<div dir="ltr">Barabási is getting the Gelman treatment today:<div><br></div><div><a href="https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/albert-laszlo-barabasi-is-underpaid-by-a-lot/">https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/albert-laszlo-barabasi-is-underpaid-by-a-lot/</a><br></div><div><a href="https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/more-on-that-claim-that-scientific-citations-are-worth-100000-each/">https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/09/21/more-on-that-claim-that-scientific-citations-are-worth-100000-each/</a><br></div><div><br></div><div>Turns out that Gelman reviewed Bursts for Physics Today:<br></div><div><br></div><div><a href="https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2010/04/29/auto-gladwell_o/">https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2010/04/29/auto-gladwell_o/</a><br></div><div><br></div><div>-- rec --</div><div><br></div></div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Mon, Sep 13, 2021 at 3:01 PM Stephen Guerin <<a href="mailto:stephen.guerin@simtable.com">stephen.guerin@simtable.com</a>> wrote:<br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><div dir="auto">May be related to Barabasi's ideas of work (and many other phenomena) coming in discrete clumps in his 2010 book "Bursts"<div dir="auto"><br><div dir="auto"><a href="https://barabasi.com/book/bursts" target="_blank">https://barabasi.com/book/bursts</a><br></div><div dir="auto"><br><div dir="auto"><br></div></div></div></div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Mon, Sep 13, 2021, 12:16 PM Roger Critchlow <<a href="mailto:rec@elf.org" target="_blank">rec@elf.org</a>> wrote:<br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><div dir="ltr">Open access at <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25477-8" rel="noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25477-8</a><br><div><br></div><div><div id="gmail-m_-4537377347502207711m_5760254513506518816gmail-Abs1-section" style="margin:0px;padding:0px;box-sizing:inherit;clear:both"><div id="gmail-m_-4537377347502207711m_5760254513506518816gmail-Abs1-content" style="margin:0px 0px 40px;padding:8px 0px 0px;box-sizing:inherit"><p style="font-family:Harding,Palatino,serif;font-size:18px;margin:0px 0px 28px;padding:0px;box-sizing:inherit">Across a range of creative domains, individual careers are characterized by hot streaks, which are bursts of high-impact works clustered together in close succession. Yet it remains unclear if there are any regularities underlying the beginning of hot streaks. Here, we analyze career histories of artists, film directors, and scientists, and develop deep learning and network science methods to build high-dimensional representations of their creative outputs. We find that across all three domains, individuals tend to explore diverse styles or topics before their hot streak, but become notably more focused after the hot streak begins. Crucially, hot streaks appear to be associated with neither exploration nor exploitation behavior in isolation, but a particular sequence of exploration followed by exploitation, where the transition from exploration to exploitation closely traces the onset of a hot streak. Overall, these results may have implications for identifying and nurturing talents across a wide range of creative domains.</p><p style="margin:0px 0px 28px;padding:0px;box-sizing:inherit"><font face="arial, sans-serif">via hacker news</font></p><p style="margin:0px 0px 28px;padding:0px;box-sizing:inherit">-- rec --</p></div></div></div></div>
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