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    <div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 11/13/23 6:42 PM, David Eric Smith
      wrote:<br>
    </div>
    <blockquote type="cite"
      cite="mid:EA2CC9B8-8038-46A4-8505-8B4C7ADC8284@santafe.edu">
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      Well in that case, definitely look up the interview he did with
      Sara Walker and Lee Cronin.
      <div><br>
      </div>
      <div>I will not comment further.</div>
      <div><br>
      </div>
      <div>Eric</div>
    </blockquote>
    <br>
    <p>Gah!</p>
    <p>Coincidence that I just finished Stephen Webb's updated review of
      the Fermi Paradox.  I didn't choose to read it because I have a
      vested interest in the answers (roughly 75 whack-a-moles), but
      rather a fascination with the fact that the question hasn't been
      advanced significantly since the <a
        href="https://sgp.fas.org/othergov/doe/lanl/la-10311-ms.pdf">Eric
        Jones' LA-UR of 198</a>5  (Alias Smith and Jones?) on the
      topic,  which I read as a very young LANL  Staff Member when it
      was published internally.  Or the Drake equation since 1961?   It
      was also fascinating to be re-introduced to <a
        href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Knuth%27s_up-arrow_notation">Knuth's
        Up-Arrow notatio</a>n for expressing excruciatingly large
      numbers.... <br>
    </p>
    <p>At the time it seemed like we hadn't been asking the question
      long enough (~40 years) for the answers to mean much (have much
      relevance?)... 40ish years later is only 2X longer yet the
      technical progress (e.g. SETI/Hubble/Webb/Deep Machine
      Learning/...) the silence of the cosmos seems significantly more
      pregnant?<br>
    </p>
    <p>I've given Walker/Cronin/Fridman about 70 minutes so far and my
      head hurts (in the best way)...  and I'm clearly over my head in
      beaucoup ways...   though I may not be able to stop and it will be
      definitely one of those "4 hours I will never be able to, nor want
      to, get back?)<br>
    </p>
    <blockquote>
      <p>she said <i>"the fact that we can even talk here is a result
          of the fact that we can exchange structures in assembly
          space"   <br>
        </i></p>
    </blockquote>
    <p>statements like this and implied references to abstractions like
      Godel Numbering on Assembly Indices and Kauffman's NK model,
      casual graphs ala Glymour or Perl,  L-systems, Wheeler's It-to-Bit
      and a spectrum from discovered to invented, leave me (yet more)
      painfully aware of how over my head I am...  I dismissed SFI's
      "interplanetary" announcements back when (2019) as unserious but
      with Ted Chiang's "Arrival" at SFI in light of his "Story of your
      Life" and the <br>
    </p>
    <p>In a few months/years I expect this type of discussion could as
      easily be actors reading a GPT-X script which entirely captures
      the stylization of a serious discussion without being
      (necessarily?) serious at all and perhaps *nobody* could tell?   <br>
    </p>
    <p>The intersection of <i>possibility</i> and <i>probability</i>
      spaces seems to define/imply something about what I said at
      earlier about the difference between memory/imagination,
      past/future?  (<i>Will, Qualia, ???</i>)<br>
    </p>
    <p>I'm suspect I should follow your lead and not comment further
      (for entirely different reasons)...  If I really want to hurt
      myself (some more) I should probably cue up Fridman's interview
      with Wolfram back to back with this one.  At this rate I doubt I
      will ever get around to his interviews with Netanyahu and Kushner
      or Rogan...<br>
    </p>
    <p>Lex just commented "<i>discovering wisdom through nuanced
        disagreement</i>?" and it seems to be good support for Glen's
      agonism... <br>
    </p>
    <p>Argh...  "why does head hurt when Hulk try to think?"  maybe I
      should sign up for the Neuralink Beta and get the GPT-shield to go
      with it?  With a power-tower count of components </p>
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                          <p>(.<i>... must... stop... now...</i> )<br>
                          </p>
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    <p><br>
    </p>
    <blockquote type="cite"
      cite="mid:EA2CC9B8-8038-46A4-8505-8B4C7ADC8284@santafe.edu">
      <div><br>
      </div>
      <div><br>
        <div><br>
          <blockquote type="cite">
            <div>On Nov 13, 2023, at 5:57 PM, Steve Smith
              <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:sasmyth@swcp.com"><sasmyth@swcp.com></a> wrote:</div>
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                <div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 11/13/23 12:06 PM, glen
                  wrote:<br>
                </div>
                <blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:757bfd17-0ed6-4033-96ae-68fbfda8d811@gmail.com">You might want
                  to check the Gurometer. Lex has an entry: <br>
                  <br>
                  <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Oe-af4_OmzLJavktcSKGfP0wmxCX0ppP8n_Tvi9l_yc/edit?usp=sharing"
                    moz-do-not-send="true">https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Oe-af4_OmzLJavktcSKGfP0wmxCX0ppP8n_Tvi9l_yc/edit?usp=sharing</a>
                  <br>
                  <br>
                  While Lex's scores are relatively low compared to some
                  of the wackos on the list, we are known by
                  association. And many of Lex's guests score relatively
                  high. <br>
                </blockquote>
                <p>Fascinating resource,  thanks!  You are a veritable
                  font (fount) of things like this that I should
                  probably be able to find for myself.<br>
                </p>
                <p>I had to look a little to find a key to the columns
                  of the  table, I don't know if this is the preferred
                  or only one, but it seemed close enough to be useful
                  for my purposes:</p>
                <blockquote>
                  <p><a
href="https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2ftechhenzy.com%2fgurometer%2f&c=E,1,-jmX3-GnKvHRZ-U6g3sLfGsk8ntKDTZ0snin2zifY--Hno29Qx92h9fhySz8IXtuihWQCxiEVogT6296DEPPb4qsdNHWD6ZIX5ul4F-34Wihzhuu&typo=1"
                      class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
                      moz-do-not-send="true">https://techhenzy.com/gurometer/</a></p>
                </blockquote>
                <p>I haven't listened to enough of Lex's podcasts (did I
                  mention 1-2 hours each?!) to be able to evaluate what
                  his "coupling" is with his guests... even without the
                  GuruMeter I felt that theme ("known by association")
                  from the more prominent/recent interviewees he has
                  engaged... but my contingent judgement of the
                  *content* and *style* of the interviews
                  counterbalanced that almost to an extreme.   Which is
                  why I brought it up here.</p>
                <p>Implicit but likely opaque/arcane to your own
                  references to community (self) policing and ?agonism?,
                  I feel (with limited experience so far) that Fridman
                  may well provide a regulating role within some
                  community (of Galaxy-Brain Gurus?)...</p>
                <p>I doubt I will get the 'round t'uits but it seems
                  like there is a tensor product to be explored among
                  these folks and their various interactions with one
                  another...   something interesting might emerge?  
                  Maybe this only occurs to me because Lex is more of a
                  coupling agent than a primary source of any
                  ideas/theories/positions from what I've seen so far.  
                  I haven't investigated the GuruMeter guys enough to
                  understand their methods but I take it for granted
                  they are not unserious in this work.<br>
                </p>
                <p><br>
                </p>
                <blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:757bfd17-0ed6-4033-96ae-68fbfda8d811@gmail.com"> <br>
                  On 11/13/23 10:08, Steve Smith wrote: <br>
                  <blockquote type="cite">It seems (maybe only to me?)
                    that "will" is what defines the intersection of
                    memory and imagination?   The
                    free-will-less-ness-ers among us (ala Sopolsky
                    <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwww.theguardian.com%2fbooks%2f2023%2foct%2f24%2fdetermined-life-without-free-will-by-robert-sapolsky-review-the-hard-science-of-decisions&c=E,1,91wHpfNIkmXC-CnGi3PazdL_hQlw2NlNpCoVT3nJCuot5r9OAZsB0usPuLlH6_6rlBoDorx2bLYVT55_T9jETx_-4wilrXWAjG-3MNgonMWE9w,,&typo=1"
                      moz-do-not-send="true"><https://www.theguardian.com/books/2023/oct/24/determined-life-without-free-will-by-robert-sapolsky-review-the-hard-science-of-decisions></a>)
                    may find this an entirely specious thing to consider
                    or discuss (though without free will, what means
                    "specious" or "discuss" or "consider" sans
                    free-will?). <br>
                    <br>
                    I recently discovered Lex Fridman's podcasts <a
                      class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2flexfridman.com%2fpodcast%2f&c=E,1,QWrnSg3KQcihreIAIaA74In11b90OwQV4DbIgelWBXYN4Ud1PK0WvNTlNakcIB0zdfgEMx2X6t8b-1_TPyUhzXpNMlaFz3z4sKIKjXliwZAs&typo=1"
                      moz-do-not-send="true"><https://lexfridman.com/podcast/></a>
                    and was quite surprised by several things (albeit
                    with very limited sampling... all of his most recent
                    interview with Musk and a bit of his interview with
                    Isaacson and about half of the Harari one):   I
                    don't significantly disagree with the general
                    mistrust of Musk in his Autistic-ish style and
                    affect, but I'd say that Lex brings out the best in
                    him, showing him to be capable of thoughtful and
                    even empathetic-ish observations.  As I understand
                    it (from my reading of Isaacson's biography of Musk)
                    brother Kimball may also be a significantly similar
                    "regulating influence" on Elon.   Grimes maybe,
                    maybe not.  The other mothers of his children,
                    same-same... probably each and all of them for a
                    period of time or within certain frameworks.   And
                    again, same with the children... though maybe
                    projection on my part having been moderately
                    well-regulated in several modes by my own children
                    during each of their phases (right up to their
                    current middle-agedness). <br>
                    <br>
                    As an aside, Fridman's other interviews also all
                    sound potentially fascinating... though I cringe at
                    the fact/thought of interviews with Netanyahu,
                    KanYE, Kushner, Rogan...     the commentary I've
                    read around those interviews tends to skew toward
                    "how could you normalize (amplify?) those A**holes
                    by even giving them the time of the day???!!!?".  
                    Lex's interviews are definitely long-form (1-2
                    hours) compared to today's
                    tik-tok/ad-jingle/bumper-sticker/snark-pith
                    calibrated sound-bitery.    I find myself avoiding
                    them for this reason (not wanting to commit to
                    listening past some of my own prejudices long enough
                    to hear what they are really about?) but recognize
                    (and have already begun to practice) that as with
                    long-form written journalism, I can take it in bits,
                    like I might eat a rich holiday meal... not try to
                    gulp it down quickly in one sitting like a TV-dinner
                    (for you X-ers, "Hot-Pocket", and Millenials ==
                    "??") for the mind. <br>
                    <br>
                    My recent fascination with Deacon's "Teleodynamics",
                    Jeff Hawkins' take on the structure/function of the
                    neocortex and Ian McGilchrist's updated  take on
                    brain bicameralism (Master and Emissary <a
                      class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Master_and_His_Emissary"
                      moz-do-not-send="true"><https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Master_and_His_Emissary></a>)
                    feeds into this question of the intersection of
                    memory and imagination and the implications of
                    Transformer Models and other Generative Models in
                    general.   My direct experience with GPT-4 and
                    DALL-E is significant (many 10s of hours of
                    engagement) but still a drop in the bucket.  There
                    are times when I feel that all I've done is engaged
                    with an incredibly high-dimensional
                    french-curve/bezier spline and thereby been able to
                    smoothly interpolate/extrapolate a handful of
                    interesting (to me) data points into what feels like
                    a powerful elaboration of what is implied by said
                    curve-fit in the past (unknown knowns?) and future
                    (unknown unknowns)?    When I'm not totally
                    enraptured by the (apparent?) novelty (relative to
                    my expectations/predictions) of it's responses I'm
                    generally disappointed at it's limited
                    creativity...   and left puzzling over the question
                    of "novelty vs creativity". <br>
                    <br>
                    Bumble, <br>
                    <br>
                      - Steve <br>
                    <br>
                    On 11/13/23 10:27 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote: <br>
                    <blockquote type="cite">It seems to me that neither
                      Musk and Thiel are interested in the unknown. They
                      are interested in doing things they can already
                      imagine.    For Musk I thought that was because it
                      is how he raises money.   Now I think he is not
                      imagining consciousness in a, say, a transporter
                      pattern buffer, he imagines life on the Enterprise
                      bridge in his body.   Rockets are comparatively
                      science fictiony for people that can't imagine
                      transport without a car, so he gets some points
                      for that. <br>
                      <blockquote type="cite">On Nov 13, 2023, at
                        10:11 AM, glen<a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
                          href="mailto:gepropella@gmail.com"
                          moz-do-not-send="true"><gepropella@gmail.com></a> 
                        wrote: <br>
                        <br>
                        There's an interesting parallel between the
                        Stross and Gellman pieces: Stross both laments
                        and implicitly appreciates the bureaucracy of
                        getting a book published, where Thiel's
                        aggrieved by the bureaucracy of societal
                        evolution. <br>
                        <br>
                        It reminds me of the engineering-vs-biology
                        dichotomy (yes, false, like all of them) I came
                        to appreciate after being exposed to enough
                        biomimetics (to kill a horse). Some of us see
                        the world and think about how to change it,
                        build a better world ... or perhaps destroy the
                        world, whatever floats your inner engineer. And
                        some of us see the world and are awestruck,
                        hypnotized, baffled by its qualities (whether
                        beautiful or horrifying). It's easy to give the
                        latter a pass and denigrate the former when
                        confronted with, say, butterflies or the Grand
                        Canyon. And it's easy to give the former a pass
                        when confronted with poverty and war. <br>
                        <br>
                        But the next time you're at the DMV or arguing
                        with some poor sucker manning the phones at the
                        IRS, it can be useful to remember the falseness
                        of the dichtomy. Similarly, when all you want to
                        do is sleep under the stars and those damned
                        gnats keep homing into your ears, it can be
                        useful to think like an engineer. <br>
                        <br>
                        Policy and science fiction aren't that far
                        apart. <br>
                        <br>
                        <blockquote type="cite">On 11/10/23 13:46,
                          Marcus Daniels wrote: <br>
                          original.png <br>
                          Peter Thiel Is Taking a Break From
                          Democracy<a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2023/11/peter-thiel-2024-election-politics-investing-life-views/675946/?utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share"
                            moz-do-not-send="true"><https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2023/11/peter-thiel-2024-election-politics-investing-life-views/675946/?utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share></a><br>
                          On 11/10/23 11:26, Roger Critchlow wrote: <br>
                          Text of Charlie Stross' talk to Next Frontiers
                          Applied Fiction Day in Stuttgart on Friday
                          November 10th, 2023, concerning where the
                          techno-industrial elite found their horrible
                          philosophies/secular religions. <br>
                          <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwww.antipope.org%2fcharlie%2fblog-static%2f2023%2f11%2fdont-create-the-torment-nexus.html&c=E,1,npJ9AGeEQaUqgDJWMftMsnL-pymj_8pksBePVrbQ_gdF_v3fw88D4pk5N0nHIICGXPhItn57qErQ9u7HSkuvSqtpYRapdSTtpENo508PmwuMPlc7ou5f6pLrIPnj&typo=1"
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