[FRIAM] Paxton's stages as a dynamical system

[Pieter Steenekamp]

We're facing a difficult situation in South Africa. The upcoming BRICS
summit in Cape Town, scheduled for August 22-24, includes an invitation to
Putin. However, the International Criminal Court has issued a warrant for
his arrest due to allegations of illicit dealings with Ukrainian children.
As a signatory of the ICC, South Africa is technically obligated to detain
him if he appears. While we enjoyed a positive reputation during Mandela's
presidency, the country faced significant setbacks under Jacob Zuma's
leadership. The current president, Cyril Rhamaphosa, appears to lack power.
Well, lacking power could mean we might rate very low according to Paxton,
which is a good thing?

On Tue, 9 May 2023 at 23:20, Jochen Fromm <jofr at cas-group.net> wrote:

> In Putin's speech on victory day today he argued that Russia is again
> fighting against fascism while the country clearly shows increasingly signs
> of fascism itself: from the angry dictator and the dread of the nation's
> decline under the corrosive effects of individualistic liberalism to the
> overwhelming feeling of victimhood almost all of the mobilizing passions
> defined by Robert Paxton were present.
> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Anatomy_of_Fascism
>
> Even Prigozhin's Wagner group reminds me of the Waffen-SS during the time
> of Nazism: an armed combat branch of the organization that is responsible
> for the protection of the dictator which acts in competition to the regular
> armed forces and is known for war crimes and extreme brutality.
>
> https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/09/putin-recycles-old-grievances-on-victory-day-as-russian-army-battered-in-ukraine
>
> I'm interested in understanding this complex process of social evolution
> where a country falls back into dark ages in terms of dynamical systems.
> Why are the structures always so similar? Why does Paxton's final stage
> five almost always end in war, violence and invasion of other countries?
> Luckily Trump only reached Paxton's stage three - and hopefully the
> conviction today will prevent that he is coming back...
>
> -J.
>
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