[FRIAM] What are the scenarios? Game theory?

[Owen Densmore]

>From BBC a reasonable summary:
  http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-40879485

My question is simple: what *are* the alternatives? Is there an interesting
game theoretic analysis?

The toughest part is that South Korea is being held hostage. NK can
devastate SK even if hit with a pre-emptive strike.

As rash as Trump's bluster has been, the real question remains: what is the
reasonable response to NK's threat.
- Preemptive Strike? Likely a loser unless it is so massive as to
obliterate every human in NK. SK would be seriously damaged in the
aftermath.
- Wait 'til NK strikes? Again, hardly reasonable.
- Anti-missile defense? Possibly, but you just gotta miss one for
apocalypse. And what do you do if you *do* succeed? SK is still hostage.
- Tit for Tat? Well, only in the bluster game. Our threats will match yours
& vice versa.

Has anyone heard of an interesting strategy?

   -- Owen
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