[FRIAM] Zoom invite for March 20 Virtual FRIAM

Thu Mar 19 02:01:21 EDT 2020

Nick writes:
>Do you have a favorite contagion model to apply to this situation?

Yes. Ours. ;-p

Right now it's a baby that only a mother can love. It literally took its
first *steps *just yesterday when it was delivered to the web. Owen is the
proud father seeding the egg of Agentscript.org with a ported Netlogo virus
on a network model:
   https://backspaces.github.io/agentscript/models2/?virus

For the geeks, you can inspect its code here - I'm impressed that Owen got
the syntax and semantics nailed with Agentscript to the point that a model
like this can be expressed this tightly:
    https://backspaces.github.io/agentscript/models/VirusModel.js

You can see more on AgentScript core here:
   http://agentscript.org
   http://backspaces.github.io/as-app3d/

Aww, you can see it currently looks like its mama here:

http://www.netlogoweb.org/launch#http://www.netlogoweb.org/assets/modelslib/Sample%20Models/Networks/Virus%20on%20a%20Network.nlogo

Cody and Josh are adopting the baby and raising it in their lovely
geoSpatial home of Realtime.Earth. We have great plans for the baby (see
attached) to serve the world leveraging real-time and historical citizen
location data as it interacts with more grown up models like LANL's
OPPIE/Episims
<https://www.lanl.gov/projects/mathematical-computational-epidemiology/agent-based-modeling.php>

Silly metaphors aside, there's some good discussions this week on the
SimSoc email list about epidemic models
   https://www.jiscmail.ac.uk/cgi-bin/webadmin?A1=ind2003&L=SIMSOC

and a review paper that may be of interest:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5594572/

Beyond the applied, you may have seen these two models this week which have
been a great service for educating the public on the basics of SIR models
and value of  social interventions:

   - Why outbreaks like coronavirus spread exponentially, and how to
   “flatten the curve” - Washington Post
   <https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/>
   - Outbreak: A playable disease simulation:
   https://meltingasphalt.com/interactive/outbreak/

I hope this Friday at Virtual FRIAM we can discuss viable short term
approaches for implementing ABM SIR models coupled with geospatial and
social dynamics to inform real-world policy and citizen behavior to
mitigate the effects of the current spread.

-S

--- -. .   ..-. .. ... ....   - .-- ---   ..-. .. ... ....
Stephen.Guerin at Redfish.com
1600 Lena St #D1, Santa Fe, NM 87505
office: (505) 995-0206  mobile: (505) 577-5828
tw: @redfishgroup  skype: redfishgroup
redfish.com  |  simtable.com

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020 at 11:07 PM <thompnickson2 at gmail.com> wrote:

> THANKS, Stephen,
>
>
>
> Do you have a favorite contagion model to apply to this situation?
>
>
>
> N
>
>
>
> Nicholas Thompson
>
> Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
>
> Clark University
>
> ThompNickSon2 at gmail.com
>
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* Friam <friam-bounces at redfish.com> *On Behalf Of *Stephen Guerin
> *Sent:* Wednesday, March 18, 2020 9:41 PM
> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <
> friam at redfish.com>; Wedtech at Redfish. Com <wedtech at redfish.com>
> *Subject:* [FRIAM] Zoom invite for March 20 Virtual FRIAM
>
>
>
> I configured to auto mute attendees when they enter to minimize feedback
> issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like
> to speak. I will be there to Host.
>
> I suggest that we have a reasonably focused conversation given an online
> format:
>
> Some suggestions:
>
>    - China, Singapore, South Korea and Israel have achieved good
>    collective action against COVID-19 but at sometimes at great privacy and
>    freedom costs. The US might need to find an alternate path. What might that
>    look like?
>    - What might Applied Complexity approaches offer a Epidemic
>    Intelligence Service
>    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemic_Intelligence_Service>
>    (Wikipedia)
>    - How can we have collective intelligence while maximizing privacy
>    during an epidemic?
>    - How can we have collective action while maintaining freedom?
>    - Latest thinking on ABM and SIR Epidemic modeling and validation
>    - How do we get realtime location intelligence to and from the
>    citizens while maximizing privacy? (George Duncan)
>    - others?
>
> Tom, can you start a google doc and invite folks to edit?
>
>
>
>
>
>
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
> Join Zoom Meeting
> https://zoom.us/j/330929933
>
> Meeting ID: 330 929 933
>
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