages of your/my choice — payable when next we can share a physical presence.<br>
<br>
davew<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
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