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    <p>A Lefty "American Redoubt" eh?</p>
    <p><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.oregonlive.com/politics/2016/11/6_maps_that_show_what_us_would.html">Cascadia</a>
      vs <a moz-do-not-send="true"
        href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Redoubt">Redoubt</a></p>
    <p>NM's neighbor and abusive ex-spouse, TX seceded from the US power
      grid long ago (never joined) and this week may tell us what they
      learned from *last year's lesson" in inter-dependency and
      preparation.  Beto O'Rourke had a very snarky response to Abbot's
      claim (and self-contradiction) that he could guarantee that there
      would be no failures of the grid in the future (just unpredicted
      load-shed-events).   It was something about TX being the greatest
      energy producing region in the world, but refusing to spend the
      extra single-digit percentage to make it resilient to the kinds of
      weather events that are becoming more common (climate change?!).</p>
    <p>Of course, in my little libertarian-utopian sovereign nation of
      one I am melting snow on my woodstove today because the measures
      *I* took against sub-freezing weather in my wellhouse were
      insufficient up to and including (apparently) triggering a failure
      in my 40 year old, now deprecated GE breaker for the pump.   I
      guess I'll be going to the big-box store (cuz the little box
      doesn't have enough variety and Jeff Bezos game never delivers
      sooner than next day) to buy a new subpanel as well as
      breakers/wiring (all made in China I suspect, because I want the
      *cheapest* viable option of course, I deserve it!) whilst
      grumbling about "planned obsolescence", "Chinese junk" and "Goddam
      Globalization".   If I could just get George Soros to task one of
      his space lasers (at low power) down my wellhouse and thaw
      everything out, I'd be in techno-utopian fat-city, neh?  Or I
      could just leave the breaker out and instead splice in a
      lower-guage bit of wire and call it a "fusable link".   The
      wellhouse is far from my house and is constructed of concrete
      block... so no big worries about fires?  <br>
    </p>
    <div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 2/4/22 10:02 AM, Marcus Daniels
      wrote:<br>
    </div>
    <blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:BYAPR11MB3830FB768F40E3F01489FD75C5299@BYAPR11MB3830.namprd11.prod.outlook.com">
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        <p class="MsoNormal">As Omicron was ramping up Joy Reid said
          something along the lines of “Is there a way to cut out a safe
          place to live these days [free from all the anti-vaxxer
          crazies]?”<o:p></o:p></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal">That resonated with me.  I think that’s a
          plausible way how life could be in ten years.   Some
          municipalities & companies, maybe some states, will appeal
          to individuals that value, well, reason, and others will
          not.   Then the exercise becomes one of which brands are in
          some sense profitable.   This will of course deepen
          polarization, but over the course of several generations the
          unprofitable approaches will die a desperate and lonely and
          death.   Some of the woke brands won’t make it, but neither
          will some of the reactionary brands.    It is not clear what
          will happen to the federal government during this time,
          perhaps the kind of oscillation the author imagines.   The
          trick will be to insulate oneself from it until the political
          power of the crazies is ground down by repeated failure and
          steadily decreasing economic power.<o:p></o:p></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
        <div>
          <div style="border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1
            1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in">
            <p class="MsoNormal"><b>From:</b> Friam
              <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"><friam-bounces@redfish.com></a> <b>On Behalf Of
              </b>Steve Smith<br>
              <b>Sent:</b> Friday, February 4, 2022 8:32 AM<br>
              <b>To:</b> <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:friam@redfish.com">friam@redfish.com</a><br>
              <b>Subject:</b> [FRIAM] Democracy in Name Only: endemic
              regime instability<o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
        </div>
        <p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
style="font-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">Someone
            here is more likely than I to have actually read Ziblatt and
            Levitsky's 
            <a
href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/How_Democracies_Die#:~:text=How%20Democracies%20Die%20is%20a,process%20to%20increase%20their%20power."
              moz-do-not-send="true">
              How Democracies Die</a> </span><span
style="font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#172B4D"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
style="font-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">A
            recent article (behind a subscribe-wall) included the
            following quote:</span><span
style="font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#172B4D"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
style="font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#172B4D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:13.5pt;color:black"><a
href="https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2022-01-20/americas-coming-age-instability"
              moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2022-01-20/americas-coming-age-instability</a></span><span
            style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
        <blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
          <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
          <p class="MsoNormal"><i><span style="font-size:13.5pt">America
                may no longer be safe for democracy, but it remains
                inhospitable to autocracy.</span></i><span
              style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          <p class="MsoNormal"><i><span style="font-size:13.5pt">Rather
                than autocracy, the United States appears headed toward
                endemic regime instability.
              </span></i><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
          <p class="MsoNormal"><i><span style="font-size:13.5pt">Such a
                scenario would be marked by frequent constitutional
                crises, including contested or stolen elections and
                severe conflict between presidents and Congress (such as
                impeachments and executive efforts to bypass Congress),
                the judiciary (such as efforts to purge or pack the
                courts), and state governments (such as intense battles
                over voting rights and the administration of elections).
                The United States would likely shift back and forth
                between periods of dysfunctional democracy and periods
                of competitive authoritarian rule during which
                incumbents abuse state power, tolerate or encourage
                violent extremism, and tilt the electoral playing field
                against their rivals.</span></i><span
              style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
        </blockquote>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:13.5pt;color:black">I found this
            characterization of our plight very compelling, if also very
            disturbing.</span><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:13.5pt;color:black">It seems as if we have
            "tumbled our gyros" but in a different mode than the
            rhetoric about "Civil War" and "Descent into Autocracy" seem
            to suggest.   It also characterizes a lot of the
            aspiring/limping democracies we know of in the world today
            up to and including extreme examples such as Russia which
            fits the DINO (democracy in name only) label pretty well.</span><span
            style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:13.5pt;color:black">This conception of the
            problem lead me to a very well written HS student-essay by
            the same title:
            <a
              href="https://hac.bard.edu/amor-mundi/democracy-in-name-only-2020-01-02"
              moz-do-not-send="true">democracy-in-name-only</a>.</span><span
            style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:13.5pt;color:black">Within this essay was a
            poignant quote:</span><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
        <blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
          <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><br>
            </span><span
              style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Source Sans
              Pro",sans-serif">In the words of Alexis de
              Tocqueville,</span><span style="font-size:10.5pt">
              <o:p></o:p></span></p>
          <blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
            <p class="MsoNormal"><i><span
                  style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Source Sans
                  Pro",sans-serif;color:#222222">“A new science of
                  politics is needed for a new world. This, however, is
                  what we think of least; launched in the middle of a
                  rapid stream, we obstinately fix our eyes on the ruins
                  which may still be descried upon the shore we have
                  left, while the current sweeps us along, and drives us
                  backward toward the gulf.”<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>
          </blockquote>
        </blockquote>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
            style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
      </div>
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      <pre class="moz-quote-pre" wrap="">
.-- .- -. - / .- -.-. - .. --- -. ..--.. / -.-. --- -. .--- ..- --. .- - .
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archives:
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</pre>
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