[FRIAM] Anticipate wildfires using machine learning

Pieter Steenekamp pieters at randcontrols.co.za
Mon Jun 14 15:05:22 EDT 2021


The same in the ecosystem "Fynbos" in the Southern tip of Africa where I
live. Some of the plant's seeds won't germinate in the absence of smoke.
See
https://depts.washington.edu/propplnt/2003guidelines/group1/Smoke%20Infusion.htm

On Mon, 14 Jun 2021 at 20:06, Gary Schiltz <gary at naturesvisualarts.com>
wrote:

> I couldn't have said it better myself. Fires are very much a part of dry
> land ecosystems. The only reason they are "catastrophic" is that they have
> been suppressed in the US for the last century or so.
>
> On Mon, Jun 14, 2021 at 12:32 PM cody dooderson <d00d3rs0n at gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> I might be entering into this conversation out of context. I have seen
>> a lot of forest fire conversations on FRIAM but have been too lazy to read
>> them. Also I am not an ecologist.
>> I disagree that wildfires are *always* the last step before
>> desertification. Forests go through cycles, often called ecological
>> successions, and often successions include fire. A lot of experts agree
>> that frequent low intensity wildfires promote biodiversity. The western
>> United States has been effectively putting out wildfires for about the last
>> century, which led to dense monocultures that are prime for large
>> destructive fires. It is believed that before our intervention the forests
>> were thinner and burned more often. Historic fires were lower intensity and
>> burned in more of a mosaic pattern. That mosaic pattern of burned
>> landscapes is a significant contributor to biodiversity. A mature forest
>> harbors different kinds of organisms than does a freshly burned one or one
>> in an intermediate stage of growth. When there is a mosaic pattern of say
>> grassland and mature forest, the forest is usually much more diverse. When
>> a forest is more diverse it is healthier, usually.
>>
>> Cody Smith
>>
>>
>> On Sun, Jun 13, 2021 at 7:30 AM Jochen Fromm <jofr at cas-group.net> wrote:
>>
>>> Wildfires are the last step before desertification. We need to prevent
>>> it confine them. Is it possible to increase the accuracy of wildfire
>>> predictions using machine learning?
>>>
>>> https://towardsdatascience.com/anticipating-wildfires-with-machine-learning-tools-5eb43b450d36
>>>
>>> -J.
>>>
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