[FRIAM] Hope or Despair

[Marcus Daniels]

Owen writes:


"Any threatened Rape and Pillage will likely just cause another economic implosion which we survived pretty well."


For certain definitions of "we".   In that spirit, let's return to the chemotherapy example, or consider fluctuations in deer population as a function of hunting policy, or life in Allepo.   The respective populations won't get completely annihilated, but they are big fluctuations.


Of course we as a population will "survive pretty well".  That's a goal for deep sea bacterial, not wealthy democracies.   As a population we will survive even if everyone carries an AK-47 and uses it every time their feelings get hurt.


Marcus

________________________________
From: Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> on behalf of Owen Densmore <owen at backspaces.net>
Sent: Saturday, January 7, 2017 10:31:02 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Hope or Despair

Clearly you need to attend to Kissinger and Bremmer.

In terms of Russia, Kissinger's analysis of the Nation State suggests we have been far too shallow. There are very good reasons for the Russian people to feel exposed by the west's encroachment, and why they approve of Putin to the degree they do.

Trump is no threat. I personally have not given up even one of my 25 Damns over him. Any threatened Rape and Pillage will likely just cause another economic implosion which we survived pretty well.

I am curious, however, which of Bremmers 3 Americas Trump tends to, or what blend of the three. And what Trump thinks of Kissinger's recent defense of the nation state .. I know Kissinger is meeting with Trump.

Presidential politics are unique. Presidential historians agree that, whatever a president has promised, he/she is always formed by unexpected, exogenous events. At a guess, they will be foreign affairs in Trump's case. I hope he takes the MoneyBall stance.

   -- Owen
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