[FRIAM] AI Musings
Roger Critchlow
rec at elf.org
Sat Apr 1 10:29:51 EDT 2023
I think that it depends on having a board of directors/private owner
prepared to take their hands off the wheel.
The main problem would be trolls attempting adversarial prompts. However
comfortable you might get with the ai's ability to handle the day to day
affairs, would you ever feel safe from some ai whisperer persuading it to
give everything away and become a yogi? I suppose you have the same
problem with meat C-suite officers, too.
I tried to get Bard to talk with me about the adjacent possible (AP) the
other day. It agreed that the AP could not be represented as a
mathematical set, but it continued to talk about the AP as if it were a
set. So it suggested formulating the AP as a graph, or a tree, or as the
states of a dynamical system. I pushed for a non-set formalism and it gave
me fuzzy sets. I guess I have to try harder.
-- rec --
On Sat, Apr 1, 2023 at 8:05 AM Grant Holland <grant.holland.sf at gmail.com>
wrote:
> Good point, Cody!
>
> On Mar 31, 2023, at 9:16 PM, cody dooderson <d00d3rs0n at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> While I think that AI could soon handle the managerial part of a CEO's
> job, they may have trouble playing golf. It might not matter if the stock
> is going up.
> I am very ignorant about what CEO's do 'though.
>
> On Fri, Mar 31, 2023, 5:33 PM Grant Holland <grant.holland.sf at gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> So what do you think? Are CEOs, CFOs etc. and corporate board members at
>> any medium or short-term risk of losing their jobs to machine learning? I
>> like to hear some opinions on this.
>>
>> Thx,
>> Grant
>>
>> > On Mar 31, 2023, at 1:21 PM, Gary Schiltz <gary at naturesvisualarts.com>
>> wrote:
>> >
>> > Arrrr... looking more closely, Grant wrote CxO not QxO. Google quickly
>> > enlightened me on the former. Sorry for the noise.
>> >
>> > On Fri, Mar 31, 2023 at 2:19 PM Gary Schiltz <
>> gary at naturesvisualarts.com> wrote:
>> >>
>> >> I must admit my ignorance here, not aided in the least by a cursory
>> >> Google search: What is QxO?
>> >>
>> >> On Thu, Mar 30, 2023 at 10:59 AM Grant Holland
>> >> <grant.holland.sf at gmail.com> wrote:
>> >>>
>> >>> Frank,
>> >>>
>> >>> I'm wondering why no-one seems to raise the specter that AI could
>> start replacing management personnel. And I’m including CxO’s here; because
>> I’m not convinced that CxO-ing is rocket science or quantum mechanics.
>> Think of the billions saved. After all, if machine learning cannot get good
>> at making better decisions than humans, and constantly improving at it, I
>> would be very surprised.
>> >>>
>> >>> Grant
>> >>>
>> >>> On Mar 30, 2023, at 8:58 AM, Frank Wimberly <wimberly3 at gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>> >>>
>> >>> Not particularly relevant to your main point but Raj Reddy, close
>> colleague of Newell and Simon, once said, "It is easier use AI to replace a
>> college professor than a bulldozer operator" or words tho that effect.
>> >>>
>> >>> Frank
>> >>>
>> >>> ---
>> >>> Frank C. Wimberly
>> >>> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
>> >>> Santa Fe, NM 87505
>> >>>
>> >>> 505 670-9918
>> >>> Santa Fe, NM
>> >>>
>> >>> On Thu, Mar 30, 2023, 8:50 AM Prof David West <profwest at fastmail.fm>
>> wrote:
>> >>>>
>> >>>> The "AI Pause" made national TV news yesterday (long after those on
>> this list noted and reacted to it) and that made me revisit a theme I have
>> thought about since Newell, Simon, and Shaw created Logic Theorist.
>> >>>>
>> >>>> Advocates take a caricature (perhaps too strong a word) of human
>> intelligence, write a program to emulate it and declare the program
>> "intelligent."
>> >>>>
>> >>>> The original conceit: true intelligence was the kind of thinking
>> exhibited by college professors and scientists. Almost trivial to emulate
>> (Newell and Simon programmed Logic Theorist on 3x5 cards before Shaw was
>> able to implement on a computer).
>> >>>>
>> >>>> Maybe reading—correctly converting text to sound, like a child—was
>> more indicative of human intelligence, and Sejnowski created NetTalk. that,
>> somewhat eerily, produced discoveries of sounds, and errors, and achieved
>> near perfect ability to "read." Listen to the tapes sometime and contrast
>> them with tapes of a human child learning to read. Of course, comprehension
>> of what was read did not make the cut.
>> >>>>
>> >>>> State of the art improved dramatically and the caricatures of human
>> intelligence are more sophisticated and the achievements of the programs
>> more interesting.
>> >>>>
>> >>>> But, it seems to me there is still a critical gap. We can program an
>> AI (or let one learn) to fly a commercial jet as well or better than a
>> human pilot—BUT, could even the best of of breed of such an AI pull a
>> Shullenberger and land on the Hudson River?
>> >>>>
>> >>>> Another factor behind the "hysteria" (sorry for the sexism) over AIs
>> causing massive unemployment is a corollary to the caricaturization of
>> human intelligence. Since the Industrial Revolution, and certainly since
>> the age of Taylorism and the rise of automation; work itself has been
>> dehumanizing.
>> >>>>
>> >>>> If you define human work in terms of what can be done by a computer
>> then it is tautological to claim an AI is intelligent because it can
>> perform human work.
>> >>>>
>> >>>> I was contemplating ChatAIs and quickly realized that my
>> profession—college professor—was one at immense risk of replacement. I
>> would bet good money that a ChatAI could produce, and maybe deliver,
>> lectures far better than any I created in 30 years teaching. And probably
>> most, if not all, of the presentations I made at professional conferences
>> over the years.
>> >>>>
>> >>>> I am still vain enough to think that some of the papers and books I
>> have written are beyond an AI, and certain that no AI could do as well in
>> spontaneious Q&A after a presentation than I.
>> >>>>
>> >>>> Bottom line, I still believe that AI can and does equate to HI, only
>> when some aspect of HI is ommitted from the equation. This is not
>> essentialism, but analogous to the digitization of a sine wave, no matter
>> the finite sampling rate, there is always some missing information.
>> >>>>
>> >>>> davew
>> >>>>
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