[FRIAM] health care logistics
Steve Smith
sasmyth at swcp.com
Mon Mar 7 13:24:00 EST 2022
And thanks to both of you for this fuzzy-thread that runs through a lot
of your discussions here. I don't feel intellectually (or focusly)
capable of parsing everything here offered out to the fringe/fray at the
edge of the implicative network offered. Not even a spanning-tree of it
most of the time (like when someone like Glen points out that something
I twig to has already been run through here before).
I've recently been collecting myriad perspectives on both *archical
structures and the implied dynamics (form-function duals) especially in
the ideational space of the "aether" of possibility (in Kauffman's
broader sense of adjacent possibles), as well as a generalized concept
of "what means consciousness?" and all of the edge/corner cases we tend
to deliberately trim in our linear/reductionist style. Glen's
invocation of "those of us (without) a central nervous system) align
with these interests around both Jellies/Medusazoa and Molluscs (both
Cephalapoda and those without a *central* nervous system). I recently
read an article (reference lost) on the ideation that Octopoda actually
exhibit a *multiple* consciousness roughly situated/distributed in their
limbs/pods and as peers to the more "central" nerve/nervous system.
Anyway... mumble, Carry on... and thanks again.
- Steve
On 3/7/22 9:09 AM, glen wrote:
> Very nice! Thank you. And please don't think you owe any responses
> whatsoever. Fora like these are a *pastime*, engaged for fun, though
> I'll admit to the occasional professional clue provided by the
> diaspora. But know that your contributions are valued.
>
> It sounds to me like you're making a 2 pronged plea for a focus on a)
> progression of complexity and b) downward causation. Sorry for any
> rhetorical violence that may represent. For (a), does the [ahem]
> emergence of higher orders (whether physiological or "mental")
> preclude the maintenance or evolution of the lower orders? Or perhaps
> does it innervate/perfuse the space of possibilities, causing a bloom
> of the lower order? For (b) do the higher orders fold back on the
> lower orders ... a kind of forcing structure, crispifying constraints
> or perhaps even facilitate new drivers (like the hospitable lumen of
> our gut biome)?
>
> Even if I'm wrong and simply can't grok your position, the above setup
> is hard enough to validate/falsify against biology, much less
> expanding up into whatever biology is necessary for psychology. But I
> can say that my ham-handed insistence on pluralist "mentation" is
> driven by a fear that higher orders do preclude the emergence of
> *other* higher orders. I guess this is why modal and paraconsistent
> logic(s) are interesting. Including one type of consequence relation
> in your logic can preempt ways of thinking that would be accessible if
> you used a different consequence relation.
>
> But how that inter-high-order dynamic affects the low-order system
> upon which it's built is baffling. I'm a fan of Gerald Edelman's early
> writing on neuronal networks, as well as Hayek et al's "connectionism"
> because it feels like they're targeting something broader than
> algorithmic computation, however badly they fail to get there. And I'm
> a fan of things like the embodied mind for the same reason. There's an
> open-endedness to framing higher order mentation that way ... that the
> organized goo inside our skin provides a *robust* and neutral computer
> upon which the higher order computation can remain stable in spite of
> changes to that computer. I suppose this is the root of my panpsychist
> tendencies. It's too arrogant to assume that only those of us with
> central nervous systems can think and feel.
>
> How to productively use this in the context of counterfactuals, life
> as it could be, and sustainability rhetoric, is unclear. But it's
> definitely a respite from the typical vernacular, colored by
> inflammatory tokens as it is. Thanks again.
>
> On 3/5/22 04:06, David Eric Smith wrote:
>> Glen, I owed you an answer to this, but my ability to frame what I
>> think is a question is poor enough, that I couldn’t pick it up.
>>
>> I guess, for me, some pertinent questions in no particular order are:
>>
>> 1. Actual history: when the various phases of the invention of
>> oxygenic photosynthesis came into existence, how much was really
>> driven to extinction, and how much was just marginalized? And when?
>> If there was a long period of banded-iron formation with episodic
>> blooms and busts of the oxygen producers, along with everybody else,
>> those may have been disruptive enough to drive some things extinct,
>> but transient enough that much was left alive. As (supposing this is
>> even the right historical framing), slowly over time, molecular
>> mechanisms of coping with oxygen were developed, and oxygenation
>> started to become enough more “part of a system” that its level could
>> increase and persist for longer periods, how did that change the
>> extinction/marginalization allocation? There are still plenty of
>> places on Earth today that are not actively oxygenated, though there
>> are fewer any more, near the surface, where the electron transport
>> systems are not importantly affected by the presence of oxygenating
>> activities and related metabolisms elsewhere.
>>
>> 2. For gaining the capability of reflective thought, imaginative
>> planning, and simulation preparatory to choice — whatever one might
>> want to invoke to set apart a new major capability of “thinking
>> matter” within the larger domain of “living matter” — what would even
>> be the proper use of such analogies to suggest framings? Is an
>> unstable capability to be thinking matter more of an extinction
>> problem than a stable one? If there is a stable future for thinking
>> matter, does it entail displacing, marginalizing, or extinguishing
>> other large systems currently in the biosphere, or would it simply
>> augment them and fit into interstices or newly-created roles
>> alongside them? Because I am a metazoan, a vertebrate, a mammal,
>> etc., there is a new role for “being a healthy liver cell” that comes
>> into existence for a few pounds of cells in me, which didn’t
>> obviously require the extinction of anyone in the microbial world,
>> though it does require defenses against some of them, telling them
>> there are places they can’t go and things they can’t have. Doug
>> Erwin has been a good person to remind us that the notion of the
>> “empty niche” is largely a fallacy: many of what we regard as niches
>> in the extant biosphere were brought into existence by evolutionary
>> transitions, and didn’t involve any kind of “competition” to fill
>> them before they were filled. Creating and filling were two
>> descriptors for the same set of events.
>>
>> Whether there is any frame that contributes to understanding, and
>> what that should look like, are what I am after at the moment.
>>
>> Thanks,
>>
>> Eric
>>
>>
>>> On Jan 26, 2022, at 10:49 AM, glen <gepropella at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> Excellent, as usual. Thanks for donating that work to the list!
>>> Seriously. I know it's actual work.
>>>
>>> If I try to concisely reword what I read, the objective is: a
>>> monotonically increasing progression of complexity (maybe "plectic
>>> organization") absent the freezing out of prior stages of that
>>> progression.
>>>
>>> The counterfactual story for the photosynthesis freezing out the
>>> prior stage(s) is, if I understand you, the kind of thing that
>>> targets the outer bound of the space of possible trajectories. And
>>> just inside that boundary *might* be trajectories that contain both
>>> the self-reflective pockets/brains and the "chaos" of the stew. I.e.
>>> just enough pockets/brains to maintain their lineage, but not enough
>>> to freeze out the prior stew, including the cyanos.
>>>
>>> I want to stop there because I suspect you'll object to the idea of
>>> avoiding the staging completely. Your last couple paragraphs seem to
>>> say something like artificial life (what life could have been). And
>>> any given trajectory inside the space bounded by that (dead, fully
>>> [dis]ordered) whole earth buffered cycling is expected to have
>>> freezing stages along its progression. But it's the higher order
>>> characterization of those trajectories that determines the *shape*
>>> of that boundary. It's a question to you, though. Should we talk
>>> about the minimum set of pockets/brains such that the "chaos" and
>>> the pocket/brain organization can both maintain? Or do we have to
>>> admit that freezing out of prior stages will always happen?
>>>
>>>
>>> On 1/25/22 14:45, David Eric Smith wrote:
>>>> I agree, glen, than a criterion has to be stated. (I will avoid
>>>> even the term “objective function”, because that starts to cross
>>>> over into motivational framings, and away from the simple
>>>> conditions-of-possibility framing).
>>>> I am sure, sure, that Seibert and Rees think the only admissible
>>>> frame for this discussion is one that originates in values (in the
>>>> canonical sense of the term), and it is the worst kind of
>>>> heathenism to try to divorce the discussion from those, but that is
>>>> one reason I want to avoid taking on their whole frame.
>>>> The criteria that interest me are things like persistent
>>>> inhabitation of Earth by reflectively-aware things like people,
>>>> which plan and can discover and mine resources, create ecological
>>>> impacts etc., without creating such a chaotic surface environment
>>>> that further “interesting” emergent organizations, and even the
>>>> things that give them those powers, get undermined by the constant
>>>> chaos.
>>>> I like a sort of parable of the cyanobacteria to make the idea more
>>>> specific with an analogy, even though I know we don’t know enough
>>>> about the history of the cyanobacteria to judge whether this
>>>> parable reflects history. So think of it as the kind of “stylized
>>>> facts” economists trot out.
>>>> Once upon a time there was no life anywhere on earth that had the
>>>> capability to split water to create O2. Life was whatever it was,
>>>> but a lot of it was probably pretty stable. The 1Ga before the
>>>> rise of oxygen (which is later than the time I am referring to) is
>>>> known by the biogeochemists as “the boring billion”.
>>>> Growing out of various capabilities that were being used for other
>>>> things (oxidation of metals or H2S, cytochromes of a few kinds,
>>>> electron transport chains, pigments, etc.), a group learns how to
>>>> pull electrons not off of minor solutes in the medium, but OUT OF
>>>> THE GD SOLVENT! Holy shit. It was really hard, but suddenly there
>>>> is a living to be made from just light and water. That one
>>>> innovation somehow qualitatively changes what the biosphere can in
>>>> principle do.
>>>> I want the above to stand as a kind of analogy to what Vonnegut in
>>>> Galapagos keeps harping on as humans “big brains”. I don’t know
>>>> exactly what I want to refer to — reflective awareness,
>>>> plan-making, communication, having hands, encephalization in the
>>>> hominids — whatever. But something that causes one species to
>>>> suddenly become a singleton, qualitatively distinct in some
>>>> consequential thing from everybody else that currently is or that
>>>> ever had been before.
>>>> So then for the cyanos, the counterfactual question is: what if
>>>> they gained the capability of splitting water, but what if
>>>> tolerating O2 had turned out to be something that molecular biology
>>>> could never get to? What would that combination entail for the
>>>> surface of the world and everything in it? There are short-term
>>>> descriptive versions of the question. One of the possibilities is
>>>> that the dynamic of dissolved Fe in oceans as a reservoir, O2
>>>> production, Fe buffering that keeps O2 toxicity low for a while,
>>>> ultimate depletion of the Fe buffer as it all gets oxidized and
>>>> precipitated, and then very sudden change in O2 activity because
>>>> the buffer was, well, functioning as a buffer; it creates nonlinear
>>>> thresholding responses. Then when O2 soars, everybody dies off,
>>>> including the cyanos, the O2 production goes way down, and things
>>>> go back to looking more like they were in the boring billion while
>>>> the reservoirs slowly refill. But Jeez, oxygenic photosynthesis is
>>>> such a drug that if it isn’t totally lost, you can’t keep whoever
>>>> has it from using it. And the cycle starts over.
>>>> That is one of the stories of where banded iron came from. I
>>>> believe it is not settled whether it is the right one. It’s a great
>>>> story for making allegories, though. And there are lots of
>>>> plague/crash dynamics that have the same central organizing motifs.
>>>> Of course, in the Vonnegut big-brains analogy, we come up with the
>>>> capability to have these big impacts. The criterion for “what
>>>> number”, and “what palette of technologies” would be: is there some
>>>> threshold at which ongoing human inhabitation with that technology
>>>> doesn’t lead to wild swinging and a broadly chaotic condition for
>>>> much of the surface biota?
>>>> That is just the short-term descriptive criterion.
>>>> Why would I focus on stability or ongoing inhabitation? Back to the
>>>> allegory story, with more stuff I don’t know whether is true.
>>>> Suppose O2 tolerance had been too hard, and the surface had just
>>>> remained caught up in cycles ever few tens to hundreds of thousands
>>>> of years, more or less everywhere except the deep see and
>>>> subsurface that were to some extent insulated? Would the cyanos
>>>> ever have become part of anything bigger and more complex in its
>>>> aggregation? Putting aside the fact that all those things, as we
>>>> know them now, (eukaryotes, multicellular organisms, etc.) benefit
>>>> from the O2 tolerance of the members that made them, we can ask, if
>>>> not them, could _anything_ complex have arisen in an environment of
>>>> large constant sweeps? One possibility would be that O2 synthesis
>>>> would be lost and not rediscovered. But it can be hard to totally
>>>> lose something that, if conditions stabilize even a little, gets
>>>> such huge evolutionary rewards for being activated.
>>>> And for the human system, if the future is all chaos all the time,
>>>> what options might be foreclosed? If, unlike Galapagos, we don’t
>>>> lose the big brains, because the rewards are too grate to using
>>>> them if things quiet down anywhere by enough, then does their
>>>> intermittent marauding cut off possibilities for invention?
>>>> It is in that general drift that knowing about limited activity as
>>>> a condition for some kind of stability is motivated.
>>>> Eric
>>>>> On Jan 25, 2022, at 1:50 PM, glen <gepropella at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>> Well, OK. But the question still stands: Necessary for what
>>>>> objective?
>>>>>
>>>>> The Siebert & Rees paper talks about shared values like "socially
>>>>> just ecological sustainability", "salvage civilization",
>>>>> "one-earth living", etc. And each one of their criticisms in
>>>>> section 3 also assume some values. So, I'm guessing it's something
>>>>> like their objective that we're assuming as our objective. And
>>>>> anything that does not target that objective isn't put into the
>>>>> kitty of things we'll evaluate as possible or impossible. (E.g.
>>>>> the second-earth idea where we abandon this earth as a husk is not
>>>>> part of the conversation.)
>>>>> I don't see how we can prune the combinatorial explosion of
>>>>> [im]possible outcomes without deciding some kind of objective at
>>>>> the start, even if it's super vague like a Gaia-ish homeostatic
>>>>> health of the biosphere.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On 1/25/22 06:39, David Eric Smith wrote:
>>>>>> To say this is a value question is fair, glen, given my
>>>>>> shorthands of language.
>>>>>> However, I would like to split apart questions of “who wants
>>>>>> what” from questions of “what can or cannot happen under what
>>>>>> conditions, irrespective of what anybody wants”. In principle we
>>>>>> have ways to get at the latter question; we often do worse in
>>>>>> getting any resolution out of the former. Maybe there is
>>>>>> something basic in this? Our notion of truth is that on any
>>>>>> properly-posed question, there should only be one durable answer.
>>>>>> Whereas in the area of desires, we think it is either
>>>>>> inescapable, or for many also desirable (a self-referential value
>>>>>> judgment) that different answers coexist indefinitely.
>>>>>> Eric
>>>>>>> On Jan 25, 2022, at 8:02 AM, glen <gepropella at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Necessary for what, though? We need the shared value(s) before
>>>>>>> we can ask what response we'd get from the convergence on
>>>>>>> something that might be necessary to adhere to that value. Is
>>>>>>> the shared value that biology on this planet should be preserved
>>>>>>> and the thing we need to do is impossible? Or perhaps the shared
>>>>>>> value that all "lower forms of life" were simply stepping stones
>>>>>>> to the human organism, but to preserve the human organism is
>>>>>>> impossible? Etc.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> As Jon likes to ask: What are we optimizing? If we can't agree
>>>>>>> on that, then the responses to impossibilities will be as
>>>>>>> diverse as the values that underlie those impossibilities. And,
>>>>>>> if that's the case, then we're back to the
>>>>>>> clustering/homogenizing we see in any aspect of pop culture.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On 1/24/22 17:21, David Eric Smith wrote:
>>>>>>>> In a real situation where we decided something was necessary
>>>>>>>> that we believed there was no way to do, somehow I feel like
>>>>>>>> the same movie doesn’t become the response. Something else
>>>>>>>> does. What is that?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On 1/24/22 17:34, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>>>>>>>> Before I launch into a diatribe about why the hell we can't
>>>>>>>> agree to basic, never mind interesting things:
>
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