[FRIAM] What are the scenarios? Game theory?

[Vladimyr]

The US can always do nothing considering its awesome power.

 

Wiping out a nation or two seems would cause the greatest global shame for everyone.

Should America use unimaginable power to subdue a noxious mosquito?

The compulsion to use such power is frightening.

 

North Korea has no forcing move to play, it does not have a Sente move.(from Go strategy)

Only bluff…

vib

From: Friam [mailto:friam-bounces at redfish.com] On Behalf Of Owen Densmore
Sent: August-09-17 4:41 PM
To: Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: [FRIAM] What are the scenarios? Game theory?

 

>From BBC a reasonable summary:

  http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-40879485

 

My question is simple: what *are* the alternatives? Is there an interesting game theoretic analysis?

 

The toughest part is that South Korea is being held hostage. NK can devastate SK even if hit with a pre-emptive strike.

 

As rash as Trump's bluster has been, the real question remains: what is the reasonable response to NK's threat.

- Preemptive Strike? Likely a loser unless it is so massive as to obliterate every human in NK. SK would be seriously damaged in the aftermath.

- Wait 'til NK strikes? Again, hardly reasonable.

- Anti-missile defense? Possibly, but you just gotta miss one for apocalypse. And what do you do if you *do* succeed? SK is still hostage.

- Tit for Tat? Well, only in the bluster game. Our threats will match yours & vice versa.

 

Has anyone heard of an interesting strategy?

 

   -- Owen

 

 

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