[FRIAM] What does it mean to say that it will probably rain tomorrow?

[Nick Thompson]

Dear all, 

 

We had an interesting conversation in the Friday meeting of the local
congregation concerning the question, "What does it actually mean to say
that there is a 50 percent chance of rain in Santa Fe tomorrow?"  Exactly
what operations would you have to go through to discover if that claim was
appropriate or not?  

 

I took the position that whether it actually rained tomorrow had very little
to do with validating the claim. 

 

I am wondering what those of you in the diaspora thought. 

 

Nick 

 

Nicholas S. Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology

Clark University

http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

 

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