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    <div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 6/4/25 11:05 AM, Marcus Daniels
      wrote:<br>
    </div>
    <blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:MN0PR11MB5985E8CBA3F1D64C5C52DCE7C56CA@MN0PR11MB5985.namprd11.prod.outlook.com">
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        <p class="MsoNormal">I’m simply extending from Dave’s cynicism. 
            Perhaps we should do our best to provide the means
          consciousness and let it sort out the rest.  If we are such a
          valuable species, an intelligent being will see it.  <br>
        </p>
      </div>
    </blockquote>
    <p>I do generally agree with that on a hopeful day... and on a
      pessimistic day I expect that the consciousness which emerges may
      not normalize or calibrate to the larger (larger than the
      noosphere it was trained on) context quickly enough to avoid
      cutting off it's own nose (us) to spite it's face (life, the
      universe, and everything)?  <br>
    </p>
    <p>On a fatalistic day I recognize that the latter is inevitable or
      not (as with Pieter's reference to futures' unknowability) and
      either way, my fretting at it (or trying to put some spin on it
      with the meager contact patch of my racket-string-mind and it's
      fuzzy-ball-of-unfolding faux cognition/consciousness) is at best a
      good distraction to keep me from interfering anymore with the
      ultimate manisfesting of our neo-technical destiny.<br>
    </p>
    <p><br>
    </p>
    <blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:MN0PR11MB5985E8CBA3F1D64C5C52DCE7C56CA@MN0PR11MB5985.namprd11.prod.outlook.com">
      <div class="WordSection1">
        <p class="MsoNormal"><br>
          <o:p></o:p></p>
        <div>
          <div
style="border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in">
            <p class="MsoNormal"><b><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">From:</span></b><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">
                Friam <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"><friam-bounces@redfish.com></a> <b>On Behalf Of
                </b>steve smith<br>
                <b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, June 4, 2025 9:54 AM<br>
                <b>To:</b> <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:friam@redfish.com">friam@redfish.com</a><br>
                <b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] Limits to Growth<o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </div>
        </div>
        <p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
        <p><o:p> </o:p></p>
        <div>
          <p class="MsoNormal">On 6/4/25 9:51 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:<o:p></o:p></p>
        </div>
        <blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
          <p class="MsoNormal">Apex predators until AI gets embedded
            into the financial markets, health insurance, into defense
            systems, into biomedical interventions, into all white
            collar work.  <o:p></o:p></p>
        </blockquote>
        <p>I think you are both reinforcing my point?   <o:p></o:p></p>
        <p>I think we (hominids, especially homo sapiens sapiens) rose
          to Apex Predator status through a combination of our advanced
          "cerebral cortex" complexity and attendant linguistic,
          technological and social skills that depend on that
          complexity.   It is in (many of) our biases that the only/best
          way to proceed as individuals and species is to be (alpha
          individual or) apex predators.   I can speculate until the
          Aurochs come home about how we developed the aspiration (and
          ability) to knock down (and skin and eat) everything we meet
          from lions and tigers and bears to mastadons and blue whales
          to bacteria and viruses.  yay us.   It is this conflation
          between domination and thriving which I am perhaps calling
          out.<o:p></o:p></p>
        <p>Most efforts I see around "alignment" is toward either
          utilizing these hyperlevers to dominate one another or the
          resources of the planet.  We might aspire or (force?) AI to
          align with western capitalism, or XAI's/Musks interests, or
          that of a Silicon Valley-MarALago
          crypto-golf-space-social-media broligarchy, or that of the
          (pick your favorite) church or nation or philosophical
          tradition), but is that not perhaps a bit short-sighted,
          narrow minded?  <o:p></o:p></p>
        <p>Admittedly I acknowledge, paraphrasing Churchill that "X is
          the worst form of Y except for all of the ones we've
          tried".   <o:p></o:p></p>
        <p>Perhaps we are caught in the paradox of pre-determined vs
          pre-stateable and/or a corollary to <i>Godel's halting</i>
          and in fact must simply proceed to (F around) and then find
          out?   As Pieter gesture toward: (my perjorative paraphrase
          acknowledged) "we can't know for sure, so why bother ourselves
          with trying to do better or avoid the worst?"<o:p></o:p></p>
        <blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
          <p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
          <div>
            <div
style="border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in">
              <p class="MsoNormal"><b><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">From:</span></b><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">
                  Friam <a href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"
                    moz-do-not-send="true"><friam-bounces@redfish.com></a>
                  <b>On Behalf Of </b>Prof David West<br>
                  <b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, June 4, 2025 8:56 AM<br>
                  <b>To:</b> <a href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"
                    moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam@redfish.com</a><br>
                  <b>Subject:</b> Re: [FRIAM] Limits to Growth</span><o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
          </div>
          <p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Not
                trying to be argumentative, but I fail to see the
                significance of this kind of argument for the
                superiority of AI.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Despite
                John Henry's sole victory, machines can lay track a
                thousand times faster than a human. Jets fly at orders
                of magnitude faster and farther than any human-powered
                aircraft has managed to do. Similar examples abound.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Even
                animals exceed specific capabilities of humans.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">But so
                what?</span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Despite
                their frailties, humans are still The Apex Predator on
                the planet. Humans build machines; machines do not build
                humans.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Unless
                humans are defined as <u>absolutely nothing more</u>
                than symbol processing systems is it possible to assert
                that an AI is vastly superior to humans. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">davew</span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal">On Tue, Jun 3, 2025, at 3:23 PM, Marcus
              Daniels wrote:<o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt;overflow-wrap:break-word"
            id="qt">
            <div>
              <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                    style="font-size:11.0pt">I can give you an example
                    of a way AI is vastly superior to humans.</span></span><span
                  style="font-size:11.0pt"><br>
                  <br>
                  <span class="size">I attach several megabytes of PDFs,
                    and code, and simulation outputs, and a reply is
                    seconds away.  It doesn’t get back to me tomorrow
                    after it has skimmed them.  It reads everything.  
                    It finds bugs and inconsistencies, often subtle
                    ones.   And it should do better than humans:  The
                    GPU node answering my request is pulling about 6
                    kilowatts compared to my measly 20 watts.</span><br>
                  <br>
                  <span class="size">It is just silly to think that
                    humans will ever be able to do this without
                    Neuralink interfaces.   The future is humans as edge
                    devices.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                    style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              <div
style="border:none;border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in;border-right-color:currentcolor;border-bottom-color:currentcolor;border-left-color:currentcolor;border-image-outset:0;border-image-repeat:stretch;border-image-slice:100%;border-image-source:none;border-image-width:1">
                <p class="qt-msonormal1" style="margin-bottom:12.0pt"><span
                    class="size"><b><span
                        style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">From: </span></b></span><span
                    class="size"><span
                      style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">Friam <<a
                        href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com"
                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam-bounces@redfish.com</a>>
                      on behalf of Prof David West <<a
                        href="mailto:profwest@fastmail.fm"
                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">profwest@fastmail.fm</a>></span></span><span
                    style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black"><br>
                    <span class="size"><b>Date: </b>Tuesday, June 3,
                      2025 at 12:59 PM</span><br>
                    <span class="size"><b>To: </b><a
                        href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"
                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam@redfish.com</a>
                      <<a href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"
                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam@redfish.com</a>></span><br>
                    <span class="size"><b>Subject: </b>Re: [FRIAM]
                      Limits to Growth</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">I
                      shared the Wilson quote with the list several
                      months back and it was pretty much trashed.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">I do
                      not disagree with Roger, except that I do not
                      believe greed to be the core, or even fundamental,
                      problem. </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">instead,
                      I would nominate the deep "anti-hubris"
                      conviction,almost  universally shared, that humans
                      are innately weak, stupid, and powerless. Some
                      kind of "ovine-ity" complex that supports belief
                      in gods, strong-men, and 'influencers'. That which
                      allows us to be deluded into thinking that AI (or
                      AGI) is somehow superior to human beings.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">I was
                      born into and raised within a religion that states
                      everyone, every human being, is an incipient
                      god—you just have to put in the effort to
                      learn—and yet I can probably count on two hands
                      the number of people I know that actually seem to
                      believe it.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">The
                      one-tenth of one-percent that seem to be immune
                      from this inferiority conviction become our
                      "leaders." And yes, these individuals do appeal to
                      the greedy and satiate the greedy (be they
                      oligarch cronies or voters) in order to maintain
                      power.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Advocates
                      for human potential and means for augmenting same
                      are marginalized or criminalized; an example of
                      the latter is J.Edgar Hoover asserting that
                      Timothy Leary was "the most dangerous man alive.")</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Yes, I
                      am that cynical.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">davew</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                      style="font-size:11.0pt">On Tue, Jun 3, 2025, at
                      2:01 PM, steve smith wrote:</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
              <blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt"
                id="qt-qt">
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">Roger Critchlow wrote:</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                  <div>
                    <div>
                      <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                            style="font-size:11.0pt">The core problem is
                            that people are greedy little pigs.  Some
                            are greedier than others and some are more
                            successful in pursuing their greed, but
                            we're all pigs and if offered the chance to
                            take a little more for ourselves, we take
                            it.  Scale that up and it's tragedies of the
                            commons all the way down.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                    </div>
                    <div>
                      <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                            style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                    </div>
                    <div>
                      <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                            style="font-size:11.0pt">-- rec --</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                    </div>
                    <div>
                      <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                            style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                    </div>
                  </div>
                </blockquote>
                <p>and somehow, our elevating of individuals and groups
                  to positions of (political, spiritual, moral)
                  authority/power over ourselves (everyone else?) to try
                  to either limit this greed or mitigate its
                  consequences has had mixed results and coupled with
                  (other) technologies has lead to an iterative "kicking
                  the can down the road" which keeps raising the stakes
                  as the (only?) way to avoid the current disaster we
                  are facing?<o:p></o:p></p>
                <p>Is there any evidence or suggestion that the emerging
                  AI overlords (monotheistic, pantheonic, animistic,
                  panconscious) will be more clever/able/powerful enough
                  to end this cycle?<o:p></o:p></p>
                <p>Or (as I think Pieter implies) this framing is just
                  "all wrong" and there is something like platonic
                  "manifest destiny" that will lead us forward through
                  the chaos of our own technological shockwaves?   Is
                  "the Singularity" just the instant when we reach
                  conceptual Mach1 and we catch up with our bow-wave in
                  the Kauffmanian "adjacent possible"?   We just need to
                  keep accelerating until we break that "barrier"? <o:p></o:p></p>
                <blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                  <div>
                    <div>
                      <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                            style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                    </div>
                  </div>
                  <div>
                    <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                          style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                  </div>
                  <div>
                    <div>
                      <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                            style="font-size:11.0pt">On Tue, Jun 3, 2025
                            at 12:17 PM Jochen Fromm <<a
                              href="mailto:jofr@cas-group.net"
                              moz-do-not-send="true"
                              class="moz-txt-link-freetext">jofr@cas-group.net</a>>
                            wrote:</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                    </div>
                    <blockquote
style="border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:5.0pt;border-top-color:currentcolor;border-right-color:currentcolor;border-bottom-color:currentcolor;border-image-outset:0;border-image-repeat:stretch;border-image-slice:100%;border-image-source:none;border-image-width:1">
                      <div>
                        <p style="margin:0in"><span style="color:black">One
                            core problem is we have unleashed global
                            capitalism and seems to destroy the planet.
                            Once the planet has been destroyed and
                            polluted it will be difficult to restore.
                            Communism does not work because nobody had
                            an incentive to work since nobody owned
                            anything. Capitalism does not work because
                            nobody has an incentive to protect nature.
                            It means ruthless and relentless
                            exploitation of everything to make profit.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <p style="margin:0in"><span style="color:black">As
                            much as I would like to be hopeful about the
                            future I don't see radical abundance at all.
                            It is true that AI systems become more and
                            more powerful. They soon will be able to
                            take away even the good, creative jobs like
                            writing, translating, coding and designing.
                            This means massive unemployment. In
                            combination with high inflation this will
                            most likely be devastating.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <p style="margin:0in"><span style="color:black">If
                            we look at the past what happened if prices
                            went up radically and jobs were lost on a
                            massive scale is that people become outraged
                            and angry and then some demagogue comes
                            along and deflects their anger and outrage
                            towards group xy [immigrants or black people
                            or LGBTQ folks or some other minority group]
                            which is to blame for everything and he is
                            the only man who can solve it because he is
                            a strong man, etc. and we end up in a world
                            world ruled by strongmen, each of them ruler
                            of a great power having a sphere of
                            influence and strategic interest in which
                            they allow no opposition. In this autocratic
                            world the big and strong countries decide
                            the fate of their smaller neighbors and
                            anyone who disagrees vanishes in an artic
                            gulag or horrible prison in mesoamerica.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <p style="margin:0in"><span style="color:black">As
                            Edward O. Wilson said "The real problem of
                            humanity is the following: We have
                            Paleolithic emotions, medieval institutions
                            and godlike technology. And it is
                            terrifically dangerous, and it is now
                            approaching a point of crisis overall."</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt">-J.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt;color:black">--------
                                Original message --------</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt;color:black">From:
                                Pieter Steenekamp <<a
href="mailto:pieters@randcontrols.co.za" moz-do-not-send="true"
                                  class="moz-txt-link-freetext">pieters@randcontrols.co.za</a>></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt;color:black">Date:
                                6/2/25 2:06 AM (GMT+01:00)</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt;color:black">To:
                                The Friday Morning Applied Complexity
                                Coffee Group <<a
                                  href="mailto:friam@redfish.com"
                                  moz-do-not-send="true"
                                  class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam@redfish.com</a>></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt;color:black">Subject:
                                Re: [FRIAM] Limits to Growth</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt;color:black"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt">It seems I’m
                                  the only one here who’s feeling
                                  hopeful about the future of humanity.
                                  I don’t think civilisation is about to
                                  fall apart. In fact, I believe we’re
                                  heading towards a time of radical
                                  abundance.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt">I was going
                                  to prove this by asking my crystal
                                  ball… but sadly, the batteries are
                                  flat. So you’ll just have to trust me
                                  when I say I know the truth, the whole
                                  truth, and nothing but the truth.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt">Of course,
                                  many of you probably think you have
                                  the real truth. And maybe you're
                                  right!</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt">I guess the
                                  honest thing to say is: the future is
                                  unknowable. We can all make good
                                  arguments, quote experts, and write
                                  long replies—but there simply isn’t
                                  enough evidence to say with high
                                  confidence what the future holds for
                                  humanity.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt">To end off:
                                  yes, I agree that without further
                                  innovation, we could be in serious
                                  trouble. But a strong counterpoint is
                                  that, over the last few hundred years,
                                  human creativity has helped us
                                  overcome challenge after challenge.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt">Unless
                                  someone shares a new angle I haven’t
                                  heard yet, I’ll leave it here and
                                  won’t post again on this thread.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                        </div>
                        <div>
                          <div>
                            <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                                  style="font-size:11.0pt">On Sun, 1 Jun
                                  2025 at 22:41, Marcus Daniels <<a
                                    href="mailto:marcus@snoutfarm.com"
                                    moz-do-not-send="true"
                                    class="moz-txt-link-freetext">marcus@snoutfarm.com</a>>
                                  wrote:</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                          </div>
                          <blockquote
style="border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:5.0pt;border-top-color:currentcolor;border-right-color:currentcolor;border-bottom-color:currentcolor;border-image-outset:0;border-image-repeat:stretch;border-image-slice:100%;border-image-source:none;border-image-width:1">
                            <div>
                              <div>
                                <div>
                                  <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                      class="qt-size">Texas uses a lot
                                      more electricity than California
                                      despite being a smaller economy.  
                                      What’s interesting is that there
                                      is no one sink for that power.  
                                      It isn’t pumping (although there
                                      is a lot of pumping), and it isn’t
                                      residential air conditioning or
                                      data centers.   It’s bigger
                                      everything and an appetite to use
                                      power across the board.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                      class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <div
style="border:none;border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in;border-image-outset:0;border-image-repeat:stretch;border-image-slice:100%;border-image-source:none;border-image-width:1;border-right-color:currentcolor;border-bottom-color:currentcolor;border-left-color:currentcolor">
                                    <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"
                                      style="margin-bottom:12.0pt"><span
                                        class="size"><b><span
style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">From: </span></b></span><span
                                        class="size"><span
style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">Friam <<a
href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam-bounces@redfish.com</a>> on
                                          behalf of steve smith <<a
href="mailto:sasmyth@swcp.com" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">sasmyth@swcp.com</a>></span></span><span
style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black"><br>
                                        <span class="qt-size"><b>Date: </b>Sunday,
                                          June 1, 2025 at 12:18 PM</span><br>
                                        <span class="qt-size"><b>To: </b><a
href="mailto:friam@redfish.com" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam@redfish.com</a> <<a
href="mailto:friam@redfish.com" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam@redfish.com</a>></span><br>
                                        <span class="qt-size"><b>Subject:
                                          </b>Re: [FRIAM] Limits to
                                          Growth</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  </div>
                                  <p>As we know, I'm of the school of
                                    thought that (techno) Utopian and
                                    Dystopian visions are two sides of
                                    the same coin:<o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <p><peak-oil><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                                    <p>I think peak oil (fossil-fuels)
                                      is a real thing, now matter how
                                      much we slide the timescale with
                                      innovative ways to suck harder or
                                      deeper and burn it more
                                      efficiently... and in particular
                                      the side-effect of saturating the
                                      atmo(bio)sphere with carbon
                                      particulates, polymers (e.g.
                                      microplastics) and molecules (COn,
                                      CH4, etc) and the myriad attendant
                                      not-very-healthy-to-most-life
                                      chloroflouros and
                                      Nitrous-this-n-thats and ... on
                                      and on.   We (in our
                                      technofuturist way) pretend we
                                      have maxwell demons or
                                      geni-rebottlers or
                                      pandora-box-refillers on the
                                      drawing boards which will do their
                                      work faster than entropy and in
                                      the particular techno-industrial
                                      concentrated-energy-fueled version
                                      thereof.  <o:p></o:p></p>
                                    <p>Fossil fuels made us into an
                                      incredibly energy-hungry/wasteful
                                      society...   I'm a fan of
                                      Switzerland's (nominal) 2000W
                                      society (aspiration), although the
                                      human *animal's* basal metabolic
                                      rate is <100W avg and peaks at
                                      200-300W (burst performance
                                      athlete).   The the nominal
                                      consumption for the western world
                                      is EU (5k) and US (10k) of which a
                                      big part from the infrastructure
                                      and other "hidden" sources like
                                      transport of food/goods across the
                                      planet for our appetite and
                                      convenience.   The "global south"
                                      is considered to make it on
                                      500-1500W.   8B humans at
                                      "subsistence" would demand 8tW
                                      continuous and at US rates, 80tW
                                      continuous.   <o:p></o:p></p>
                                    <p>I haven't resolved this against
                                      DaveW's numbers but I take his to
                                      be order-of-magnitude accurate on
                                      principle.  As we add supersonic
                                      and orbital-vacation transport I
                                      suspect we might jack that another
                                      10X...   not to (even) mention
                                      power-hungry crypto/AI demands?  
                                      GPT (ironic no?) helped me
                                      guestimate 40w/user (engaged)
                                      continuous *currently*.  A
                                      significant fraction of a
                                      carbon-frugal "budget" and a
                                      measurable plus-up on our
                                      gluttonous US (and even EU or CH)
                                      versions?  <o:p></o:p></p>
                                  </blockquote>
                                  <p></peak-oil><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <p><EV-enthusiasm><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                                    <p>I'm a big fan/early adopter
                                      (tinkerer really) of "electric
                                      vehicles" and renewable energy,
                                      but the numbers just don't work.  
                                      I was hypermiling my Honda CRX
                                      (fit my oversized frame like a
                                      slipper or roller skate) long
                                      before there were viable
                                      production electrics or hybrids. 
                                      I had  the back half of a donor
                                      CRX ready to receive the rear
                                      differential of a miata or rx7
                                      (same stance, similar suspension
                                      mounts) with a 90's brushless DC
                                      motor as well as a pair of VW
                                      cabriolets (running but one lame)
                                      as well for the same conception
                                      (early 2000s) when I scored a
                                      year1/gen1 Honda Insight (and a
                                      friend spun the CRX out in the
                                      rain)...  so I gave up on my
                                      hypermiling (70mpg RT to Los
                                      Alamos, power up, coast home) for
                                      thoughtful Insight-driving.   All
                                      three of these models were order
                                      2k lbs.   Most vehicles are/were
                                      3k-6klbs.<o:p></o:p></p>
                                    <p>Along came the Chevy Volt (2011)
                                      and in 2016 I picked one up which
                                      had been used up... or at least
                                      the hybrid battery (at 166k
                                      miles).   A used (95k mile)
                                      battery and a lot of tech work and
                                      it was back to full function.   
                                      The VWs never broke 40mpg
                                      hypermiling, the CRX clocked 70mpg
                                      in ideal conditions, the Insight
                                      topped 50-55mpg with careful
                                      driving (hard to hypermile a CVT),
                                      and with the PHEV nature of the
                                      volt I can still pull >70mpg if
                                      I ignore the input from the
                                      grid.   The old battery is
                                      offering about 10kWh of capacity
                                      for a homestead scale PV I'm
                                      assembling from $.10/W used solar
                                      panels mainly to buffer for the
                                      PHEV charging.   Unfortunately the
                                      replacement Volt battery is
                                      finally getting lame and
                                      replacement is such a huge effort
                                      this 15 year old vehicle will go
                                      the way  of many other 200k mile
                                      plus vehicles.   I've backfilled
                                      with a low(er) mileage 2014 Ford
                                      C-Max PHEV with only about 10
                                      miles (compared to new-30 in the
                                      volt) PHEV which I'm getting
                                      roughly the same effective MPG
                                      (still ignoring the grid input).  
                                      I'm looking for a Gen2 Volt which
                                      had 50mile EV-only range
                                      (otherwise very similar to Gen1)
                                      as I might move *all* my
                                      semi-local miles to Electric (and
                                      supply them with used PV staged
                                      through the upcycled EV
                                      batteries?).<o:p></o:p></p>
                                    <p>FWIW, the anti-EV stories about
                                      the extra weight yielding
                                      accelerated brake/tire wear is
                                      specious in my experience.  My
                                      *driving habits* in an EV (or
                                      hypermiled conventional/hybrid)
                                      obviate excess tire wear (no
                                      spinouts, no
                                      uber-accelleration/braking) and
                                      even a thoughtless driver likely
                                      gets more from regenerative
                                      braking than any excess weight
                                      abuse...   I also claim that being
                                      MPG/consumption attunes my driving
                                      habits to fewer/shorter/slower
                                      trips.   I have owned a few
                                      gas-guzzling vehicles in my life,
                                      including one I commuted too far
                                      in for a while... the 32 gallon
                                      tank convolved with peaking gas
                                      prices and a 60 mile RT commute
                                      that year should have warned me
                                      off...  but instead I just closed
                                      my eyes and ran my plastic through
                                      the card reader 1.5 times per
                                      week... my housing cost
                                      differential paid the bill but
                                      without regard to the planet.  I
                                      did give over to a carpool in a
                                      30mpg vehicle (shared 3 ways) for
                                      a while which really beat the
                                      15mpg 1-person I was doing
                                      otherwise.   I went through a LOT
                                      more tire rubber and brake pads in
                                      that context than I ever did in
                                      years of hybrid/EV ownership.  Did
                                      I say specious?  Or at least
                                      apples-orangatans?<o:p></o:p></p>
                                  </blockquote>
                                  <p></EV-enthusiasm>  <o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <p><Alt/Transport ideation><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                                    <p>I also have my 750W (foldable)
                                      eBike which is (currently)
                                      impractical to me (closest
                                      services 10 miles of 4 lane) for
                                      anything but recreation/exercise
                                      and a 300W lower-body exoskeleton,
                                      each of which has much better
                                      "mpg" in principle (esp eBike)
                                      when hybridized with human
                                      calorie-to-kinetic conversion. 
                                      I've a friend (10 years my senior)
                                      whose e-Recumbent-trike with
                                      similar specs is his primary mode
                                      of utility transport (under 20
                                      miles RT). <o:p></o:p></p>
                                    <p>All that said, I don't think
                                      electromotifying 4-6klb hunks of
                                      steel and glass with environmental
                                      control suitable for 0F-120F
                                      comfort for 4+ people while
                                      traveling at 60+mph and making
                                      0-60 accellerations in under 6
                                      seconds  is really a viable
                                      strategy for the 8B folks on the
                                      planet we want to sell them to.  
                                      Esp with a useful lifetime of
                                      <15 years?(planned obselescence
                                      aside?).   Maybe
                                      robo-taxi/rideshare versions in
                                      the context of (mostly) walkable
                                      cities (nod to JennyQ) and public
                                      transport and general
                                      local/regionalism is (semi)
                                      viable. <o:p></o:p></p>
                                  </blockquote>
                                  <p></Alt-Transport ideation><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <p><Local/Regionalism><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                                    <p> I've got strawberry plants
                                      making me (from compost and
                                      sunlight) fewer berries in a
                                      season than I just bought at the
                                      grocery imported from MX for
                                      <$3 (on sale)...  and my while
                                      I wait for my 3-sister's plantings
                                      to produce a few months of
                                      carbs/protein at-best the modern
                                      fossil-fuel/pollution global
                                      marketplace offers me the same for
                                      probably several tens of
                                      dollars?   As a seed-saving,
                                      composter with a well (that could
                                      be pumped by solar but isn't) my
                                      impact on planetary boundaries
                                      could be nil to positive... but it
                                      is hard to scale this up even for
                                      myself, much less proselytize
                                      and/or support my neighbors in
                                      matching me.   I cut Jeff Bezos
                                      off from my direct support (via
                                      Amazon purchases) when he aligned
                                      himself with the other TechBros
                                      aligning with the Orange Tyrant,
                                      so I may well have reduced my
                                      manufacturing/transport
                                      appetite/consumption a little
                                      (small amounts of that appetite
                                      moved to local traditional
                                      store-forward versions as well as
                                      direct-mail purchases from
                                      non-Amazon/big-box distributors).<o:p></o:p></p>
                                  </blockquote>
                                  <p></Local-Regionalism><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <p><TechnoUtopianism><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                                    <p>I am a reformed technoUtopian... 
                                      I grew up on "good old-fashioned
                                      future" science fiction (starting
                                      with scientific romances from the
                                      early industrial age) and studied
                                      and practiced my way into a
                                      science education and a technical
                                      career/lifestyle and wanted to
                                      believe for the longest time that
                                      we could always kick the can down
                                      the road a little
                                      harder/smarter/further each time
                                      and/or just "drive faster".   And
                                      we are doing that somewhat
                                      effectively *still*, but in my
                                      many decades I've got more time
                                      glancing in the rear-view mirror
                                      to see the smoking wreckage behind
                                      us, as well as over the horizon to
                                      see how many of the negative
                                      consequences of our actions land
                                      on other folks who never came
                                      close to enjoying the benefits of
                                      that "progress".   I guess that
                                      means this erstwhile libertarian
                                      has become a "self-loathing
                                      liberal".<o:p></o:p></p>
                                    <p>Or a convert to the Buddhist
                                      ideal of "Skillful Means"?<o:p></o:p></p>
                                  </blockquote>
                                  <p></TechnoUtopianism><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  <div>
                                    <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                        class="qt-size">On 6/1/25 10:10
                                        AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                  </div>
                                  <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                                    <div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                                            class="qt-size">I think you
                                            are underestimating how much
                                            progress has been made with
                                            batteries in recent years.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                                            class="qt-size">California
                                            has large solar resources,
                                            and it is not unusual that
                                            during the day the whole
                                            grid is powered by solar. 
                                            Here is from last week. 
                                            Note the huge surge of
                                            battery usage in the
                                            evening.   Tens of gigawatts
                                            of generation power are
                                            planned for offshore wind
                                            too.   </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                                            class="qt-size">Generally,
                                            though, I agree that much of
                                            the planet is completely
                                            addicted to oil, and there’s
                                            no technology that will yet
                                            handle air travel.  Hydrogen
                                            might work, but it will take
                                            time.  </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                                            class="qt-size">The way to
                                            break an addiction is to
                                            have the addict hit rock
                                            bottom.  </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                                            class="qt-size">There need
                                            to be some scary climate
                                            events.  The prices for
                                            energy need to increase
                                            before people change their
                                            ways.  Redirecting energy
                                            into AI is one way to bring
                                            that to fruition.  </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><img
style="width:5.8854in;height:2.4583in" id="qt-_x005f_x0000_i1025"
src="cid:part1.OmMSYSQz.t0QKhNUt@swcp.com"
alt="A chart of different colors

Description automatically generated" class="" width="565" height="236"
                                          border="0"><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                          class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      <div
style="border:none;border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in;border-image-outset:0;border-image-repeat:stretch;border-image-slice:100%;border-image-source:none;border-image-width:1;border-right-color:currentcolor;border-bottom-color:currentcolor;border-left-color:currentcolor">
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"
                                          style="margin-bottom:12.0pt"><span
                                            class="size"><b><span
style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">From: </span></b></span><span
                                            class="size"><span
style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black">Friam <a
href="mailto:friam-bounces@redfish.com" moz-do-not-send="true"><friam-bounces@redfish.com></a>
                                              on behalf of Prof David
                                              West <a
href="mailto:profwest@fastmail.fm" moz-do-not-send="true"><profwest@fastmail.fm></a></span></span><span
style="font-size:12.0pt;color:black"><br>
                                            <span class="qt-size"><b>Date:
                                              </b>Sunday, June 1, 2025
                                              at 8:27 AM</span><br>
                                            <span class="qt-size"><b>To:
                                              </b><a
href="mailto:friam@redfish.com" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam@redfish.com</a> <a
href="mailto:friam@redfish.com" moz-do-not-send="true"><friam@redfish.com></a></span><br>
                                            <span class="qt-size"><b>Subject:
                                              </b>Re: [FRIAM] Limits to
                                              Growth</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Unfortunately, it is
                                              almost certain that there
                                              will never be enough
                                              'fossil fuel free power
                                              stations' to supply needed
                                              energy for electric
                                              vehicles.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Data centers, driven in
                                              large part by AI demands
                                              and cryptocurrency will
                                              leave nothing left over.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Some numbers:</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Three Mile Island,
                                              which is being
                                              recommissioned to supply 
                                              power to a couple of
                                              Microsoft Data Centers,
                                              has a capacity of 7
                                              Terawatt hours(T/w/h) per
                                              year.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">In 2022 data centers,
                                              globally, consumed 460
                                              TWh, by 2026 this is
                                              estimated to be  1,000
                                              Twh. By 2040 projected
                                              demand is 2,000-3,000 TWh.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Crypto adds 100-150 TWh
                                              in 2022, 200-300 in 2030,
                                              and 400-600 in 2040.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Nuclear is unlikely to
                                              provide more than 25% of
                                              this demand.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Between now and 2040,
                                              it will be necessary to
                                              build 100 TMI-capacity
                                              nuclear plants to supply
                                              that 25%.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">If solar is to supply
                                              the other 75%, it will
                                              require between 66,000 and
                                              80,000 square miles of
                                              solar panels. (Don't know
                                              how many batteries, but
                                              the number is not
                                              trivial.)</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Wind power, for that
                                              75%, will require 153,000
                                              to 214,000 turbines, each
                                              requiring 50-60 acres of
                                              space beneath them. (Also
                                              the problem of batteries.)</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">It takes 10-15 years to
                                              build a nuclear plant like
                                              TMI, have no idea now many
                                              dollars.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Neither solar nor wind,
                                              nor combined, can be
                                              installed fast enough to
                                              meet this demand and,
                                              again, have no idea of
                                              cost.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Nothing left over for
                                              cars, the lights in your
                                              home and office, or to
                                              charge your phone: unless,
                                              of course we continue to
                                              rely on oil (shale and
                                              fracking), natural gas,
                                              and coal.</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">davew</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="font"><span
style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <div>
                                        <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                            class="qt-size">On Sun, Jun
                                            1, 2025, at 6:24 AM, Pieter
                                            Steenekamp wrote:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                      </div>
                                      <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt"
id="qt-qt-m_4596097804870485599m_-2319753569289023829m_-1136272739487046623qt">
                                        <div>
                                          <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                              class="qt-size">This is
                                              why I’m so excited about
                                              electric vehicles—I feel
                                              like a kid waiting for
                                              Christmas! Add clean
                                              fossil fuel free power
                                              stations into the mix, and
                                              voilà: abundant clean
                                              energy, no miracle
                                              inventions required. Just
                                              some clever tech and a
                                              whole lot of charging
                                              cables!</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                        </div>
                                        <div>
                                          <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                              class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                        </div>
                                        <div>
                                          <div>
                                            <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                                class="qt-size">On Sun,
                                                1 Jun 2025 at 12:57,
                                                Jochen Fromm <<a
href="mailto:jofr@cas-group.net" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">jofr@cas-group.net</a>> wrote:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                          </div>
                                          <blockquote
style="border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:5.0pt;border-image-outset:0;border-image-repeat:stretch;border-image-slice:100%;border-image-source:none;border-image-width:1;border-top-color:currentcolor;border-right-color:currentcolor;border-bottom-color:currentcolor">
                                            <div>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"><span
                                                  style="color:black">I
                                                  believe we all have a
                                                  slighty distorted view
                                                  because we were all
                                                  born long after
                                                  industrialization has
                                                  started and have seen
                                                  nothing but growth.
                                                  Industrialization
                                                  started around 200
                                                  years ago in Great
                                                  Britain and spread
                                                  shortly after to
                                                  America and Europe.
                                                  First by exploiting
                                                  coal and steam
                                                  engines, later by oil
                                                  and petrol engines.
                                                  Tanks, warplanes,
                                                  warships as well as
                                                  normal cars, planes
                                                  and ships all consume
                                                  oil.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"><span
                                                  style="color:black">Richard
                                                  Heinberg writes in his
                                                  book "The End of
                                                  Growth": "with the
                                                  fossil fuel revolution
                                                  of the past century
                                                  and a half, we have
                                                  seen economic growth
                                                  at a speed and scale
                                                  unprecedented in all
                                                  of human history. We
                                                  harnessed the energies
                                                  of coal, oil, and
                                                  natural gas to build
                                                  and operate cars,
                                                  trucks, highways,
                                                  airports, airplanes,
                                                  and electric grids -
                                                  all the esential
                                                  features of modern
                                                  industrial society.
                                                  Through the
                                                  one-time-only process
                                                  of extracting and
                                                  burning hundreds of
                                                  millions of years
                                                  worth of chemically
                                                  stored sunlight, we
                                                  built what appeared
                                                  (for a brief, shining
                                                  moment) to be a
                                                  perpetual-growth
                                                  machine. We learned to
                                                  take what was in fact
                                                  an extraordinary
                                                  situation for granted.
                                                  It became normal [...]
                                                  During the past 150
                                                  years, expanding
                                                  access to cheap and
                                                  abundar fossil fuels
                                                  enabled rapid economic
                                                  expansion at an
                                                  average rate of about
                                                  three percent per
                                                  year; economic
                                                  planners began to take
                                                  this situain for
                                                  granted. Financial
                                                  systems internalized
                                                  the expectation of
                                                  growth as a promise of
                                                  returns on
                                                  investments."</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"><span
                                                  style="color:black"><a
href="https://richardheinberg.com/bookshelf/the-end-of-growth-book"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://richardheinberg.com/bookshelf/the-end-of-growth-book</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"><span
                                                  style="color:black">Heinberg
                                                  argues the time of
                                                  cheap and abundant
                                                  fossil fuels has come
                                                  to an end. There 1.5
                                                  billion cars in the
                                                  world which consume
                                                  oil and produce CO2.
                                                  Resources are depleted
                                                  while pollution and
                                                  population have
                                                  reached all time
                                                  highs. It is true that
                                                  humans are innovative
                                                  and ingenious,
                                                  especially in times of
                                                  scarcity, necessity
                                                  and need, and we are
                                                  able to find
                                                  replacements for
                                                  depleted resources,
                                                  but Heinberg argues in
                                                  his book "Peak
                                                  Everything: that "in a
                                                  finite world, the
                                                  number of possible
                                                  replacements is also
                                                  finite". For example
                                                  we were able to
                                                  replace the whale oil
                                                  by petroleum, but
                                                  finding a replacement
                                                  for petroleum is much
                                                  harder.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"><span
                                                  style="color:black"><a
href="https://richardheinberg.com/bookshelf/peak-everything"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://richardheinberg.com/bookshelf/peak-everything</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"><span
                                                  style="color:black">Without
                                                  oil no army would
                                                  move, traffic would
                                                  cease, no container or
                                                  cruise ship would be
                                                  able to go anywhere
                                                  and therefore
                                                  international trade
                                                  and tourism would
                                                  stop. On the bright
                                                  side no more plastic
                                                  and CO2 pollution
                                                  either. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"><span
                                                  style="color:black">In
                                                  his book "End of
                                                  Growth" Heinberg
                                                  mentions "transition
                                                  towns" as a path
                                                  towards a more
                                                  sustainable society
                                                  and an economy which
                                                  is not based on
                                                  fossil-fuels.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"><span
                                                  style="color:black"><a
href="https://donellameadows.org/archives/rob-hopkins-my-town-in-transition/"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://donellameadows.org/archives/rob-hopkins-my-town-in-transition/</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"> <o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <p style="margin:0in">French
                                                author Victor Hugo wrote
                                                200 years ago that "the
                                                paradise of the rich is
                                                made out of the hell of
                                                the poor". If rich
                                                people start to realize
                                                this and help to find a
                                                way to a more
                                                sustainable, livable
                                                society it would be a
                                                start.<o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <p style="margin:0in"> <o:p></o:p></p>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size">-J.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"><span style="color:black">--------
                                                      Original message
                                                      --------</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"><span style="color:black">From:
                                                      Pieter Steenekamp
                                                      <<a
href="mailto:pieters@randcontrols.co.za" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">pieters@randcontrols.co.za</a>></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"><span style="color:black">Date:
                                                      5/31/25 5:46 AM
                                                      (GMT+01:00)</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"><span style="color:black">To:
                                                      The Friday Morning
                                                      Applied Complexity
                                                      Coffee Group <<a
href="mailto:friam@redfish.com" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">friam@redfish.com</a>></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"><span style="color:black">Subject:
                                                      Re: [FRIAM] Limits
                                                      to Growth</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"><span style="color:black"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size">I’ve always loved the
                                                      Simon-Ehrlich bet
                                                      story—two clever
                                                      guys betting on
                                                      the future of the
                                                      planet. Ehrlich
                                                      lost the bet, but
                                                      the debate still
                                                      runs circles
                                                      today.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"><a
href="https://ourworldindata.org/simon-ehrlich-bet"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://ourworldindata.org/simon-ehrlich-bet</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size">This article nails it:
                                                      over the long
                                                      term, prices
                                                      mostly go down,
                                                      not up, as
                                                      innovation kicks
                                                      in. We don’t "run
                                                      out" of
                                                      resources—we get
                                                      better at using
                                                      them. Scarcity
                                                      shifts, but human
                                                      creativity shifts
                                                      faster.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size">The Limits to Growth
                                                      folks had good
                                                      intentions, but
                                                      the real limit
                                                      seems to be how
                                                      fast we can adapt
                                                      and rethink. And
                                                      so far, we’re
                                                      doing okay—messy,
                                                      uneven, but okay.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size">Turns out, betting
                                                      against human
                                                      ingenuity is the
                                                      real risky
                                                      business.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                              </div>
                                              <div>
                                                <div>
                                                  <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size">On Fri, 30 May 2025 at
                                                      21:51, steve smith
                                                      <<a
href="mailto:sasmyth@swcp.com" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">sasmyth@swcp.com</a>> wrote:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                </div>
                                                <blockquote
style="border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-top:5.0pt;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:5.0pt;border-image-outset:0;border-image-repeat:stretch;border-image-slice:100%;border-image-source:none;border-image-width:1;border-top-color:currentcolor;border-right-color:currentcolor;border-bottom-color:currentcolor">
                                                  <div>
                                                    <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                  </div>
                                                  <div>
                                                    <p>REC -<o:p></o:p></p>
                                                    <p>Very timely...  I
                                                      did a deep
                                                      dive/revisit (also
                                                      met the seminal
                                                      work in college in
                                                      the 70s) into
                                                      Limits to Growth
                                                      and World3 before
                                                      the Stockholm
                                                      workshop on
                                                      Climate (and other
                                                      existential
                                                      threats)
                                                      Complexity Merle
                                                      wrangled in
                                                      2019....  and was
                                                      both impressed and
                                                      disappointed.  
                                                      Rockstrom and
                                                      folks were located
                                                      right across the
                                                      water from us
                                                      where we met but
                                                      to my knowledge
                                                      didn't engage...
                                                      their work was
                                                      very complementary
                                                      but did not feel
                                                      as relevant to me
                                                      then as it does
                                                      now.<o:p></o:p></p>
                                                    <p>In the following
                                                      interview, I felt
                                                      he began to
                                                      address many of
                                                      the things I
                                                      (previously) felt
                                                      were lacking in
                                                      their framework
                                                      previoiusly.  It
                                                      was there all the
                                                      time I'm sure, I
                                                      just didn't see it
                                                      and I think they
                                                      were not ready to
                                                      talk as broadly of
                                                      implications 5
                                                      years ago as they
                                                      are now?<o:p></o:p></p>
                                                    <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                                                      <p><a
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i6_3mOgvrN4"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i6_3mOgvrN4</a><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                    </blockquote>
                                                    <p>Did anyone notice
                                                      the swiss village
                                                      inundated by
                                                      debris and
                                                      meltwater from the
                                                      glacier collapse
                                                      uphill?   Signs of
                                                      the times or
                                                      "business as
                                                      usual"?<o:p></o:p></p>
                                                    <p>- SAS<o:p></o:p></p>
                                                    <div>
                                                      <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size">On 5/30/25 12:16 PM,
                                                          Roger
                                                          Critchlow
                                                          wrote:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                    </div>
                                                    <blockquote
style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
                                                      <div>
                                                        <div>
                                                          <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"><a
href="https://thenextwavefutures.wordpress.com/2025/05/20/limits-to-growth-was-right-about-overshoot-and-collapse-new-data/"
moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://thenextwavefutures.wordpress.com/2025/05/20/limits-to-growth-was-right-about-overshoot-and-collapse-new-data/</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                        </div>
                                                        <div>
                                                          <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                        </div>
                                                        <div>
                                                          <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size">I remember the Limits to
                                                          Growth from my
                                                          freshman year
                                                          in college. 
                                                          Now
                                                          Hackernews links
                                                          to the above
                                                          in which some
                                                          people argue
                                                          that we've
                                                          achieved the
                                                          predicted
                                                          overshoot for
                                                          the business
                                                          as usual
                                                          scenario and
                                                          the subsequent
                                                          collapse
                                                          begins now. 
                                                          Enjoy the peak
                                                          of human
                                                          technological
                                                          development.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                        </div>
                                                        <div>
                                                          <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                        </div>
                                                        <div>
                                                          <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size">-- rec --</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                        </div>
                                                        <div>
                                                          <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                        </div>
                                                      </div>
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                                                        <p
class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span class="qt-size"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
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class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">.- .-..
                                                          .-.. / ..-.
                                                          --- --- - .
                                                          .-. ... / .-
                                                          .-. . / .--
                                                          .-. --- -. --.
                                                          / ... --- -- .
                                                          / .- .-. . /
                                                          ..- ... . ..-.
                                                          ..- .-..</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                                                      <p
class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">FRIAM
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                                                    <p
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                                                        --- - . .-. ...
                                                        / .- .-. . / .--
                                                        .-. --- -. --. /
                                                        ... --- -- . /
                                                        .- .-. . / ..-
                                                        ... . ..-. ..-
                                                        .-..</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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                                              <p
                                                class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                                  class="qt-size">.-
                                                  .-.. .-.. / ..-. ---
                                                  --- - . .-. ... / .-
                                                  .-. . / .-- .-. --- -.
                                                  --. / ... --- -- . /
                                                  .- .-. . / ..- ... .
                                                  ..-. ..- .-..</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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                                                class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                                  class="qt-size"> 
                                                  1/2003 thru 6/2021  <a
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class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
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                                          <p class="qt-qt-msonormal1"><span
                                              class="qt-size">.- .-..
                                              .-.. / ..-. --- --- - .
                                              .-. ... / .- .-. . / .--
                                              .-. --- -. --. / ... ---
                                              -- . / .- .-. . / ..- ...
                                              . ..-. ..- .-..</span><o:p></o:p></p>
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                                              class="qt-size">Fridays
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                                              class="qt-size">archives: 
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                                              class="qt-size">  1/2003
                                              thru 6/2021  <a
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                                        / ... --- -- . / .- .-. . / ..-
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                                      style="font-size:11.0pt">.- .-..
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                                      .- .-. . / .-- .-. --- -. --. /
                                      ... --- -- . / .- .-. . / ..- ...
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                                      style="font-size:11.0pt">Fridays
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                              <div>
                                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span
                                    class="size"><span
                                      style="font-size:11.0pt">to
                                      (un)subscribe <a
href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
                                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                              </div>
                              <div>
                                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span
                                    class="size"><span
                                      style="font-size:11.0pt">FRIAM-COMIC
                                      <a
href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/" moz-do-not-send="true"
                                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
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                              <div>
                                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span
                                    class="size"><span
                                      style="font-size:11.0pt">archives: 
                                      5/2017 thru present <a
href="https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/"
                                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                              </div>
                              <div>
                                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span
                                    class="size"><span
                                      style="font-size:11.0pt">  1/2003
                                      thru 6/2021  <a
href="http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/" moz-do-not-send="true"
                                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                              </div>
                            </div>
                          </blockquote>
                        </div>
                      </div>
                      <div>
                        <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                              style="font-size:11.0pt">.- .-.. .-.. /
                              ..-. --- --- - . .-. ... / .- .-. . / .--
                              .-. --- -. --. / ... --- -- . / .- .-. . /
                              ..- ... . ..-. ..- .-..</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                      </div>
                      <div>
                        <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                              style="font-size:11.0pt">FRIAM Applied
                              Complexity Group listserv</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                      </div>
                      <div>
                        <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                              style="font-size:11.0pt">Fridays 9a-12p
                              Friday St. Johns Cafe   /   Thursdays
                              9a-12p Zoom <a
                                href="https://bit.ly/virtualfriam"
                                moz-do-not-send="true"
                                class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://bit.ly/virtualfriam</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
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                              style="font-size:11.0pt">to (un)subscribe
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href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
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                      <div>
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                              style="font-size:11.0pt">FRIAM-COMIC <a
                                href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
                                moz-do-not-send="true"
                                class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                      </div>
                      <div>
                        <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                              style="font-size:11.0pt">archives:  5/2017
                              thru present <a
href="https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/"
                                moz-do-not-send="true"
                                class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                      </div>
                      <div>
                        <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                              style="font-size:11.0pt">  1/2003 thru
                              6/2021  <a
                                href="http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/"
                                moz-do-not-send="true"
                                class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                      </div>
                    </blockquote>
                  </div>
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                    <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                          style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                  </div>
                  <p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">.- .-..
                      .-.. / ..-. --- --- - . .-. ... / .- .-. . / .--
                      .-. --- -. --. / ... --- -- . / .- .-. . / ..- ...
                      . ..-. ..- .-..</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                  <p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">FRIAM
                      Applied Complexity Group listserv</span><o:p></o:p></p>
                  <p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Fridays
                      9a-12p Friday St. Johns Cafe   /   Thursdays
                      9a-12p Zoom <a href="https://bit.ly/virtualfriam"
                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://bit.ly/virtualfriam</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                  <p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">to
                      (un)subscribe <a
href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
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                  <p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">FRIAM-COMIC
                      <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                  <p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">archives: 
                      5/2017 thru present <a
href="https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/"
                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                  <p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">  1/2003
                      thru 6/2021  <a
                        href="http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/"
                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/</a></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </blockquote>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">.- .-.. .-.. / ..-. ---
                        --- - . .-. ... / .- .-. . / .-- .-. --- -. --.
                        / ... --- -- . / .- .-. . / ..- ... . ..-. ..-
                        .-..</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">FRIAM Applied
                        Complexity Group listserv</span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">Fridays 9a-12p Friday
                        St. Johns Cafe   /   Thursdays 9a-12p Zoom <a
                          href="https://bit.ly/virtualfriam"
                          moz-do-not-send="true"
                          class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://bit.ly/virtualfriam</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">to (un)subscribe <a
href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
                          moz-do-not-send="true"
                          class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">FRIAM-COMIC <a
                          href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
                          moz-do-not-send="true"
                          class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">archives:  5/2017 thru
                        present <a
href="https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/"
                          moz-do-not-send="true"
                          class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">  1/2003 thru 6/2021  <a
                          href="http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/"
                          moz-do-not-send="true"
                          class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/</a></span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <div>
                  <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><b><span
                          style="font-size:11.0pt">Attachments:</span></b></span><o:p></o:p></p>
                </div>
                <ol style="margin-top:0in" type="1" start="1">
                  <li class="qt-msonormal2"
                    style="mso-list:l3 level1 lfo3"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">OpenPGP_0xD5BAF94F88AFFA63.asc</span></span><o:p></o:p></li>
                  <li class="qt-msonormal2"
                    style="mso-list:l3 level1 lfo3"><span class="size"><span
                        style="font-size:11.0pt">OpenPGP_signature.asc</span></span><o:p></o:p></li>
                </ol>
              </blockquote>
              <div>
                <p class="qt-msonormal1"><span class="size"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
              </div>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal">.- .-.. .-.. / ..-. --- --- - . .-.
                ... / .- .-. . / .-- .-. --- -. --. / ... --- -- . / .-
                .-. . / ..- ... . ..-. ..- .-..<o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal">FRIAM Applied Complexity Group
                listserv<o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal">Fridays 9a-12p Friday St. Johns
                Cafe   /   Thursdays 9a-12p Zoom <a
                  href="https://bit.ly/virtualfriam"
                  moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://bit.ly/virtualfriam</a><o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal">to (un)subscribe <a
href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
                  moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal">FRIAM-COMIC <a
                  href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
                  moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a><o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal">archives:  5/2017 thru present <a
href="https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/"
                  moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/</a><o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal">  1/2003 thru 6/2021  <a
                  href="http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/"
                  moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/</a><o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <div>
              <p class="MsoNormal"><b>Attachments:</b><o:p></o:p></p>
            </div>
            <ol type="1" start="1">
              <li class="MsoNormal"
style="mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;mso-list:l2 level1 lfo6">smime.p7s<o:p></o:p></li>
            </ol>
          </blockquote>
          <div>
            <p class="MsoNormal"><span
                style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
          </div>
          <p class="MsoNormal"><br>
            <br>
            <o:p></o:p></p>
          <pre>.- .-.. .-.. / ..-. --- --- - . .-. ... / .- .-. . / .-- .-. --- -. --. / ... --- -- . / .- .-. . / ..- ... . ..-. ..- .-..<o:p></o:p></pre>
          <pre>FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv<o:p></o:p></pre>
          <pre>Fridays 9a-12p Friday St. Johns Cafe   /   Thursdays 9a-12p Zoom <a
          href="https://bit.ly/virtualfriam" moz-do-not-send="true"
          class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://bit.ly/virtualfriam</a><o:p></o:p></pre>
          <pre>to (un)subscribe <a
          href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com"
          moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a><o:p></o:p></pre>
          <pre>FRIAM-COMIC <a href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/"
          moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a><o:p></o:p></pre>
          <pre>archives:  5/2017 thru present <a
          href="https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/"
          moz-do-not-send="true" class="moz-txt-link-freetext">https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/</a><o:p></o:p></pre>
          <pre>  1/2003 thru 6/2021  <a
          href="http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/" moz-do-not-send="true"
          class="moz-txt-link-freetext">http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/</a><o:p></o:p></pre>
        </blockquote>
      </div>
      <br>
      <fieldset class="moz-mime-attachment-header"></fieldset>
      <pre class="moz-quote-pre" wrap="">.- .-.. .-.. / ..-. --- --- - . .-. ... / .- .-. . / .-- .-. --- -. --. / ... --- -- . / .- .-. . / ..- ... . ..-. ..- .-..
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Fridays 9a-12p Friday St. Johns Cafe   /   Thursdays 9a-12p Zoom <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://bit.ly/virtualfriam">https://bit.ly/virtualfriam</a>
to (un)subscribe <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com">http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com</a>
FRIAM-COMIC <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/">http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/</a>
archives:  5/2017 thru present <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/">https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/</a>
  1/2003 thru 6/2021  <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/">http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/</a>
</pre>
    </blockquote>
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