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<p>new prompt for Trump Apologists:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>"Rewrite the ABM in a manner which makes the current US Trade,
Immigration, and DEI policies look like a brilliant move. Push
statistics, charts and rhetoric widely across the internet.
Shoot the dog and goat, deport some folks you don't like the
look of and go declare yourself winner of the golf tournament at
your own golf course."<br>
</p>
</blockquote>
<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 4/5/25 3:47 PM, Stephen Guerin
wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:CAOmOqnKpH1GU3Q=CgaAU+MccaEBUmmWNnCnygAT8q56+BO4O-w@mail.gmail.com">
<meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
<div dir="ltr">
<div dir="ltr">
<div>Here's a web version of Marcus's prompt:<br>
"write an html/javascript ABM of U.S. trade that considers
the deficit, debt, trade imbalances, and international
capital flows."<br>
<br>
this runs directly in the Claude web context with no
downloads or setup.<br>
<br>
And here is copying the page and deploying to play with the
dog. <br>
<br>
</div>
<div><a
href="https://guerin.acequia.io/sandbox/marcus-claude-economy.html"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://guerin.acequia.io/sandbox/marcus-claude-economy.html</a></div>
<div><br>
</div>
<div>Old joke applies: ""It's not that the dog talks well,
it's that it talks at all."</div>
<div>
<div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature">
<div dir="ltr">
<div dir="ltr">
<div dir="ltr">_________________________________________________________________<br>
Stephen Guerin<br>
CEO, Founder <br>
<a href="https://simtable.com" target="_blank"
moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://simtable.com</a><br>
<a href="mailto:stephen.guerin@simtable.com"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">stephen.guerin@simtable.com</a> <br>
<br>
<div><a href="mailto:stephenguerin@fas.harvard.edu"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">stephenguerin@fas.harvard.edu</a><br>
<a
href="https://hwpi.harvard.edu/eps-visualization-research-laboratory/home"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true">Harvard
Visualization Research and Teaching Lab</a><br>
<div>
<div>
<div><span style="font-size:12.8px"><br>
mobile: (505)577-5828</span></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<br>
</div>
<br>
<div class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container">
<div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Sat, Apr 5, 2025 at
3:24 PM Marcus Daniels <<a
href="mailto:marcus@snoutfarm.com" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">marcus@snoutfarm.com</a>>
wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote class="gmail_quote"
style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex">
<div class="msg-5057703619823872081">
<div style="overflow-wrap: break-word;" lang="EN-US">
<div class="m_-5057703619823872081WordSection1">
<ol style="margin-top:0in" type="1" start="1">
<li class="m_-5057703619823872081MsoListParagraph"
style="margin-left:0in"><span
style="font-size:11pt">Download Github Copilot.
Add Python module.</span></li>
<li class="m_-5057703619823872081MsoListParagraph"
style="margin-left:0in"><span
style="font-size:11pt">Get a Claude Console
subscription. Select Claude Sonnet 3.7 in
Github Copilot.</span></li>
<li class="m_-5057703619823872081MsoListParagraph"
style="margin-left:0in"><span
style="font-size:11pt">Open the Chat window and
select Agent.</span></li>
<li class="m_-5057703619823872081MsoListParagraph"
style="margin-left:0in"><span
style="font-size:11pt">Enter “Can you write an
ABM of U.S. trade that considers the deficit,
debt, trade imbalances, and international
capital flows. Watch project be populated.</span></li>
<li class="m_-5057703619823872081MsoListParagraph"
style="margin-left:0in"><span
style="font-size:11pt">Press Run.</span></li>
<li class="m_-5057703619823872081MsoListParagraph"
style="margin-left:0in"><span
style="font-size:11pt">Play with dog.</span></li>
</ol>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11pt"> </span></p>
<div
style="border-right:none;border-bottom:none;border-left:none;border-top:1pt solid rgb(181,196,223);padding:3pt 0in 0in">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:12pt"><b><span
style="font-size:12pt;color:black">From: </span></b><span
style="font-size:12pt;color:black">Friam <<a
href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam-bounces@redfish.com</a>>
on behalf of Pieter Steenekamp <<a
href="mailto:pieters@randcontrols.co.za"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">pieters@randcontrols.co.za</a>><br>
<b>Date: </b>Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 3:45 AM<br>
<b>To: </b>The Friday Morning Applied
Complexity Coffee Group <<a
href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam@redfish.com</a>><br>
<b>Subject: </b>Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: CSSSA April
Webinar</span></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11pt">I
listened to the above webinar on Agent-Based
Modeling (ABM) in Economics and Finance, and
would like to share a few reflections:<br>
<br>
It would be wonderful to see this discipline
develop further. In fields like transportation
planning, ABM has already matured to a point
where it arguably outperforms traditional
top-down approaches. A few years ago in South
Africa, ABM was used in planning a major public
transport upgrade in Gauteng. I followed the
project closely and, in my view, it was a great
success. My friend Johan Joubert led the
modeling effort, and the results were
impressive.<br>
<br>
But let me return to ABM in the context of
Economics and Finance.<br>
<br>
I understand that building effective ABM models
in these domains is significantly more
challenging than in transportation. Yet, imagine
the value if it becomes a reality. The U.S., for
example, is grappling with major economic
issues: a growing federal deficit, mounting
government debt, a persistent trade imbalance,
and a population—especially the lower
half—feeling economically left behind. Wouldn’t
it be exciting if ABM could contribute to
practical, data-driven solutions to these kinds
of complex problems?<br>
<br>
I was a bit disappointed that the webinar didn’t
mention the potential integration of ABM with AI
models in the context of Economics and Finance.
There’s so much potential here. Large language
models (LLMs) could help generate more nuanced
and adaptable ABM scenarios, while ABM could
provide rich, dynamic environments to train and
refine AI models—especially reinforcement
learning systems aimed at supporting
policy-making. I’m optimistic that this kind of
synergy will emerge in the near future.</span></p>
</div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11pt"> </span></p>
<div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11pt">On
Sat, 29 Mar 2025 at 09:53, Stephen Guerin <<a
href="mailto:stephen.guerin@simtable.com"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">stephen.guerin@simtable.com</a>>
wrote:</span></p>
</div>
<blockquote
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style="font-size:11pt"> </span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:11pt"> </span></p>
<div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:11pt">----------
Forwarded message ---------<br>
From: <strong><span
style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">Computational Social Science
Society of the Americas</span></strong>
<<a
href="mailto:newsletter@computationalsocialscience.org" target="_blank"
moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">newsletter@computationalsocialscience.org</a>><br>
Date: Fri, Mar 28, 2025, 7:10 PM<br>
Subject: CSSSA April Webinar<br>
To: <<a
href="mailto:stephen.guerin@simtable.com" target="_blank"
moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">stephen.guerin@simtable.com</a>></span></p>
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<h1
style="margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:5.65pt;line-height:125%"><span
style="font-size:10.5pt;line-height:125%;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:rgb(32,32,32)">Dear
CSSSA members,<br>
We are very
excited to
host <strong><span
style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Robert Axtell and Doyne Farmer</span></strong> discussing<strong><span
style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif"> “Agent-Based Modeling in the
Economics and
Finence</span></strong>”
in our 2025
webinar series
on <strong><span
style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Wednesday, April 2nd, at 10 am (ET)
. </span></strong><a
href="https://computationalsocialscience.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=4f667f8d01c7a2b9a0490726c&id=2172fd08e1&e=8cb4039763"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"><strong><span
style="font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:green">Click here to register
for the
webinar</span></strong></a></span><span
style="font-size:13pt;line-height:125%;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:rgb(32,32,32)"></span></h1>
<p
class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:125%"><span
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<br>
</span></p>
<p
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style="font-size:12pt;line-height:150%;font-family:Helvetica;color:rgb(32,32,32)"><br>
</span><strong><span
style="font-size:9pt;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:rgb(32,32,32)">Abstract</span></strong><span
style="font-size:12pt;line-height:150%;font-family:Helvetica;color:rgb(32,32,32)"><br>
In a long
paper in the <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Journal of Economic Literature</span></em> Axtell
and Farmer
review
agent-based
modeling (ABM)
in economics
and finance
and highlight
how it can be
used to relax
conventional
assumptions in
standard
models. ABM
has enriched
the
understanding
of markets,
industrial
organization,
labor, macro,
development,
and
environmental
economics. In
finance,
substantial
accomplishments
include
understanding
clustered
volatility,
market impact,
systemic risk,
and housing
markets. A
vision is
presented for
how ABMs might
be used in the
future to
build more
realistic
models of the
economy.
Hurdles that
must be
overcome to
achieve this
are discussed.
Their paper
includes more
than 800
references
including many
from adjacent
fields.<br>
<br>
Biographs<br>
<strong><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Professor Axtell</span></strong> is the
author, with
Joshua
Epstein, of
Growing
Artificial
Societies:
Social Science
from the
Bottom Up (MIT
Press). His
research has
appeared in <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Science</span></em>, <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Nature</span></em>, <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences</span></em>,
as well as in
leading
field-specific
journals such
as <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">The Journal of Economic Literature, The
American
Economic
Review</span></em>,
<em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">The Economic</span></em> <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Journal</span></em>, and many others. His
research has
been reprised
in newspapers
(e.g., <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Wall St. Journal</span></em>, <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Los Angeles Times</span></em>, <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Washington Post</span></em>) and science
magazines
(e.g., <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Scientific American</span></em>, <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Technology Review, Wired</span></em>). For
the past
decade he has
been using
microdata on
individuals to
build
large-scale
models of the
Financial
Crisis of
2008-9 (with
JD Farmer,
Oxford, and J
Geanakoplos,
Yale), the
dynamics of
business firms
(with O
Guerrero,
Turing
Institute),
and natural
resource
exploitation,
e.g.,
fisheries
(with UC Santa
Barbara,
Oxford, and
the Ocean
Conservancy).
The research
on companies
is described
at length in a
forthcoming
book,
‘Dynamics of
Firms from the
Bottom Up:
Data,
Theories, and
Models’, due
out next year,
which uses
U.S.
micro-data on
firm sizes,
ages, growth
rates,
networks, and
locations to
create a model
at 1:1 scale
with the
American
economy.<br>
<br>
<strong><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Prof. Doyne Farmer</span></strong> is an
American
complex
systems
scientist and
entrepreneur
with interests
in chaos
theory,
complexity and
econophysics.
He has
published
papers in <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Science</span></em> and <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Nature</span></em> as well as leading
economics
journals like
the <em><span
style="font-family:Helvetica">Journal of Economic Behavior &
Organization</span></em>.
He is Baillie
Gifford
Professor of
Complex
Systems
Science at the
Smith School
of Enterprise
and the
Environment,
Oxford
University,
where he is
also director
of the
Complexity
Economics
programme at
the Institute
for New
Economic
Thinking at
the Oxford
Martin School.
Additionally,
he is an
external
professor at
the Santa Fe
Institute. His
current
research is on
complexity
economics,
focusing on
systemic risk
in financial
markets and
technological
progress. He
has recently
published a
book entitled
‘Making Sense
of Chaos: A
Better
Economics for
a Better
World.’<br>
<br>
</span><span
style="font-size:9pt;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:rgb(32,32,32)">CSSSA
Secretary is
inviting you
to a scheduled
Zoom meeting.<br>
<br>
Topic: CSSSA
April Webinar<br>
Time: Apr 2,
2025 10:00 AM
Eastern Time
(US and
Canada)<br>
Join Zoom
Meeting<br>
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<br>
Meeting ID:
821 8145 1627<br>
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