[FRIAM] high turnout and tight races?

[Barry MacKichan]

In this case, I think the reason is specific to this country at this 
time, rather than a general rule.

The reasoning goes, high turnout means more votes from the young, 
minorities, and those who say it doesn’t matter because nothing 
changes. In this country at this time, the first two categories are 
known to skew to the left. And there are a *lot* of potential voters in 
those categories.

At the demonstrations last summer there was usually a group carrying 
“Vote!” signs. I think it has sunk in that the future of the climate 
depends on who votes, and the young have a much bigger stake in that.

—Barry

PS. Apparently 43% of the early voters on the San Carlos reservation are 
first-time (but not necessarily young) voters. The Navajo reservation 
results are similar.



On 28 Oct 2020, at 19:19, uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ wrote:

> From:
>
> https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7
> "6. High turnout makes razor-thin victories, like the ones Trump 
> notched in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania in 2016, much less 
> likely."
>
> Is that true? I've always heard that tight races lead to higher 
> turnout, which would imply that high turnout would correlate WITH thin 
> victories, not against them.
>
> -- 
> ↙↙↙ uǝlƃ
>
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