[FRIAM] Moral collapse and state failure

[Steve Smith]

Jochen -

Thanks for the original article reference.   It lead me to seek out and
find another interesting /relevant introductory/survey article:

    Stability of Democracies:  A Complex Systems Perspective
<https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1361-6404/aaeb4d>

In regards to your original question, my own biased intuition is that it
is a vicious (rather than virtuous) cycle.   Our various corrupt leaders
with notable presidents such as Harding (Teapot Dome), Nixon
(Watergate++) and DJT-45 (Tax, Emoluments, Election, Sexual Misconduct,
etc... many left to be exposed I suspect) definitely undermine the
confidence in and commitment to our imperfect Democracy, driving it
further away from any ideal it might aspire to.  

I personally wasted half of my voting life in reaction to Nixon and the
next several cycles following.   Watching the shenanigans of 2000 and
then 2016 and worse 2020, I expect there will be entire new generations
as disaffected as I was.  It is hard to maintain a legitimate
participatory Democracy with that level of disaffection and confusion.  

The Wrong (formerly Right) Wing in the US seems nearly dead-set on
leveraging this to the extreme.   In hindsight, the rhetoric of the
Wrong Wing has been playing at this for my entire adult life, but it is
acutely worse this past 1-5 years.   From Trump's embrace of nearly
every right wing dictator he could find to Tucker Carlson in Hungary
this week, it seems to be happening entirely in plain sight!

- Steve


On 8/8/21 2:09 PM, Jochen Fromm wrote:
> Good example. Like the USA South Africa was a former British colony.
> And both countries had to struggle with racism in the past. But the
> development of democracy was different. The rise and fall of democracy
> is an interesting topic
> https://press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691177465/the-decline-and-rise-of-democracy
>
> I wonder what the essential factor is: do immoral presidents cause the
> collapse of democracy in a country by undermining democratic
> institutions or is it the other way round: the economy (and therefore
> the country) is already broken and institutions are weak, which
> enables immoral authoritarian rulers to grab power? Or a combination
> of both? 
>
> -J.
>
>
> -------- Original message --------
> From: Pieter Steenekamp <pieters at randcontrols.co.za>
> Date: 8/8/21 20:26 (GMT+01:00)
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
> <friam at redfish.com>
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Moral collapse and state failure
>
> Well, I'm from South Africa, and we have been close to moral collapse
> and IMO that could have led to our state failing.
>
> If you ask ten South Africans you'll get maybe twenty opinions, below
> is just my very brief view of what has been and what is happening in
> South Africa.
>
> South Africa became democratic in 1994 with Nelson Mandela the
> president. With him at the helm we had the moral high ground. His
> immediate successor Thabo Mbeki also did well. But between 2009 and
> 2017 Jacob Zuma was our president. He looted very seriously from the
> state and unfortunately under him many people in all state
> organisations started to also loot. The corruption became very deep.
> He is in jail now.
>
> We now have Cyril Ramaphosa as president and it's anybody's guess, but
> at least I'm very confident that Cyril is leading us again towards the
> moral high ground and away from state failure. 
>
>
> On Sun, 8 Aug 2021 at 19:18, Jochen Fromm <jofr at cas-group.net
> <mailto:jofr at cas-group.net>> wrote:
>
>     This paper from last year argues that moral collapse and state
>     failure are linked. Would you agree?
>     https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpos.2020.568704/full
>     <https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpos.2020.568704/full>
>
>     -J.
>
>
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