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<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://livebeachcam.net/kharkiv-ukraine-live-webcam/">https://livebeachcam.net/kharkiv-ukraine-live-webcam/</a></p>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://livebeachcam.net/dnipro-ukraine-live-webcam-2/">https://livebeachcam.net/dnipro-ukraine-live-webcam-2/</a></p>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://livebeachcam.net/mykolaiv-ukraine-live-webcam/">https://livebeachcam.net/mykolaiv-ukraine-live-webcam/</a><br>
</p>
<p>These are the main (apparently) live webcams I have found out of
Ukraine... A lot have been taken offline or restricted access
(for obvious reasons re: Russian Army Intell). e.g. everything in
Odessa is restricted or non-operational that I can find. The
Ukraine/Polish border crossings seem to be down/offline. I'm
surprised Mykolaiv is up/online... <br>
</p>
<p>Everything that is online shows a very quiet/slow moment (Sunday
AM ~11PM MDT+9 = 0800?). I don't know what curfew status is in
place. <br>
</p>
<p>Realtime update @7:53 AM Kyiv time, Zelinsky seems to be
broadcasting a live address coming in over some of the webcams...
I have absolutely no ear for Slavic languages, so I can only parse
emotional content. Adamant, resolved and persuasive... <br>
</p>
<p>The Ukranian? broadcaster that took over all the live feeds is
still feeding through the previously unavailable "black sea"
webcam:</p>
<p> <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://livebeachcam.net/black-sea-live-webcam/">https://livebeachcam.net/black-sea-live-webcam/</a></p>
<p>Lots of UkrainGlish words coming through like Anthony Blinken,
Lindsay Graham, No-Fly-Zona, and recognizeble place names...<br>
</p>
<p>Geeze! This war will be not just televised but Webcast and
Tweeted. <br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p>....<br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 3/5/22 10:36 PM, Marcus Daniels
wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:BYAPR11MB383050C17ED5D76AE062BBE2C5079@BYAPR11MB3830.namprd11.prod.outlook.com">
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<p class="MsoNormal">For now, convoys coming out of Poland or
other countries can try to disguise arms as humanitarian
relief.
<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">One could imagine that Javelins could be
hidden in small trucks. It gets harder to disguise a
MiG-29.
<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">But there’s no plausible deniability here
about Javelins and other weapons intended for Ukraine. The
stated intent of NATO and the US is to enable Ukrainian armed
forces to kill Russian soldiers. At some point, probably
relatively soon, it won’t be possible to smuggle large volumes
of advanced weapons into Ukraine. Then what? Wait for
Putin to knock on the door of a NATO country? He’ll say,
“but I have tactical nuclear weapons”, what are you going to
do? [1]
<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Another option is to declare that convoys
to and from Ukraine will get NATO escorts. Then it is on the
Russians to escalate: Don’t you dare shoot at us.
<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">I don’t see any way that Putin can be
allowed to come out of this. His military needs to be
degraded. It can happen now, or it can happen later. If it
happens later there are going to be a lot of dead Ukrainians.
At this point I wouldn’t be surprised if he wants it to be a
radioactive DMZ. <o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Marcus<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">[1] <a
href="https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/escalate-deescalate-part-russias-nuclear-toolbox"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">
https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/escalate-deescalate-part-russias-nuclear-toolbox</a><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<div>
<div style="border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1
1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in">
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>From:</b> Friam
<a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"><friam-bounces@redfish.com></a> <b>On Behalf Of
</b>Steve Smith<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Saturday, March 5, 2022 8:09 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:friam@redfish.com">friam@redfish.com</a><br>
<b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] what's the view from Europe?<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
</div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p><o:p> </o:p></p>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">On 3/4/22 8:29 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
<p class="MsoNormal"><a
href="https://twitter.com/Kasparov63/status/1499440540290584583"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://twitter.com/Kasparov63/status/1499440540290584583</a><o:p></o:p></p>
</blockquote>
<p>I started watching this guy (Beau of the Fifth Column)
semi-regularly months ago even though his affect triggers a
lot of my attempts to ignore my own redneck roots. I don't
think I've mentioned him before... I half expect Glen is
already clued in to him. It is hard to see/hear him without
expecting to hear the Trump Train tooting in the background,
but he's quite the opposite. Scary relevant/clued in/clear
IMO.<o:p></o:p></p>
<blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
<p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sPzQ1DyGZHs"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sPzQ1DyGZHs</a><o:p></o:p></p>
</blockquote>
<p>This "episode" felt like a powerful smack-down of those
(politicians/pundits?) who are rattling "no fly" sabers. To
summarize, my takeaway was "if you think you can establish a
no-fly zone in Ukraine, it would be yonks better to keep your
powder dry and do a first strike because a no-fly *will* be
Putin's pretext, even though he'll likely find another
anyway".<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>In personal anecdote space, Mary's nephew in Madison WI
hosted a young woman from Ukraine as an exchange student a few
years ago. They did a GoFundme to raise the cash to do
everything they could to get her out. She was hunkered down
80 miles East of Kyiv on a farm she was interning (organic
farming) on... all the women and children evacuated fairly
early on but they didn't have room for all so she and another
young woman stayed behind. In the last two days, she worked
her way from there to Lviv (<50 miles from Poland) and
hopes to make it to the border where the current time just
standing in line to be processed is order 20 hours (according
to her) though Poland has no document requirements... if you
show up at the border and you are not a military age (16-60?)
age male they take your name and try to help you figure out
what to do next I guess. The nephew and wife who are
expecting their second child any day now are trying to get her
here to their rural homestead to live indefinitely.
Otherwise (imminent birth) her nephew would be in Poland to
meet her. <o:p></o:p></p>
<p>My Ukrainian colleagues are still incommunicado with me, but
our mutual colleagues who have remained engaged (Matt and
Janire of 4Pi Productions, some of you met/knew through SFx...
English/Spanish) speak with the non-Russian of the duo (Yuri)
every day or two. They are hyper-focused capable
40-somethings and at least Yuri will be one of the guys
figuring out how to pry the tracks off of tanks with prosumer
drones or something.
<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>I have one other Ukranian (Karkeiv) contact that I have only
had one brief contact with a couple of days ago. She is a lot
less resourceful and in spite of having power, water, even
internet (intermittently) doesn't know what to do beyond
hiding in her basement (apartment building) everytime there is
a air raid warning. She wasn't able to give me enough info
in our brief exchange to know how to even begin to help her
personally. Right now financial aid in general (as per
Glen's ideations against over-focusing on only helping people
you know) seems like the "most/least" we can do.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>My former NREL colleague (now IOHK/Global ala Cardano/Ada)
has 12 colleagues in Ukraine, he only knew of 2 a week ago and
a similar or larger number in Russia) and expects to get more
"insider stories" from both quarters "soon".<o:p></o:p></p>
<p>This feels much bigger in my lifetime than 9/11,
Iraq/Afghanistan, COVID, even Trump.... maybe it is the
proximity in time, or a lifetime of cold-war spectre.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p><o:p> </o:p></p>
<blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<br>
<o:p></o:p></p>
<pre><o:p> </o:p></pre>
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